A Escola das Odds

Antonia Ruzic v Liudmila Samsonova

Início: 2026-04-13 19:52 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

62 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Antonia Ruzic (Local)

Previsão 19.97%5.01odd justa
EV +14.81%
Vantagem +2.58%
Kelly +3.12%
Crescimento +0.462%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
16.30%21.75%19.57%34.37%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
2.744.124.355.7536.50%24.28%22.99%17.39%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante)

Previsão 80.03%1.25odd justa
EV +15.25%
Vantagem +10.59%
Kelly +34.65%
Crescimento +5.28%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.44

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
65.63%78.25%80.43%83.70%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.121.241.201.4489.29%80.54%83.33%69.44%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (62 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼MargemAtualização
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -45.09%E -16.40%K -25.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +15.25%E +10.59%K +34.65%G +5.28%5.8%2026-04-13 19:38
LowVig.ag2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -41.89%E -14.40%K -21.93%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV +14.45%E +10.10%K +33.60%G +4.85%4.3%2026-04-13 19:40
BetOnline.ag2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -41.89%E -14.40%K -21.93%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV +14.45%E +10.10%K +33.60%G +4.85%4.3%2026-04-13 19:39
1xBet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -42.89%E -15.00%K -23.06%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV +14.45%E +10.10%K +33.60%G +4.85%4.9%2026-04-13 19:29
Bet Right2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -42.49%E -14.75%K -22.60%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV +13.65%E +9.61%K +32.49%G +4.43%5.1%2026-04-13 19:39
Marathon Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -43.09%E -15.12%K -23.29%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +13.65%E +9.61%K +32.49%G +4.43%5.5%2026-04-13 19:29
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -44.09%E -15.75%K -24.50%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +13.65%E +9.61%K +32.49%G +4.43%6.1%2026-04-13 19:40
ReBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -42.09%E -14.52%K -22.15%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV +12.85%E +9.11%K +31.33%G +4.02%5.4%2026-04-13 19:29
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -43.09%E -15.12%K -23.29%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV +12.85%E +9.11%K +31.33%G +4.02%6.0%2026-04-13 19:29
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -43.09%E -15.12%K -23.29%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV +12.85%E +9.11%K +31.33%G +4.02%6.0%2026-04-13 19:40
GTbets2.74I 36.50%NM 33.98%EV -45.29%E -16.53%K -26.03%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV +12.85%E +9.11%K +31.33%G +4.02%7.4%2026-04-13 19:39
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -40.10%E -13.37%K -20.05%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +12.05%E +8.60%K +30.11%G +3.63%4.8%2026-04-13 19:40
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -40.10%E -13.37%K -20.05%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +12.05%E +8.60%K +30.11%G +3.63%4.8%2026-04-13 19:42
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -43.09%E -15.12%K -23.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV +12.05%E +8.60%K +30.11%G +3.63%6.5%2026-04-13 19:31
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -44.09%E -15.75%K -24.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +12.05%E +8.60%K +30.11%G +3.63%7.1%2026-04-13 19:38
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -44.09%E -15.75%K -24.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +12.05%E +8.60%K +30.11%G +3.63%7.1%2026-04-13 19:38
SportsBet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.79%EV -41.30%E -14.05%K -21.29%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.21%EV +9.64%E +7.04%K +26.07%G +2.51%7.0%2026-04-13 19:39
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 31.88%EV -43.69%E -15.49%K -24.01%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.12%EV +5.64%E +4.27%K +17.63%G +0.995%11.2%2026-04-13 19:39
Pinnacle4.41I 22.68%NM 22.08%EV -11.94%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.92%EV +0.041%E +0.033%K +0.163%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-13 19:50
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -20.13%E -5.03%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.36%E -1.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 19:50
Unibet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -13.14%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.16%E -2.61%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 19:50
Unibet (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -13.14%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.16%E -2.61%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 19:50
Unibet (NL)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -13.14%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.16%E -2.61%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 19:50
Casumo4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -13.14%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.16%E -2.61%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 19:50
ATG (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -13.14%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.16%E -2.61%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 19:50
betPARX4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -13.14%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.16%E -2.61%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 19:50
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -13.14%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.16%E -2.61%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 19:50
TABtouch4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -16.14%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -3.16%E -2.61%K -15.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-13 19:50
BetRivers4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -16.14%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -3.16%E -2.61%K -15.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-13 19:50
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.14%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.96%E -3.30%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 19:50
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.14%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.96%E -3.30%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 19:50
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.14%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.96%E -3.30%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 19:50
Bally Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.14%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.96%E -3.30%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 19:50
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -18.13%E -4.42%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -4.76%E -4.00%K -25.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-13 19:50
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.163%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.56%E -4.71%K -30.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 19:50
FanDuel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.16%E -0.866%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.56%E -4.71%K -30.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 19:50
Caesars4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.14%E -2.76%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.56%E -4.71%K -30.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -18.13%E -4.42%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -5.56%E -4.71%K -30.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-13 19:50
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -4.16%E -0.866%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.36%E -5.44%K -37.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 19:50
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -13.54%E -3.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.73%EV -6.36%E -5.44%K -37.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 19:50
Betclic (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -16.14%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -6.36%E -5.44%K -37.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 19:48
DraftKings5.34I 18.73%NM 17.85%EV +6.63%E +1.24%K +1.53%G +0.101%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.15%EV -7.16%E -6.17%K -44.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 19:50
Coolbet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +5.83%E +1.10%K +1.36%G +0.079%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -7.16%E -6.17%K -44.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 19:50
NordicBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -2.16%E -0.441%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -7.16%E -6.17%K -44.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 19:50
Winamax (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -4.16%E -0.866%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -7.16%E -6.17%K -44.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 19:50
PMU (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -21.13%E -5.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.30%EV -7.16%E -6.17%K -44.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-13 19:50
Betsson5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.163%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.96%E -6.92%K -53.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 19:50
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.163%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.96%E -6.92%K -53.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 19:50
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.163%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.96%E -6.92%K -53.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 19:50
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.15%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.96%E -6.92%K -53.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 19:50
Mr Green (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.15%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.96%E -6.92%K -53.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 19:50
888sport (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.15%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.96%E -6.92%K -53.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 19:50
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -6.15%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.96%E -6.92%K -53.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-13 19:50
Fliff4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -8.15%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.96%E -6.92%K -53.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 19:50
Betway5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +14.81%E +2.58%K +3.12%G +0.462%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -8.76%E -7.69%K -62.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +4.83%E +0.920%K +1.14%G +0.055%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.76%E -7.69%K -62.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-13 19:50
Winamax (DE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV +1.83%E +0.360%K +0.447%G +0.008%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -8.76%E -7.69%K -62.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 19:50
Fanatics4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -2.16%E -0.441%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.76%E -7.69%K -62.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 19:50
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -10.15%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -8.76%E -7.69%K -62.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-13 19:50
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -10.15%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -8.76%E -7.69%K -62.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-13 19:50
BetMGM5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +14.81%E +2.58%K +3.12%G +0.462%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -10.36%E -9.25%K -86.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 19:50
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +9.82%E +1.79%K +2.18%G +0.214%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -10.36%E -9.25%K -86.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 19:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-04-13 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-04-13 19:50
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-04-13 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%1.2%2026-04-13 19:50
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%1.6%2026-04-13 19:50
Novig5.29I 18.90%NM 17.98%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.02%5.1%2026-04-13 19:50