Language:English
Liudmila Samsonova v Coco Gauff
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Liudmila Samsonova (Local)
Prediction 24.02%4.16fair odd
EV +33.07%
Edge +5.97%
Kelly +7.28%
Growth +2.41%
assuming max odds 5.54
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
17.17%23.87%23.37%31.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.904.194.105.5434.48%23.87%24.39%18.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Coco Gauff (Visit)
Prediction 75.98%1.32fair odd
EV +3.33%
Edge +2.45%
Kelly +9.26%
Growth +0.309%
assuming max odds 1.36
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.24%76.13%76.63%82.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.131.221.221.3688.50%82.04%81.97%73.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Liudmila Samsonova (Local): 24.02%; Coco Gauff (Visit): 75.98%. For Liudmila Samsonova (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.16. 29 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 5.54, corresponding to a positive expected value of +33.07%.
Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.54I 18.05%NM 17.68%EV +33.07%E +5.97%K +7.28%G +2.41% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 82.32%EV -9.58%E -8.05%K -50.44%G +0.000% | 2.1% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +32.11%E +5.84%K +7.14%G +2.29% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -13.38%E -11.74%K -95.59%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +23.70%E +4.60%K +5.71%G +1.35% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -10.34%E -8.77%K -57.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +23.70%E +4.60%K +5.71%G +1.35% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -10.34%E -8.77%K -57.46%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +22.50%E +4.41%K +5.49%G +1.24% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -11.10%E -9.49%K -65.31%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-16 16:29 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV +22.50%E +4.41%K +5.49%G +1.24% | 1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -14.14%E -12.52%K -108.79%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-16 16:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV +21.30%E +4.22%K +5.26%G +1.12% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -10.34%E -8.77%K -57.46%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-04-16 16:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +20.10%E +4.02%K +5.03%G +1.01% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -10.34%E -8.77%K -57.46%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +20.10%E +4.02%K +5.03%G +1.01% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -11.86%E -10.23%K -74.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +20.10%E +4.02%K +5.03%G +1.01% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -11.86%E -10.23%K -74.15%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +20.10%E +4.02%K +5.03%G +1.01% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -13.38%E -11.74%K -95.59%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 16:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +20.10%E +4.02%K +5.03%G +1.01% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -13.38%E -11.74%K -95.59%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 4.96I 20.16%NM 18.69%EV +19.14%E +3.86%K +4.83%G +0.925% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.31%EV -13.38%E -11.74%K -95.59%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-16 16:29 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +17.70%E +3.61%K +4.54%G +0.803% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -11.10%E -9.49%K -65.31%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +14.10%E +2.97%K +3.76%G +0.530% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -10.34%E -8.77%K -57.46%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 16:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +10.49%E +2.28%K +2.91%G +0.306% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -9.58%E -8.05%K -50.44%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-16 16:39 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +8.09%E +1.80%K +2.31%G +0.187% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -11.10%E -9.49%K -65.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +8.09%E +1.80%K +2.31%G +0.187% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -11.10%E -9.49%K -65.31%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-16 16:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.43I 22.57%NM 21.45%EV +6.41%E +1.45%K +1.87%G +0.120% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.55%EV -8.06%E -6.66%K -38.40%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +5.69%E +1.29%K +1.67%G +0.095% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -8.06%E -6.66%K -38.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +5.69%E +1.29%K +1.67%G +0.095% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -8.06%E -6.66%K -38.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +5.69%E +1.29%K +1.67%G +0.095% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -8.06%E -6.66%K -38.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +5.69%E +1.29%K +1.67%G +0.095% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -8.06%E -6.66%K -38.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +5.69%E +1.29%K +1.67%G +0.095% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -8.06%E -6.66%K -38.40%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +2.09%E +0.491%K +0.642%G +0.013% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.82%E -7.35%K -44.12%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 16:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +0.884%E +0.211%K +0.276%G +0.002% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -8.06%E -6.66%K -38.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +0.884%E +0.211%K +0.276%G +0.002% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -8.06%E -6.66%K -38.40%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.884%E +0.211%K +0.276%G +0.002% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.82%E -7.35%K -44.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.884%E +0.211%K +0.276%G +0.002% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.82%E -7.35%K -44.12%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.52%E -0.370%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.78%E -4.67%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.52%E -0.370%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.30%E -5.99%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -1.52%E -0.370%K -0.490%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -10.34%E -8.77%K -57.46%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.92%E -0.980%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.30%E -5.99%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.92%E -0.980%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.30%E -5.99%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.92%E -0.980%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.30%E -5.99%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Caesars🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.92%E -0.980%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.30%E -5.99%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.92%E -0.980%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.30%E -5.99%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.92%E -0.980%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.30%E -5.99%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -3.92%E -0.980%K -1.31%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.52%EV -11.86%E -10.23%K -74.15%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.12%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.12%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.12%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -7.30%E -5.99%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.72%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.78%E -4.67%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.72%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.78%E -4.67%K -24.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -8.72%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.54%E -5.32%K -28.46%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Fliff🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.72%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.30%E -5.99%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -9.92%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.99%E -1.54%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-04-16 16:43 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.92%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.30%E -5.99%K -33.20%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.13%E -3.01%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.13%E -3.01%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.13%E -3.01%K -4.12%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -13.53%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -0.466%E -0.356%K -1.50%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -13.53%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.51%E -2.76%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-16 16:44 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.53%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.53%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -15.93%E -4.55%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.99%E -1.54%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -15.93%E -4.55%K -6.37%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.99%E -1.54%K -6.85%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -17.13%E -4.97%K -6.99%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.10%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-16 16:41 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -18.33%E -5.39%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -1.23%E -0.943%K -4.09%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -18.33%E -5.39%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -3.51%E -2.76%K -12.98%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -23.14%E -7.23%K -10.52%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV +0.293%E +0.222%K +0.917%G +0.003% | 7.0% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -27.94%E -9.31%K -13.97%G +0.000% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV +3.33%E +2.45%K +9.26%G +0.309% | 6.9% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -30.34%E -10.46%K -15.97%G +0.000% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV +2.57%E +1.91%K +7.35%G +0.189% | 8.6% | 2026-04-16 16:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23% | 0.3% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36% | 0.7% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93% | 1.3% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78% | 1.7% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47% | 1.9% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |
| Novig◎ | 3.83I 26.11%NM 24.16% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 75.84% | 8.1% | 2026-04-16 16:45 |