Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ekaterina Alexandrova v Gabriela Knutson

Kickoff: 2026-04-14 13:40 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

63 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local)

Prediction 85.34%1.17fair odd
EV -2.71%
Edge -2.37%
Kelly -19.33%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.14

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
83.08%85.27%85.37%86.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.101.101.1493.46%90.58%90.91%87.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Gabriela Knutson (Visit)

Prediction 14.66%6.82fair odd
EV +7.86%
Edge +1.07%
Kelly +1.24%
Growth +0.097%

assuming max odds 7.36

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.21%14.73%14.63%16.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.586.507.3618.18%15.20%15.38%13.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local): 85.34%; Gabriela Knutson (Visit): 14.66%. For Gabriela Knutson (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.82. 23 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.36, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.86%.

Sportsbook Odds (63 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.79%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.78%G +0.000%7.36I 13.59%NM 13.21%EV +7.86%E +1.07%K +1.24%G +0.097%2.9%2026-04-14 13:29
FanDuel🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV +5.52%E +0.766%K +0.890%G +0.049%4.0%2026-04-14 13:35
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
Grosvenor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
Casumo🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
BetUS🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
William Hill🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.83%E -7.25%K -97.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%6.9%2026-04-14 13:35
888sport🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.83%E -7.25%K -97.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%6.9%2026-04-14 13:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.83%E -7.25%K -97.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%6.9%2026-04-14 13:35
888sport (SE)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.83%E -7.25%K -97.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%6.9%2026-04-14 13:35
BetAnything🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV +1.85%E +0.267%K +0.311%G +0.006%5.3%2026-04-14 13:35
Winamax (DE)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.08%E -0.160%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 13:34
Bet Right🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.08%E -0.160%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 13:35
NetBet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -8.68%E -8.11%K -124.01%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -1.08%E -0.160%K -0.187%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 13:35
Coolbet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -1.81%E -0.270%K -0.318%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 13:34
Tipico (DE)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.68%E -8.11%K -124.01%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -1.81%E -0.270%K -0.318%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-14 13:35
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -3.28%E -0.496%K -0.585%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -3.28%E -0.496%K -0.585%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 13:34
1xBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.78%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -4.16%E -0.635%K -0.750%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 13:35
Bovada🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.74%E -0.729%K -0.862%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 13:33
Betway🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.74%E -0.729%K -0.862%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 13:35
Coral🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.74%E -0.729%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.74%E -0.729%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 13:35
Unibet (FR)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.74%E -0.729%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 13:35
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.74%E -0.729%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 13:35
LowVig.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.11%EV -3.56%E -3.15%K -27.39%G +0.000%6.46I 15.48%NM 14.89%EV -5.33%E -0.825%K -0.976%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 13:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.11%EV -3.56%E -3.15%K -27.39%G +0.000%6.46I 15.48%NM 14.89%EV -5.33%E -0.825%K -0.976%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 13:35
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -5.47%E -0.849%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 13:35
GTbets🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.24%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.41I 15.60%NM 14.76%EV -6.06%E -0.945%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 13:35
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -6.21%E -0.970%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 13:35
LiveScore Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.97%E -6.40%K -77.49%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -6.21%E -0.970%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 13:35
Virgin Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.97%E -6.40%K -77.49%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -6.21%E -0.970%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 13:35
Neds🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.97%E -6.40%K -77.49%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -6.21%E -0.970%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.97%E -6.40%K -77.49%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -6.21%E -0.970%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 13:35
DraftKings🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.89%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.78%G +0.000%6.29I 15.90%NM 15.11%EV -7.82%E -1.24%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:34
Betr (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -8.41%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 13:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -8.41%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 13:35
PMU (FR)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -7.83%E -7.25%K -97.84%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -8.41%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 13:35
Betsson🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -9.14%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 13:35
NordicBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -9.14%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 13:35
Codere (IT)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -9.14%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 13:35
BoyleSports🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.71%E -2.37%K -19.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -12.07%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-14 13:35
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.07%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 13:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.07%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 13:35
TAB🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.07%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 13:35
Caesars🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.07%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 13:34
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.07%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 13:35
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.07%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 13:35
Everygame🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.07%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 13:29
Marathon Bet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -2.71%E -2.37%K -19.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -17.93%E -3.20%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 13:34
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -19.40%E -3.53%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 13:33
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-04-14 13:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-04-14 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-04-14 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-04-14 13:35
Novig1.12I 89.29%NM 87.46%7.81I 12.80%NM 12.54%2.1%2026-04-14 13:35
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92%2.3%2026-04-14 13:35
ProphetX1.12I 89.29%NM 87.16%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84%2.4%2026-04-14 13:35