Die Wettquotenschule

Elise Mertens v Ella Seidel

Spielbeginn: 2026-04-14 12:30 UTC

Schlussquote — die anhand der letzten vor Spielbeginn erfassten Preise berechneten Wahrscheinlichkeiten und Erwartungswerte nach Ihrem ausgewählten Modell. Das Spiel hat begonnen; dies sind daher keine aktuellen Werte. Zuverlässigkeit der Wahrscheinlichkeitsprognosen jedes Modells anhand aller abgeschlossenen Spiele beurteilen →

Direkter Vergleich

62 Wettanbieter (22 in der Analyse )

Geschätzte Wahrscheinlichkeit jedes Ergebnisses nach dem Modell: IQM

Elise Mertens (Heim)

Prognose 82.42%1.21faire Quote
EV -1.10%
Vorteil -0.913%
Kelly -5.48%
Wachstum +0.000%

bei einer Höchstquote von 1.20

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
77.78%82.50%82.36%85.68%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
1.091.141.141.2091.74%88.11%87.72%83.33%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Ella Seidel (Auswärts)

Prognose 17.58%5.69faire Quote
EV +20.95%
Vorteil +3.04%
Kelly +3.56%
Wachstum +0.746%

bei einer Höchstquote von 6.88

Verteilung der Wettanbieterprognosen
14.32%17.50%17.64%22.22%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX
Quotenverteilung
4.205.565.536.8823.81%17.97%18.10%14.53%MINMITTELMEDIANMAX

Wettanbieterquoten (62 Wettanbieter)

Wir sind mit keinem Wettanbieter verbunden und erhalten keinerlei Ertrag aus Handlungen, die bei diesen Anbietern vorgenommen werden.

