La scuola delle quote

Elise Mertens v Ella Seidel

Inizio: 2026-04-14 12:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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62 bookmaker (22 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Elise Mertens (Casa)

Previsione 82.42%1.21quota equa
EV -1.10%
Vantaggio -0.913%
Kelly -5.48%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
77.78%82.50%82.36%85.68%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.091.141.141.2091.74%88.11%87.72%83.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Ella Seidel (Trasferta)

Previsione 17.58%5.69quota equa
EV +20.95%
Vantaggio +3.04%
Kelly +3.56%
Crescita +0.746%

ipotizzando la quota massima 6.88

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
14.32%17.50%17.64%22.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
4.205.565.536.8823.81%17.97%18.10%14.53%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (62 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.15I 86.96%NM 85.68%EV -5.22%E -4.54%K -34.78%G +0.000%6.88I 14.53%NM 14.32%EV +20.95%E +3.04%K +3.56%G +0.746%1.5%2026-04-14 12:25
Coral1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -8.51%E -7.67%K -77.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +14.27%E +2.19%K +2.59%G +0.370%5.5%2026-04-14 12:00
Ladbrokes (UK)1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -8.51%E -7.67%K -77.39%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV +14.27%E +2.19%K +2.59%G +0.370%5.5%2026-04-14 12:00
Betsson1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -10.16%E -9.32%K -112.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +14.27%E +2.19%K +2.59%G +0.370%7.1%2026-04-14 12:25
NordicBet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -10.16%E -9.32%K -112.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV +14.27%E +2.19%K +2.59%G +0.370%7.1%2026-04-14 12:25
Neds1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -9.34%E -8.49%K -93.38%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV +8.99%E +1.45%K +1.73%G +0.156%7.0%2026-04-14 12:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.10I 90.91%NM 84.93%EV -9.34%E -8.49%K -93.38%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.07%EV +8.99%E +1.45%K +1.73%G +0.156%7.0%2026-04-14 12:00
NetBet (FR)1.09I 91.74%NM 84.84%EV -10.16%E -9.32%K -112.91%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 15.16%EV +7.24%E +1.19%K +1.42%G +0.103%8.1%2026-04-14 12:15
Betway1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +5.48%E +0.913%K +1.10%G +0.060%5.2%2026-04-14 12:00
Bovada1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +5.48%E +0.913%K +1.10%G +0.060%5.2%2026-04-14 12:15
Paddy Power1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.51%E -7.67%K -77.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +5.48%E +0.913%K +1.10%G +0.060%6.8%2026-04-14 12:25
Sky Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -8.51%E -7.67%K -77.39%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV +5.48%E +0.913%K +1.10%G +0.060%6.8%2026-04-14 12:25
GTbets1.17I 85.47%NM 83.61%EV -3.57%E -3.05%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.97I 16.75%NM 16.39%EV +4.95%E +0.829%K +0.996%G +0.049%2.2%2026-04-14 12:15
LowVig.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +4.77%E +0.801%K +0.963%G +0.046%4.5%2026-04-14 12:00
BetOnline.ag1.14I 87.72%NM 83.94%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.06%EV +4.77%E +0.801%K +0.963%G +0.046%4.5%2026-04-14 12:00
Marathon Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 83.81%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 16.19%EV +2.84%E +0.486%K +0.586%G +0.017%5.6%2026-04-14 12:18
FanDuel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.57%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 16.43%EV +1.96%E +0.338%K +0.409%G +0.008%5.0%2026-04-14 12:24
Unibet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-14 12:25
Unibet (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-14 12:25
Unibet (NL)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-14 12:25
Casumo1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-14 12:25
Bet Right1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-14 12:00
ATG (SE)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-14 12:25
betPARX1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-14 12:25
Svenska Spel1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-14 12:25
Hard Rock Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.1%2026-04-14 12:25
PlayUp1.13I 88.50%NM 83.58%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.42%EV +1.08%E +0.188%K +0.228%G +0.002%5.9%2026-04-14 12:21
DraftKings1.15I 86.96%NM 83.21%EV -5.22%E -4.54%K -34.78%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.79%EV +0.203%E +0.036%K +0.043%G +0.000%4.5%2026-04-14 12:25
Codere (IT)1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -1.55%E -0.278%K -0.338%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 12:00
ReBet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -1.55%E -0.278%K -0.338%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 12:00
1xBet1.15I 86.96%NM 82.84%EV -5.22%E -4.54%K -34.78%G +0.000%5.55I 18.02%NM 17.16%EV -2.43%E -0.438%K -0.535%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 12:14
Unibet (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.31%E -0.602%K -0.736%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 12:00
BetUS1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.31%E -0.602%K -0.736%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 12:00
Betr (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -3.31%E -0.602%K -0.736%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-14 12:00
888sport1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.69%E -6.87%K -64.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.31%E -0.602%K -0.736%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 12:25
