Language:English
Iga Swiatek v Mirra Andreeva
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Iga Swiatek (Local)
Prediction 52.83%1.89fair odd
EV +5.66%
Edge +2.83%
Kelly +5.66%
Growth +0.321%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.67%54.34%52.00%64.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.431.741.802.0069.93%57.59%55.56%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Mirra Andreeva (Visit)
Prediction 47.17%2.12fair odd
EV +25.47%
Edge +9.57%
Kelly +15.34%
Growth +3.91%
assuming max odds 2.66
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.75%45.66%48.00%53.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.752.101.962.6657.14%47.68%51.02%37.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Iga Swiatek (Local): 52.83%; Mirra Andreeva (Visit): 47.17%. For Mirra Andreeva (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.12. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.66, corresponding to a positive expected value of +25.47%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -18.64%E -12.10%K -34.52%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV +25.47%E +9.57%K +15.34%G +3.91% | 2.5% | 2026-04-17 15:25 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -20.75%E -13.84%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +25.00%E +9.43%K +15.15%G +3.79% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 15:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -18.64%E -12.10%K -34.52%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +23.11%E +8.85%K +14.35%G +3.32% | 3.2% | 2026-04-17 15:17 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -20.75%E -13.84%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +22.64%E +8.71%K +14.15%G +3.20% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 15:15 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -20.75%E -13.84%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +22.64%E +8.71%K +14.15%G +3.20% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 15:15 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -21.81%E -14.74%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +22.64%E +8.71%K +14.15%G +3.20% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:13 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -21.81%E -14.74%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +22.64%E +8.71%K +14.15%G +3.20% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:15 |
| Caesars🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -21.81%E -14.74%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +22.64%E +8.71%K +14.15%G +3.20% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:22 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -24.45%E -17.10%K -56.86%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.75%EV +21.22%E +8.26%K +13.52%G +2.87% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 15:11 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -17.58%E -11.27%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV +19.34%E +7.64%K +12.64%G +2.44% | 3.6% | 2026-04-17 15:21 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -21.81%E -14.74%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV +18.87%E +7.49%K +12.41%G +2.34% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 15:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -20.75%E -13.84%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +17.92%E +7.17%K +11.95%G +2.14% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 15:16 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -20.75%E -13.84%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +17.92%E +7.17%K +11.95%G +2.14% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 15:16 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -18.11%E -11.69%K -32.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +13.21%E +5.50%K +9.43%G +1.25% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 15:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -19.17%E -12.53%K -36.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV +8.49%E +3.69%K +6.53%G +0.554% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 15:22 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -9.66%E -5.65%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +1.41%E +0.657%K +1.23%G +0.017% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.55%E -4.31%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -1.89%E -0.908%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -8.60%E -4.97%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -3.30%E -1.61%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.32%E -1.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.66%E -2.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 15:23 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.85%E -2.11%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.66%E -2.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.85%E -2.11%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.66%E -2.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.85%E -2.11%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.66%E -2.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 15:25 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.85%E -2.11%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.66%E -2.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.85%E -2.11%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.66%E -2.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.85%E -2.11%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.66%E -2.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.60%E -4.97%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.66%E -2.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.60%E -4.97%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.66%E -2.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -4.38%E -2.42%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -7.55%E -3.85%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.90%E -2.72%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.55%E -3.85%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.90%E -2.72%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.55%E -3.85%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 15:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.90%E -2.72%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.55%E -3.85%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 15:25 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -1.73%E -0.932%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -8.02%E -4.11%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.90%E -2.72%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.02%E -4.11%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.90%E -2.72%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.02%E -4.11%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 15:23 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.90%E -2.72%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.02%E -4.11%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 15:25 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.55%E -4.31%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.02%E -4.11%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 15:23 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -5.96%E -3.35%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -6.49%E -3.67%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.32%E -1.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.91%E -5.19%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.90%E -2.72%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.91%E -5.19%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.90%E -2.72%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.91%E -5.19%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 15:25 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -8.07%E -4.64%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -9.91%E -5.19%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +0.379%E +0.199%K +0.421%G +0.002% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -10.38%E -5.46%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 15:25 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -2.26%E -1.22%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -10.38%E -5.46%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -2.26%E -1.22%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -10.38%E -5.46%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 15:25 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV +0.907%E +0.475%K +0.997%G +0.009% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -11.32%E -6.02%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 15:25 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.08%EV -8.60%E -4.97%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.92%EV -11.32%E -6.02%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -3.32%E -1.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -11.79%E -6.31%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV +3.55%E +1.81%K +3.70%G +0.131% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -12.74%E -6.89%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 15:25 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -2.26%E -1.22%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -12.74%E -6.89%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +0.907%E +0.475%K +0.997%G +0.009% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -13.68%E -7.48%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +0.907%E +0.475%K +0.997%G +0.009% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -13.68%E -7.48%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -3.32%E -1.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -13.68%E -7.48%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV +1.44%E +0.748%K +1.56%G +0.022% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -15.10%E -8.39%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 15:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -0.678%E -0.360%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -16.98%E -9.65%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +5.66%E +2.83%K +5.66%G +0.321% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -17.45%E -9.97%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (7)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 0.0% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 15:25 |
| ProphetX◎ | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.02% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.98% | 1.6% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Novig◎ | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |