L’École des cotes

Karolina Muchova v Coco Gauff

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-17 13:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Prévision 26.59%3.76cote équitable
EV +6.35%
Avantage +1.59%
Kelly +2.12%
Croissance +0.134%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.37%26.64%26.38%30.49%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.053.393.314.0032.79%29.51%30.21%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Coco Gauff (Visiteur)

Prévision 73.41%1.36cote équitable
EV -0.158%
Avantage -0.116%
Kelly -0.438%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
69.51%73.36%73.62%76.63%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.311.331.3681.97%76.36%75.19%73.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +6.35%E +1.59%K +2.12%G +0.134%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -10.44%E -8.55%K -47.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 12:40
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +6.35%E +1.59%K +2.12%G +0.134%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -10.44%E -8.55%K -47.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 12:40
DraftKings3.99I 25.06%NM 24.00%EV +6.08%E +1.52%K +2.03%G +0.124%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.00%EV -7.50%E -5.95%K -28.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 12:40
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV +1.03%E +0.271%K +0.367%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -10.44%E -8.55%K -47.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 12:40
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.300%E -0.080%K -0.109%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.30%E -4.11%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 12:40
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -0.300%E -0.080%K -0.109%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.23%E -6.59%K -32.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 12:40
theScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -0.300%E -0.080%K -0.109%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.23%E -6.59%K -32.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 12:40
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -0.300%E -0.080%K -0.109%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.23%E -6.59%K -32.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 12:39
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -2.96%E -0.811%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -8.23%E -6.59%K -32.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 12:39
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.30%E -4.11%K -18.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 12:39
NordicBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.76%E -5.33%K -25.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 12:39
Betsson3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.76%E -5.33%K -25.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 12:39
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.50%E -5.95%K -28.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 12:40
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.50%E -5.95%K -28.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 12:38
Fliff3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -8.97%E -7.23%K -37.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 12:40
Winamax (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.62%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -7.50%E -5.95%K -28.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 12:40
Betclic (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -5.62%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -8.97%E -7.23%K -37.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 12:39
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.95%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.56%E -3.51%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 12:39
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.95%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.30%E -4.11%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 12:39
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.95%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.30%E -4.11%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.95%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.03%E -4.71%K -21.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 12:39
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.95%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.03%E -4.71%K -21.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 12:40
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.95%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.76%E -5.33%K -25.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 12:40
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.95%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.23%E -6.59%K -32.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 12:40
Pinnacle3.48I 28.74%NM 28.10%EV -7.48%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.90%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 12:30
BetOnline.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -10.40%E -3.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -1.63%E -1.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 12:30
LowVig.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -10.40%E -3.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -1.63%E -1.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 12:30
ReBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -10.93%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.36%E -1.77%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 12:29
SportsBet3.31I 30.21%NM 28.20%EV -12.00%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.80%EV -4.56%E -3.51%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 12:34
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -13.59%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -0.892%E -0.661%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 12:30
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -13.59%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -1.63%E -1.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 12:33
Unibet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -13.59%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.36%E -1.77%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 12:29
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -13.59%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.36%E -1.77%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 12:30
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -13.59%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.36%E -1.77%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 12:36
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.59%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.30%E -4.11%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 12:29
Marathon Bet3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -13.86%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -1.63%E -1.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 12:24
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -14.92%E -4.66%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 12:30
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -14.92%E -4.66%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -1.63%E -1.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 12:30
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 12:30
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 12:30
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 12:30
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 12:30
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 12:30
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 12:30
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 12:30
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 12:30
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 12:30
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 12:30
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 12:30
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 12:30
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -17.58%E -5.67%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 12:30
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -17.58%E -5.67%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -1.63%E -1.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 12:30
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -17.58%E -5.67%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -1.63%E -1.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 12:30
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -17.58%E -5.67%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -2.36%E -1.77%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -17.58%E -5.67%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -2.36%E -1.77%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 12:30
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -18.91%E -6.20%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -2.36%E -1.77%K -7.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 12:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-04-17 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%1.3%2026-04-17 12:40
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86%2.0%2026-04-17 12:39
ProphetX3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86%2.0%2026-04-17 12:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%3.8%2026-04-17 12:39
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%4.5%2026-04-17 12:40
Novig3.66I 27.32%NM 25.76%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.24%6.1%2026-04-17 12:40