Mr Green (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.69%E -6.87%K -64.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.31%E -0.602%K -0.736%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 12:25
888sport (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.69%E -6.87%K -64.08%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -3.31%E -0.602%K -0.736%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 12:25
BetRivers1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -5.07%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 12:25
LiveScore Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.07%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 12:25
Grosvenor1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.07%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 12:25
Virgin Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.07%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 12:25
SportsBet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.07%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 12:00
Bally Bet1.13I 88.50%NM 82.70%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.30%EV -5.07%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 12:25
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.82%EV -7.69%E -6.87%K -64.08%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.18%EV -5.07%E -0.939%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-14 12:25
LeoVegas1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.69%E -6.87%K -64.08%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -6.83%E -1.29%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 12:25
BetMGM1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.71%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 12:25
PointsBet (AU)1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -7.71%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 12:25
LeoVegas (SE)1.12I 89.29%NM 82.42%EV -7.69%E -6.87%K -64.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.58%EV -7.71%E -1.47%K -1.81%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 12:25
Fliff1.12I 89.29%NM 82.14%EV -7.69%E -6.87%K -64.08%G +0.000%5.15I 19.42%NM 17.86%EV -9.47%E -1.84%K -2.28%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-14 12:25
Winamax (FR)1.15I 86.96%NM 81.60%EV -5.22%E -4.54%K -34.78%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.40%EV -10.34%E -2.03%K -2.52%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 12:25
PMU (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 82.26%EV -9.34%E -8.49%K -93.38%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 17.74%EV -10.34%E -2.03%K -2.52%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-14 12:25
Fanatics1.13I 88.50%NM 81.72%EV -6.86%E -6.08%K -52.81%G +0.000%5.05I 19.80%NM 18.28%EV -11.22%E -2.22%K -2.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 12:25
William Hill1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -3.57%E -3.05%K -20.99%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -12.10%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 12:00
TABtouch1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.39%E -3.79%K -27.45%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -12.10%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 12:25
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.10%E -2.42%K -3.03%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-14 12:25
Coolbet1.18I 84.75%NM 80.59%EV -2.74%E -2.33%K -15.24%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.41%EV -13.86%E -2.83%K -3.55%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 12:25
Caesars1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -3.57%E -3.05%K -20.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -15.62%E -3.25%K -4.11%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 12:15
Bet Victor1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -3.57%E -3.05%K -20.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -16.50%E -3.47%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 12:23
theScore Bet1.17I 85.47%NM 80.24%EV -3.57%E -3.05%K -20.99%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.76%EV -16.50%E -3.47%K -4.40%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-14 12:25
Betclic (FR)1.14I 87.72%NM 80.65%EV -6.04%E -5.30%K -43.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.35%EV -16.50%E -3.47%K -4.40%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-14 12:22
Tipico (DE)1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -5.22%E -4.54%K -34.78%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -17.38%E -3.70%K -4.70%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-14 12:25
TAB1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -1.10%E -0.913%K -5.48%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -26.17%E -6.23%K -8.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 12:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (7)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
ProphetX1.19I 84.03%NM 83.33%5.95I 16.81%NM 16.67%0.8%2026-04-14 12:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%0.8%2026-04-14 12:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.18I 84.75%NM 84.01%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.99%0.9%2026-04-14 12:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.22I 81.97%NM 80.70%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.30%1.6%2026-04-14 12:25
Smarkets1.16I 86.21%NM 84.24%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.76%2.3%2026-04-14 12:25
Matchbook1.15I 86.96%NM 84.77%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.23%2.6%2026-04-14 12:25
Novig1.13I 88.50%NM 82.64%5.38I 18.59%NM 17.36%7.1%2026-04-14 12:25