WettanbieterHeimAuswärts ▼MargeAktualisiert
Pinnacle1.15I 86.96%NM 85.68%EV -5.22%E -4.54%K -34.78%G +0.000%6.88I 14.53%NM 14.32%EV +20.95%E +3.04%K +3.56%G +0.746%1.5%2026-04-14 12:25
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -8.51%E -7.67%K -77.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +14.27%E +2.19%K +2.59%G +0.370%5.5%2026-04-14 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -8.51%E -7.67%K -77.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +14.27%E +2.19%K +2.59%G +0.370%5.5%2026-04-14 12:00
Betsson1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -10.16%E -9.32%K -112.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +14.27%E +2.19%K +2.59%G +0.370%7.1%2026-04-14 12:25
NordicBet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -10.16%E -9.32%K -112.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +14.27%E +2.19%K +2.59%G +0.370%7.1%2026-04-14 12:25
Neds1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -9.34%E -8.49%K -93.38%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV +8.99%E +1.45%K +1.73%G +0.156%7.0%2026-04-14 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -9.34%E -8.49%K -93.38%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV +8.99%E +1.45%K +1.73%G +0.156%7.0%2026-04-14 12:00
NetBet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.84%EV -10.16%E -9.32%K -112.91%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV +7.24%E +1.19%K +1.42%G +0.103%8.1%2026-04-14 12:15
Betway1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +5.48%E +0.913%K +1.10%G +0.060%5.2%2026-04-14 12:00
Bovada1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +5.48%E +0.913%K +1.10%G +0.060%5.2%2026-04-14 12:15
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.51%E -7.67%K -77.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +5.48%E +0.913%K +1.10%G +0.060%6.8%2026-04-14 12:25
Sky Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.51%E -7.67%K -77.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +5.48%E +0.913%K +1.10%G +0.060%6.8%2026-04-14 12:25
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 83.61%EV -3.57%E -3.05%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 16.39%EV +4.95%E +0.829%K +0.996%G +0.049%2.2%2026-04-14 12:15
LowVig.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +4.77%E +0.801%K +0.963%G +0.046%4.5%2026-04-14 12:00
BetOnline.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +4.77%E +0.801%K +0.963%G +0.046%4.5%2026-04-14 12:00
Marathon Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV +2.84%E +0.486%K +0.586%G +0.017%5.6%2026-04-14 12:18
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +1.96%E +0.338%K +0.409%G +0.008%5.0%2026-04-14 12:24
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-14 12:25
Unibet (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-14 12:25
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-14 12:25
Casumo1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-14 12:25
Bet Right1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-14 12:00
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-14 12:25
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-14 12:25
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-14 12:25
Hard Rock Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-14 12:25
PlayUp1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.9%2026-04-14 12:21
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -5.22%E -4.54%K -34.78%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +0.203%E +0.036%K +0.043%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 12:25
Codere (IT)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -1.55%E -0.278%K -0.338%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 12:00
ReBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -1.55%E -0.278%K -0.338%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 12:00
1xBet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.22%E -4.54%K -34.78%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -2.43%E -0.438%K -0.535%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 12:14
Unibet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.31%E -0.602%K -0.736%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 12:00
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.31%E -0.602%K -0.736%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 12:00
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.31%E -0.602%K -0.736%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 12:00
888sport1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.69%E -6.87%K -64.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.31%E -0.602%K -0.736%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 12:25
Mr Green (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.69%E -6.87%K -64.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.31%E -0.602%K -0.736%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 12:25
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.69%E -6.87%K -64.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.31%E -0.602%K -0.736%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 12:25
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -5.07%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 12:25
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.07%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 12:25
Grosvenor1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.07%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 12:25
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.07%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 12:25
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.07%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 12:00
Bally Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.07%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 12:25
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.69%E -6.87%K -64.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -5.07%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 12:25
LeoVegas1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.69%E -6.87%K -64.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -6.83%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 12:25
BetMGM1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.71%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 12:25
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.71%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -7.69%E -6.87%K -64.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -7.71%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 12:25
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 82.14%EV -7.69%E -6.87%K -64.08%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.86%EV -9.47%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 12:25
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -5.22%E -4.54%K -34.78%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -10.34%E -2.03%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 12:25
PMU (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 82.26%EV -9.34%E -8.49%K -93.38%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.74%EV -10.34%E -2.03%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-14 12:25
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 81.72%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -11.22%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 12:25
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.57%E -3.05%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.10%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 12:00
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.39%E -3.79%K -27.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -12.10%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 12:25
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.10%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 12:25
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.74%E -2.33%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -13.86%E -2.83%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 12:25
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.57%E -3.05%K -20.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -15.62%E -3.25%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 12:15
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -3.57%E -3.05%K -20.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -16.50%E -3.47%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 12:23
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -3.57%E -3.05%K -20.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -16.50%E -3.47%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 12:25
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -16.50%E -3.47%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 12:22
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -5.22%E -4.54%K -34.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -17.38%E -3.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 12:25
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -1.10%E -0.913%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -26.17%E -6.23%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 12:25
Marge = Marge (Wahrscheinlichkeitsüberschuss) · I = Implizite Wahrscheinlichkeit · NM = Margenbereinigte Wahrscheinlichkeit · EV = Erwartungswert · E = Vorteil · K = Kelly-Kriterium · G = Wachstum des Wettkapitals

Aktualisiert gibt an, wann der jeweilige Wettanbieter seinen Preis zuletzt geändert hat. Eine ältere Zeit bedeutet also, dass sich die Quote lediglich nicht bewegt hat, nicht dass sie veraltet ist. Anbieter, die seit etwa 15 Minuten nicht mehr erfasst wurden, werden normalerweise ausgeschlossen; nur wenn die Datenquelle eines ganzen Marktes verstummt, erscheinen stattdessen die zuletzt erfassten Preise.

Wettbörsen (7)

WettanbieterHeimAuswärtsMarge ▲Aktualisiert
ProphetX1.19I 84.03%NM 83.33%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.67%0.8%2026-04-14 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-04-14 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-14 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.6%2026-04-14 12:25
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 84.24%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.76%2.3%2026-04-14 12:25
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%2.6%2026-04-14 12:25
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 82.64%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.36%7.1%2026-04-14 12:25