Szkoła Kursów

Elise Mertens v Ella Seidel

Początek: 2026-04-14 12:30 UTC

Linia zamknięcia — prawdopodobieństwa i wartość oczekiwana obliczone przez wybrany model na podstawie ostatnich kursów zarejestrowanych przed rozpoczęciem. Spotkanie już trwa, więc nie są to dane bieżące. Oceń wiarygodność prognoz prawdopodobieństwa każdego modelu na tle wyników wszystkich rozstrzygniętych spotkań →

Zwycięzca spotkania

62 bukmacherów (22 w analizie )

Szacowane prawdopodobieństwo każdego wyniku według modelu: IQM

Elise Mertens (Gospodarze)

Prognoza 82.42%1.21kurs godziwy
EV -1.10%
Przewaga -0.913%
Kelly -5.48%
Wzrost +0.000%

przy maksymalnym kursie 1.20

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
77.78%82.50%82.36%85.68%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
1.091.141.141.2091.74%88.11%87.72%83.33%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Ella Seidel (Goście)

Prognoza 17.58%5.69kurs godziwy
EV +20.95%
Przewaga +3.04%
Kelly +3.56%
Wzrost +0.746%

przy maksymalnym kursie 6.88

Rozkład oszacowań prawdopodobieństwa bukmacherów
14.32%17.50%17.64%22.22%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.
Rozkład kursów
4.205.565.536.8823.81%17.97%18.10%14.53%MIN.ŚREDNIAMEDIANAMAKS.

Kursy bukmacherskie (62 bukmacherów)

Nie jesteśmy powiązani z żadnym bukmacherem i nie czerpiemy korzyści z zawieranych u niego zakładów.

