La escuela de los momios

Liudmila Samsonova v Coco Gauff

Inicio: 2026-04-16 16:48 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

63 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Liudmila Samsonova (Local)

Predicción 24.02%4.16momio equitativo
EV +33.07%
Ventaja +5.97%
Kelly +7.28%
Crecimiento +2.41%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.54

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
17.17%23.87%23.37%31.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.904.194.105.5434.48%23.87%24.39%18.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Coco Gauff (Visitante)

Predicción 75.98%1.32momio equitativo
EV +3.33%
Ventaja +2.45%
Kelly +9.26%
Crecimiento +0.309%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
68.24%76.13%76.63%82.83%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.131.221.221.3688.50%82.04%81.97%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (63 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
Pinnacle5.54I 18.05%NM 17.68%EV +33.07%E +5.97%K +7.28%G +2.41%1.19I 84.03%NM 82.32%EV -9.58%E -8.05%K -50.44%G +0.000%2.1%2026-04-16 16:35
Unibet (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV +32.11%E +5.84%K +7.14%G +2.29%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -13.38%E -11.74%K -95.59%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 16:35
LowVig.ag5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +23.70%E +4.60%K +5.71%G +1.35%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -10.34%E -8.77%K -57.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 16:35
BetOnline.ag5.15I 19.42%NM 18.64%EV +23.70%E +4.60%K +5.71%G +1.35%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.36%EV -10.34%E -8.77%K -57.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 16:35
Marathon Bet5.10I 19.61%NM 18.66%EV +22.50%E +4.41%K +5.49%G +1.24%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.34%EV -11.10%E -9.49%K -65.31%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-16 16:29
NetBet (FR)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.14%EV +22.50%E +4.41%K +5.49%G +1.24%1.13I 88.50%NM 81.86%EV -14.14%E -12.52%K -108.79%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-16 16:29
1xBet5.05I 19.80%NM 18.94%EV +21.30%E +4.22%K +5.26%G +1.12%1.18I 84.75%NM 81.06%EV -10.34%E -8.77%K -57.46%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-16 16:29
ReBet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV +20.10%E +4.02%K +5.03%G +1.01%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -10.34%E -8.77%K -57.46%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-16 16:35
Betr (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +20.10%E +4.02%K +5.03%G +1.01%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -11.86%E -10.23%K -74.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:35
Bet Right5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV +20.10%E +4.02%K +5.03%G +1.01%1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -11.86%E -10.23%K -74.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-16 16:35
Everygame5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +20.10%E +4.02%K +5.03%G +1.01%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -13.38%E -11.74%K -95.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 16:29
William Hill5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV +20.10%E +4.02%K +5.03%G +1.01%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -13.38%E -11.74%K -95.59%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 16:35
GTbets4.96I 20.16%NM 18.69%EV +19.14%E +3.86%K +4.83%G +0.925%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.31%EV -13.38%E -11.74%K -95.59%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-16 16:29
Codere (IT)4.90I 20.41%NM 19.28%EV +17.70%E +3.61%K +4.54%G +0.803%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.72%EV -11.10%E -9.49%K -65.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-16 16:35
BetUS4.75I 21.05%NM 19.90%EV +14.10%E +2.97%K +3.76%G +0.530%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.10%EV -10.34%E -8.77%K -57.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 16:29
PlayUp4.60I 21.74%NM 20.55%EV +10.49%E +2.28%K +2.91%G +0.306%1.19I 84.03%NM 79.45%EV -9.58%E -8.05%K -50.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-16 16:39
Neds4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +8.09%E +1.80%K +2.31%G +0.187%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -11.10%E -9.49%K -65.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)4.50I 22.22%NM 20.63%EV +8.09%E +1.80%K +2.31%G +0.187%1.17I 85.47%NM 79.37%EV -11.10%E -9.49%K -65.31%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-16 16:35
DraftKings4.43I 22.57%NM 21.45%EV +6.41%E +1.45%K +1.87%G +0.120%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.55%EV -8.06%E -6.66%K -38.40%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-16 16:45
Unibet (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +5.69%E +1.29%K +1.67%G +0.095%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -8.06%E -6.66%K -38.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 16:45
Unibet (NL)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +5.69%E +1.29%K +1.67%G +0.095%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -8.06%E -6.66%K -38.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 16:45
Svenska Spel4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +5.69%E +1.29%K +1.67%G +0.095%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -8.06%E -6.66%K -38.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 16:45
ATG (SE)4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +5.69%E +1.29%K +1.67%G +0.095%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -8.06%E -6.66%K -38.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 16:45
betPARX4.40I 22.73%NM 21.57%EV +5.69%E +1.29%K +1.67%G +0.095%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.43%EV -8.06%E -6.66%K -38.40%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-16 16:45
SportsBet4.25I 23.53%NM 22.02%EV +2.09%E +0.491%K +0.642%G +0.013%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.98%EV -8.82%E -7.35%K -44.12%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-16 16:39
TABtouch4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +0.884%E +0.211%K +0.276%G +0.002%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -8.06%E -6.66%K -38.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 16:45
BetRivers4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV +0.884%E +0.211%K +0.276%G +0.002%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -8.06%E -6.66%K -38.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 16:45
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.884%E +0.211%K +0.276%G +0.002%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.82%E -7.35%K -44.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 16:45
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV +0.884%E +0.211%K +0.276%G +0.002%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -8.82%E -7.35%K -44.12%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-16 16:45
