L’École des cotes

Ekaterina Alexandrova v Gabriela Knutson

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-14 13:40 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

63 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Local)

Prévision 85.34%1.17cote équitable
EV -2.71%
Avantage -2.37%
Kelly -19.33%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.14

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
83.08%85.27%85.37%86.79%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.071.101.101.1493.46%90.58%90.91%87.72%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Gabriela Knutson (Visiteur)

Prévision 14.66%6.82cote équitable
EV +7.86%
Avantage +1.07%
Kelly +1.24%
Croissance +0.097%

avec la cote maximale 7.36

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.21%14.73%14.63%16.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.506.586.507.3618.18%15.20%15.38%13.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (63 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.12I 89.29%NM 86.79%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.78%G +0.000%7.36I 13.59%NM 13.21%EV +7.86%E +1.07%K +1.24%G +0.097%2.9%2026-04-14 13:29
FanDuel1.11I 90.09%NM 86.64%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 13.36%EV +5.52%E +0.766%K +0.890%G +0.049%4.0%2026-04-14 13:35
Unibet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
Unibet (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
TABtouch1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
LeoVegas1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
Grosvenor1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
Unibet (NL)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
Casumo1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
BetRivers1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
Sky Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
BetUS1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
ATG (SE)1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
Bally Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
betPARX1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
Svenska Spel1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
Hard Rock Bet1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%5.2%2026-04-14 13:35
William Hill1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.83%E -7.25%K -97.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%6.9%2026-04-14 13:35
888sport1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.83%E -7.25%K -97.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%6.9%2026-04-14 13:35
Mr Green (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.83%E -7.25%K -97.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%6.9%2026-04-14 13:35
888sport (SE)1.08I 92.59%NM 86.63%EV -7.83%E -7.25%K -97.84%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.37%EV +2.59%E +0.369%K +0.431%G +0.011%6.9%2026-04-14 13:35
BetAnything1.10I 90.91%NM 86.34%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%6.95I 14.39%NM 13.66%EV +1.85%E +0.267%K +0.311%G +0.006%5.3%2026-04-14 13:35
Winamax (DE)1.12I 89.29%NM 85.77%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.78%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.23%EV -1.08%E -0.160%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.1%2026-04-14 13:34
Bet Right1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -1.08%E -0.160%K -0.187%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 13:35
NetBet (FR)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.32%EV -8.68%E -8.11%K -124.01%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.68%EV -1.08%E -0.160%K -0.187%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 13:35
Coolbet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.79%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 14.21%EV -1.81%E -0.270%K -0.318%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 13:34
Tipico (DE)1.07I 93.46%NM 86.23%EV -8.68%E -8.11%K -124.01%G +0.000%6.70I 14.93%NM 13.77%EV -1.81%E -0.270%K -0.318%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-14 13:35
Fanatics1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -3.28%E -0.496%K -0.585%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:34
Betclic (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -3.28%E -0.496%K -0.585%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 13:34
1xBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.38%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.78%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.62%EV -4.16%E -0.635%K -0.750%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 13:35
Bovada1.12I 89.29%NM 85.30%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.78%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.70%EV -4.74%E -0.729%K -0.862%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-14 13:33
Betway1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -4.74%E -0.729%K -0.862%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 13:35
Coral1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.74%E -0.729%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 13:35
Ladbrokes (UK)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.74%E -0.729%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 13:35
Unibet (FR)1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.74%E -0.729%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 13:35
BetMGM1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -4.74%E -0.729%K -0.862%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-14 13:35
LowVig.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 85.11%EV -3.56%E -3.15%K -27.39%G +0.000%6.46I 15.48%NM 14.89%EV -5.33%E -0.825%K -0.976%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 13:35
BetOnline.ag1.13I 88.50%NM 85.11%EV -3.56%E -3.15%K -27.39%G +0.000%6.46I 15.48%NM 14.89%EV -5.33%E -0.825%K -0.976%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-14 13:35
theScore Bet1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -5.47%E -0.849%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 13:35
GTbets1.11I 90.09%NM 85.24%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.41I 15.60%NM 14.76%EV -6.06%E -0.945%K -1.12%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 13:35
ReBet1.12I 89.29%NM 85.11%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.78%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%EV -6.21%E -0.970%K -1.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-14 13:35
LiveScore Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.97%E -6.40%K -77.49%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -6.21%E -0.970%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 13:35
Virgin Bet1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.97%E -6.40%K -77.49%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -6.21%E -0.970%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 13:35
Neds1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.97%E -6.40%K -77.49%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -6.21%E -0.970%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 13:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.09I 91.74%NM 85.45%EV -6.97%E -6.40%K -77.49%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.55%EV -6.21%E -0.970%K -1.15%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-14 13:35
DraftKings1.12I 89.29%NM 84.89%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.78%G +0.000%6.29I 15.90%NM 15.11%EV -7.82%E -1.24%K -1.48%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 13:34
Betr (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -8.41%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 13:35
PointsBet (AU)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.92%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.08%EV -8.41%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 13:35
PMU (FR)1.08I 92.59%NM 85.27%EV -7.83%E -7.25%K -97.84%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.73%EV -8.41%E -1.34%K -1.60%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-14 13:35
Betsson1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -9.14%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 13:35
NordicBet1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -9.14%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 13:35
Codere (IT)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.82%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.20I 16.13%NM 15.18%EV -9.14%E -1.47%K -1.76%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 13:35
BoyleSports1.14I 87.72%NM 84.03%EV -2.71%E -2.37%K -19.33%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.97%EV -12.07%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.4%2026-04-14 13:35
PlayUp1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.78%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -12.07%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-14 13:35
Winamax (FR)1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.07%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 13:35
TAB1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.07%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 13:35
Caesars1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -5.27%E -4.75%K -47.88%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -12.07%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 13:34
Paddy Power1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.07%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 13:35
SportsBet1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.07%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 13:35
Everygame1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -6.12%E -5.56%K -61.21%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -12.07%E -2.01%K -2.41%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 13:29
Marathon Bet1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -2.71%E -2.37%K -19.33%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -17.93%E -3.20%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-14 13:34
Bet Victor1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -4.41%E -3.94%K -36.78%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -19.40%E -3.53%K -4.31%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-14 13:33
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (7)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-04-14 13:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-04-14 13:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-04-14 13:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 87.98%8.20I 12.20%NM 12.02%1.5%2026-04-14 13:35
Novig1.12I 89.29%NM 87.46%7.81I 12.80%NM 12.54%2.1%2026-04-14 13:35
Smarkets1.11I 90.09%NM 88.08%8.20I 12.20%NM 11.92%2.3%2026-04-14 13:35
ProphetX1.12I 89.29%NM 87.16%7.60I 13.16%NM 12.84%2.4%2026-04-14 13:35