La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Iga Swiatek v Mirra Andreeva
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Iga Swiatek (Local)
Predicción 52.83%1.89momio equitativo
EV +5.66%
Ventaja +2.83%
Kelly +5.66%
Crecimiento +0.321%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
46.67%54.34%52.00%64.25%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.431.741.802.0069.93%57.59%55.56%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Mirra Andreeva (Visitante)
Predicción 47.17%2.12momio equitativo
EV +25.47%
Ventaja +9.57%
Kelly +15.34%
Crecimiento +3.91%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.66
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
35.75%45.66%48.00%53.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.752.101.962.6657.14%47.68%51.02%37.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.54I 64.94%NM 63.33%EV -18.64%E -12.10%K -34.52%G +0.000% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.67%EV +25.47%E +9.57%K +15.34%G +3.91% | 2.5% | 2026-04-17 15:25 |
| BetUS | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.86%EV -20.75%E -13.84%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 36.14%EV +25.00%E +9.43%K +15.15%G +3.79% | 4.4% | 2026-04-17 15:20 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.89%EV -18.64%E -12.10%K -34.52%G +0.000% | 2.61I 38.31%NM 37.11%EV +23.11%E +8.85%K +14.35%G +3.32% | 3.2% | 2026-04-17 15:17 |
| Bet Right | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -20.75%E -13.84%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +22.64%E +8.71%K +14.15%G +3.20% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 15:15 |
| William Hill | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -20.75%E -13.84%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV +22.64%E +8.71%K +14.15%G +3.20% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 15:15 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -21.81%E -14.74%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +22.64%E +8.71%K +14.15%G +3.20% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:13 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -21.81%E -14.74%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +22.64%E +8.71%K +14.15%G +3.20% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:15 |
| Caesars | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -21.81%E -14.74%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV +22.64%E +8.71%K +14.15%G +3.20% | 6.0% | 2026-04-17 15:22 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -24.45%E -17.10%K -56.86%G +0.000% | 2.57I 38.91%NM 35.75%EV +21.22%E +8.26%K +13.52%G +2.87% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 15:11 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.86%EV -17.58%E -11.27%K -31.40%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.14%EV +19.34%E +7.64%K +12.64%G +2.44% | 3.6% | 2026-04-17 15:21 |
| SportsBet | 1.48I 67.57%NM 63.00%EV -21.81%E -14.74%K -45.44%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.00%EV +18.87%E +7.49%K +12.41%G +2.34% | 7.3% | 2026-04-17 15:20 |
| Neds | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -20.75%E -13.84%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +17.92%E +7.17%K +11.95%G +2.14% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 15:16 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -20.75%E -13.84%K -41.51%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV +17.92%E +7.17%K +11.95%G +2.14% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 15:16 |
| PlayUp | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -18.11%E -11.69%K -32.93%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +13.21%E +5.50%K +9.43%G +1.25% | 6.2% | 2026-04-17 15:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.05%EV -19.17%E -12.53%K -36.17%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.95%EV +8.49%E +3.69%K +6.53%G +0.554% | 8.8% | 2026-04-17 15:22 |
| FanDuel | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -9.66%E -5.65%K -13.60%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV +1.41%E +0.657%K +1.23%G +0.017% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Unibet | 1.75I 57.14%NM 54.31%EV -7.55%E -4.31%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.69%EV -1.89%E -0.908%K -1.75%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Bally Bet | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -8.60%E -4.97%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -3.30%E -1.61%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Bovada | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -3.32%E -1.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -5.66%E -2.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-17 15:23 |
| Casumo | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.85%E -2.11%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.66%E -2.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.85%E -2.11%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.66%E -2.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.85%E -2.11%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.66%E -2.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 15:25 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.85%E -2.11%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.66%E -2.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.85%E -2.11%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.66%E -2.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| betPARX | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -3.85%E -2.11%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV -5.66%E -2.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| 888sport | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.60%E -4.97%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.66%E -2.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.60%E -4.97%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.66%E -2.83%K -5.66%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| TABtouch | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.99%EV -4.38%E -2.42%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.01%EV -7.55%E -3.85%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| BetRivers | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.90%E -2.72%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.55%E -3.85%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.90%E -2.72%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.55%E -3.85%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 15:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.90%E -2.72%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.55%E -3.85%K -7.86%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-17 15:25 |
| DraftKings | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -1.73%E -0.932%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.82%EV -8.02%E -4.11%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Grosvenor | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.90%E -2.72%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.02%E -4.11%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| BetMGM | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.90%E -2.72%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.02%E -4.11%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 15:23 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.90%E -2.72%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.02%E -4.11%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-17 15:25 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.55%E -4.31%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.02%E -4.11%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-17 15:23 |
| LeoVegas | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -5.96%E -3.35%K -7.64%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.16%EV -6.49%E -3.67%K -8.43%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.84%EV -8.96%E -4.64%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.32%E -1.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.91%E -5.19%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.90%E -2.72%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.91%E -5.19%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| BoyleSports | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -4.90%E -2.72%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -9.91%E -5.19%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-17 15:25 |
| Fliff | 1.74I 57.47%NM 52.33%EV -8.07%E -4.64%K -10.91%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 47.67%EV -9.91%E -5.19%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 9.8% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| TAB | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV +0.379%E +0.199%K +0.421%G +0.002% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -10.38%E -5.46%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-17 15:25 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -2.26%E -1.22%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -10.38%E -5.46%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| NordicBet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -2.26%E -1.22%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -10.38%E -5.46%K -11.53%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-17 15:25 |
| Betway | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV +0.907%E +0.475%K +0.997%G +0.009% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -11.32%E -6.02%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-04-17 15:25 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 52.08%EV -8.60%E -4.97%K -11.78%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 47.92%EV -11.32%E -6.02%K -12.87%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Fanatics | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -3.32%E -1.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -11.79%E -6.31%K -13.56%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Coolbet | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.56%EV +3.55%E +1.81%K +3.70%G +0.131% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.44%EV -12.74%E -6.89%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-17 15:25 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -2.26%E -1.22%K -2.66%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -12.74%E -6.89%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +0.907%E +0.475%K +0.997%G +0.009% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -13.68%E -7.48%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| theScore Bet | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV +0.907%E +0.475%K +0.997%G +0.009% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -13.68%E -7.48%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Sky Bet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -3.32%E -1.81%K -4.00%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -13.68%E -7.48%K -16.48%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.92I 52.08%NM 48.39%EV +1.44%E +0.748%K +1.56%G +0.022% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.61%EV -15.10%E -8.39%K -18.87%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-17 15:25 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -0.678%E -0.360%K -0.770%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -16.98%E -9.65%K -22.35%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Bet Victor | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV +5.66%E +2.83%K +5.66%G +0.321% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -17.45%E -9.97%K -23.27%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (7)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.04I 49.02%NM 49.00% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 51.00% | 0.0% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Smarkets | 1.96I 51.02%NM 50.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.25% | 0.5% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Matchbook | 2.02I 49.50%NM 48.99% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.01% | 1.1% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.50% | 2.22I 45.05%NM 44.50% | 1.2% | 2026-04-17 15:25 |
| ProphetX | 1.93I 51.81%NM 51.02% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 48.98% | 1.6% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |
| Novig | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.33% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.67% | 6.5% | 2026-04-17 15:24 |