BukmacherGospodarzeGoście ▼MarżaAktualizacja
Pinnacle1.15I 86.96%NM 85.68%EV -5.22%E -4.54%K -34.78%G +0.000%6.88I 14.53%NM 14.32%EV +20.95%E +3.04%K +3.56%G +0.746%1.5%2026-04-14 12:25
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -8.51%E -7.67%K -77.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +14.27%E +2.19%K +2.59%G +0.370%5.5%2026-04-14 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -8.51%E -7.67%K -77.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +14.27%E +2.19%K +2.59%G +0.370%5.5%2026-04-14 12:00
Betsson1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -10.16%E -9.32%K -112.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +14.27%E +2.19%K +2.59%G +0.370%7.1%2026-04-14 12:25
NordicBet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -10.16%E -9.32%K -112.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +14.27%E +2.19%K +2.59%G +0.370%7.1%2026-04-14 12:25
Neds1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -9.34%E -8.49%K -93.38%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV +8.99%E +1.45%K +1.73%G +0.156%7.0%2026-04-14 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -9.34%E -8.49%K -93.38%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV +8.99%E +1.45%K +1.73%G +0.156%7.0%2026-04-14 12:00
NetBet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.84%EV -10.16%E -9.32%K -112.91%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV +7.24%E +1.19%K +1.42%G +0.103%8.1%2026-04-14 12:15
Betway1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +5.48%E +0.913%K +1.10%G +0.060%5.2%2026-04-14 12:00
Bovada1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +5.48%E +0.913%K +1.10%G +0.060%5.2%2026-04-14 12:15
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.51%E -7.67%K -77.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +5.48%E +0.913%K +1.10%G +0.060%6.8%2026-04-14 12:25
Sky Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.51%E -7.67%K -77.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +5.48%E +0.913%K +1.10%G +0.060%6.8%2026-04-14 12:25
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 83.61%EV -3.57%E -3.05%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 16.39%EV +4.95%E +0.829%K +0.996%G +0.049%2.2%2026-04-14 12:15
LowVig.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +4.77%E +0.801%K +0.963%G +0.046%4.5%2026-04-14 12:00
BetOnline.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +4.77%E +0.801%K +0.963%G +0.046%4.5%2026-04-14 12:00
Marathon Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV +2.84%E +0.486%K +0.586%G +0.017%5.6%2026-04-14 12:18
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +1.96%E +0.338%K +0.409%G +0.008%5.0%2026-04-14 12:24
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-14 12:25
Unibet (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-14 12:25
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-14 12:25
Casumo1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-14 12:25
Bet Right1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-14 12:00
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-14 12:25
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-14 12:25
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-14 12:25
Hard Rock Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-14 12:25
PlayUp1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.9%2026-04-14 12:21
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -5.22%E -4.54%K -34.78%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +0.203%E +0.036%K +0.043%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 12:25
Codere (IT)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -1.55%E -0.278%K -0.338%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 12:00
ReBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -1.55%E -0.278%K -0.338%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 12:00
1xBet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.22%E -4.54%K -34.78%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -2.43%E -0.438%K -0.535%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 12:14
Unibet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.31%E -0.602%K -0.736%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 12:00
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.31%E -0.602%K -0.736%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 12:00
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.31%E -0.602%K -0.736%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 12:00
888sport1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.69%E -6.87%K -64.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.31%E -0.602%K -0.736%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 12:25
Mr Green (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.69%E -6.87%K -64.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.31%E -0.602%K -0.736%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 12:25
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.69%E -6.87%K -64.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.31%E -0.602%K -0.736%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 12:25
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -5.07%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 12:25
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.07%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 12:25
Grosvenor1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.07%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 12:25
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.07%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 12:25
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.07%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 12:00
Bally Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.07%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 12:25
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.69%E -6.87%K -64.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -5.07%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 12:25
LeoVegas1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.69%E -6.87%K -64.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -6.83%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 12:25
BetMGM1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.71%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 12:25
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.71%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -7.69%E -6.87%K -64.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -7.71%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 12:25
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 82.14%EV -7.69%E -6.87%K -64.08%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.86%EV -9.47%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 12:25
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -5.22%E -4.54%K -34.78%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -10.34%E -2.03%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 12:25
PMU (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 82.26%EV -9.34%E -8.49%K -93.38%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.74%EV -10.34%E -2.03%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-14 12:25
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 81.72%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -11.22%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 12:25
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.57%E -3.05%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.10%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 12:00
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.39%E -3.79%K -27.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -12.10%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 12:25
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.10%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 12:25
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.74%E -2.33%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -13.86%E -2.83%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 12:25
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.57%E -3.05%K -20.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -15.62%E -3.25%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 12:15
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -3.57%E -3.05%K -20.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -16.50%E -3.47%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 12:23
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -3.57%E -3.05%K -20.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -16.50%E -3.47%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 12:25
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -16.50%E -3.47%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 12:22
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -5.22%E -4.54%K -34.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -17.38%E -3.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 12:25
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -1.10%E -0.913%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -26.17%E -6.23%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 12:25
Marża = Marża (suma nadmiarowa) · I = Prawdopodobieństwo implikowane · NM = Prawdopodobieństwo bez marży · EV = Wartość oczekiwana · E = Przewaga · K = Kryterium Kelly’ego · G = Wzrost kapitału

Aktualizacja oznacza chwilę ostatniej zmiany kursu przez danego bukmachera. Starszy czas wskazuje więc, że kurs się nie zmienił, a nie że jest nieaktualny. Bukmacherzy niewidoczni przez około 15 minut są zwykle usuwani; jedynie gdy zamilknie źródło danych całego rynku, wyświetlane są ostatnie zarejestrowane kursy.

Giełdy zakładów (7)

BukmacherGospodarzeGościeMarża ▲Aktualizacja
ProphetX1.19I 84.03%NM 83.33%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.67%0.8%2026-04-14 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-04-14 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-14 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.6%2026-04-14 12:25
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 84.24%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.76%2.3%2026-04-14 12:25
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%2.6%2026-04-14 12:25
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 82.64%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.36%7.1%2026-04-14 12:25