La escuela de los momios

Karolina Muchova v Coco Gauff

Inicio: 2026-04-17 13:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (21 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Karolina Muchova (Local)

Predicción 26.59%3.76momio equitativo
EV +6.35%
Ventaja +1.59%
Kelly +2.12%
Crecimiento +0.134%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
23.37%26.64%26.38%30.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.053.393.314.0032.79%29.51%30.21%25.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Coco Gauff (Visitante)

Predicción 73.41%1.36momio equitativo
EV -0.158%
Ventaja -0.116%
Kelly -0.438%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.36

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
69.51%73.36%73.62%76.63%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.221.311.331.3681.97%76.36%75.19%73.53%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +6.35%E +1.59%K +2.12%G +0.134%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -10.44%E -8.55%K -47.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 12:40
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV +6.35%E +1.59%K +2.12%G +0.134%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -10.44%E -8.55%K -47.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-17 12:40
DraftKings3.99I 25.06%NM 24.00%EV +6.08%E +1.52%K +2.03%G +0.124%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.00%EV -7.50%E -5.95%K -28.84%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-17 12:40
Tipico (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV +1.03%E +0.271%K +0.367%G +0.004%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -10.44%E -8.55%K -47.43%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 12:40
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -0.300%E -0.080%K -0.109%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -5.30%E -4.11%K -18.26%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-17 12:40
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -0.300%E -0.080%K -0.109%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.23%E -6.59%K -32.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 12:40
theScore Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -0.300%E -0.080%K -0.109%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.23%E -6.59%K -32.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 12:40
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -0.300%E -0.080%K -0.109%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -8.23%E -6.59%K -32.93%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 12:39
Winamax (DE)3.65I 27.40%NM 25.51%EV -2.96%E -0.811%K -1.12%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.49%EV -8.23%E -6.59%K -32.93%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 12:39
Betway3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -5.30%E -4.11%K -18.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 12:39
NordicBet3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.76%E -5.33%K -25.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 12:39
Betsson3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.92%EV -6.76%E -5.33%K -25.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-17 12:39
TAB3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.50%E -5.95%K -28.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 12:40
Caesars3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 74.07%EV -7.50%E -5.95%K -28.84%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 12:38
Fliff3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -4.29%E -1.19%K -1.65%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -8.97%E -7.23%K -37.36%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-17 12:40
Winamax (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 26.20%EV -5.62%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.26I 79.37%NM 73.80%EV -7.50%E -5.95%K -28.84%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-17 12:40
Betclic (FR)3.55I 28.17%NM 25.89%EV -5.62%E -1.58%K -2.20%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.11%EV -8.97%E -7.23%K -37.36%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-17 12:39
Coolbet3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -6.95%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -4.56%E -3.51%K -15.21%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 12:39
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.95%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.30%E -4.11%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 12:39
BetMGM3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -6.95%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -5.30%E -4.11%K -18.26%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-17 12:39
Ladbrokes (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.95%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.03%E -4.71%K -21.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 12:39
Coral3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.95%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.22%EV -6.03%E -4.71%K -21.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-17 12:40
PointsBet (AU)3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -6.95%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -6.76%E -5.33%K -25.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-17 12:40
Fanatics3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.95%E -1.98%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -8.23%E -6.59%K -32.93%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-17 12:40
Pinnacle3.48I 28.74%NM 28.10%EV -7.48%E -2.15%K -3.02%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 71.90%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%2.3%2026-04-17 12:30
BetOnline.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -10.40%E -3.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -1.63%E -1.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 12:30
LowVig.ag3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -10.40%E -3.09%K -4.39%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -1.63%E -1.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%4.3%2026-04-17 12:30
ReBet3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -10.93%E -3.26%K -4.65%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -2.36%E -1.77%K -7.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-17 12:29
SportsBet3.31I 30.21%NM 28.20%EV -12.00%E -3.62%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.80%EV -4.56%E -3.51%K -15.21%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-17 12:34
BetUS3.25I 30.77%NM 29.35%EV -13.59%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 70.65%EV -0.892%E -0.661%K -2.55%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 12:30
Bet Right3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -13.59%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -1.63%E -1.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-17 12:33
Unibet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -13.59%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.36%E -1.77%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 12:29
Codere (IT)3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -13.59%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.36%E -1.77%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 12:30
PlayUp3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -13.59%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -2.36%E -1.77%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-17 12:36
NetBet (FR)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.41%EV -13.59%E -4.18%K -6.04%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.59%EV -5.30%E -4.11%K -18.26%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-17 12:29
Marathon Bet3.24I 30.86%NM 29.26%EV -13.86%E -4.28%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.74%EV -1.63%E -1.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-17 12:24
Hard Rock Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.82%EV -14.92%E -4.66%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.18%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-17 12:30
Betr (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.52%EV -14.92%E -4.66%K -6.78%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.48%EV -1.63%E -1.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-17 12:30
Unibet (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 12:30
Unibet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 12:30
Grosvenor3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 12:30
LeoVegas3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 12:30
Unibet (NL)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 12:30
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 12:30
TABtouch3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 12:30
Casumo3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 12:30
Svenska Spel3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 12:30
Bally Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 12:30
betPARX3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 12:30
ATG (SE)3.15I 31.75%NM 30.16%EV -16.25%E -5.16%K -7.56%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.84%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-17 12:30
William Hill3.10I 32.26%NM 30.49%EV -17.58%E -5.67%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.51%EV -0.158%E -0.116%K -0.438%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-17 12:30
LiveScore Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -17.58%E -5.67%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -1.63%E -1.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 12:30
Virgin Bet3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -17.58%E -5.67%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -1.63%E -1.21%K -4.78%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-17 12:30
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -17.58%E -5.67%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -2.36%E -1.77%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 12:30
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -17.58%E -5.67%K -8.37%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -2.36%E -1.77%K -7.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-17 12:30
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 30.37%EV -18.91%E -6.20%K -9.22%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.63%EV -2.36%E -1.77%K -7.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-17 12:30
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (7)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 24.81%1.32I 75.76%NM 75.19%0.8%2026-04-17 12:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.33%1.34I 74.63%NM 73.67%1.3%2026-04-17 12:40
Matchbook3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86%2.0%2026-04-17 12:39
ProphetX3.90I 25.64%NM 25.14%1.31I 76.34%NM 74.86%2.0%2026-04-17 12:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.30I 30.30%NM 29.18%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.82%3.8%2026-04-17 12:39
Smarkets3.35I 29.85%NM 28.57%1.34I 74.63%NM 71.43%4.5%2026-04-17 12:40
Novig3.66I 27.32%NM 25.76%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.24%6.1%2026-04-17 12:40