Coolbet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.22%EV -1.52%E -0.370%K -0.490%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 76.78%EV -5.78%E -4.67%K -24.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-16 16:45
Betway4.10I 24.39%NM 22.93%EV -1.52%E -0.370%K -0.490%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.07%EV -7.30%E -5.99%K -33.20%G +0.000%6.4%2026-04-16 16:45
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -1.52%E -0.370%K -0.490%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -10.34%E -8.77%K -57.46%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-16 16:45
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.92%E -0.980%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.30%E -5.99%K -33.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 16:45
Sky Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.92%E -0.980%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.30%E -5.99%K -33.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 16:45
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.92%E -0.980%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.30%E -5.99%K -33.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 16:45
Caesars4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.92%E -0.980%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.30%E -5.99%K -33.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 16:45
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.92%E -0.980%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.30%E -5.99%K -33.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 16:45
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -3.92%E -0.980%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -7.30%E -5.99%K -33.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 16:45
PMU (FR)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.48%EV -3.92%E -0.980%K -1.31%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.52%EV -11.86%E -10.23%K -74.15%G +0.000%11.2%2026-04-16 16:45
Casumo3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.12%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 16:45
Unibet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.04%EV -5.12%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.96%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.10%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-16 16:45
Winamax (DE)3.95I 25.32%NM 23.60%EV -5.12%E -1.30%K -1.74%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.40%EV -7.30%E -5.99%K -33.20%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-16 16:45
Grosvenor3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.72%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.78%E -4.67%K -24.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 16:45
Bally Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV -8.72%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -5.78%E -4.67%K -24.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 16:45
Winamax (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.45%EV -8.72%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.55%EV -6.54%E -5.32%K -28.46%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-16 16:45
Fliff3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -8.72%E -2.30%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -7.30%E -5.99%K -33.20%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-16 16:45
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -9.92%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -1.99%E -1.54%K -6.85%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-16 16:43
Paddy Power3.75I 26.67%NM 24.55%EV -9.92%E -2.65%K -3.61%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.45%EV -7.30%E -5.99%K -33.20%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-16 16:45
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.13%E -3.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 16:45
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.13%E -3.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 16:45
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -11.13%E -3.01%K -4.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.10%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-16 16:45
Hard Rock Bet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV -13.53%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -0.466%E -0.356%K -1.50%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-16 16:45
BetMGM3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -13.53%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -3.51%E -2.76%K -12.98%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-16 16:44
Tipico (DE)3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.53%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 16:45
Coral3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -13.53%E -3.76%K -5.20%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.10%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-16 16:45
FanDuel3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -15.93%E -4.55%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.99%E -1.54%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 16:45
BoyleSports3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -15.93%E -4.55%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -1.99%E -1.54%K -6.85%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-16 16:45
Betclic (FR)3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -17.13%E -4.97%K -6.99%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -5.03%E -4.02%K -20.10%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-16 16:41
Bet Victor3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -18.33%E -5.39%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -1.23%E -0.943%K -4.09%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-16 16:45
LeoVegas3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -18.33%E -5.39%K -7.64%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -3.51%E -2.76%K -12.98%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-16 16:45
TAB3.20I 31.25%NM 29.20%EV -23.14%E -7.23%K -10.52%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.80%EV +0.293%E +0.222%K +0.917%G +0.003%7.0%2026-04-16 16:45
theScore Bet3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -27.94%E -9.31%K -13.97%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV +3.33%E +2.45%K +9.26%G +0.309%6.9%2026-04-16 16:45
Fanatics2.90I 34.48%NM 31.76%EV -30.34%E -10.46%K -15.97%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 68.24%EV +2.57%E +1.91%K +7.35%G +0.189%8.6%2026-04-16 16:44
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.35I 29.85%NM 29.77%1.42I 70.42%NM 70.23%0.3%2026-04-16 16:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.20I 23.81%NM 23.64%1.30I 76.92%NM 76.36%0.7%2026-04-16 16:45
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 24.07%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.93%1.3%2026-04-16 16:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.15I 31.75%NM 31.22%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.78%1.7%2026-04-16 16:45
Matchbook4.00I 25.00%NM 24.53%1.30I 76.92%NM 75.47%1.9%2026-04-16 16:45
Novig3.83I 26.11%NM 24.16%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.84%8.1%2026-04-16 16:45