La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Antonia Ruzic v Liudmila Samsonova
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Antonia Ruzic (Local)
Predicción 19.97%5.01momio equitativo
EV +14.81%
Ventaja +2.58%
Kelly +3.12%
Crecimiento +0.462%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 5.75
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.30%21.75%19.57%34.37%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.744.124.355.7536.50%24.28%22.99%17.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Liudmila Samsonova (Visitante)
Predicción 80.03%1.25momio equitativo
EV +15.25%
Ventaja +10.59%
Kelly +34.65%
Crecimiento +5.28%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.44
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
65.63%78.25%80.43%83.70%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.121.241.201.4489.29%80.54%83.33%69.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (62 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local | Visitante ▼ | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -45.09%E -16.40%K -25.77%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +15.25%E +10.59%K +34.65%G +5.28% | 5.8% | 2026-04-13 19:38 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -41.89%E -14.40%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV +14.45%E +10.10%K +33.60%G +4.85% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 19:40 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -41.89%E -14.40%K -21.93%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV +14.45%E +10.10%K +33.60%G +4.85% | 4.3% | 2026-04-13 19:39 |
| 1xBet | 2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -42.89%E -15.00%K -23.06%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV +14.45%E +10.10%K +33.60%G +4.85% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 19:29 |
| Bet Right | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -42.49%E -14.75%K -22.60%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV +13.65%E +9.61%K +32.49%G +4.43% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 19:39 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -43.09%E -15.12%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +13.65%E +9.61%K +32.49%G +4.43% | 5.5% | 2026-04-13 19:29 |
| PlayUp | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -44.09%E -15.75%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +13.65%E +9.61%K +32.49%G +4.43% | 6.1% | 2026-04-13 19:40 |
| ReBet | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -42.09%E -14.52%K -22.15%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV +12.85%E +9.11%K +31.33%G +4.02% | 5.4% | 2026-04-13 19:29 |
| Unibet (FR) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -43.09%E -15.12%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV +12.85%E +9.11%K +31.33%G +4.02% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 19:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -43.09%E -15.12%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV +12.85%E +9.11%K +31.33%G +4.02% | 6.0% | 2026-04-13 19:40 |
| GTbets | 2.74I 36.50%NM 33.98%EV -45.29%E -16.53%K -26.03%G +0.000% | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV +12.85%E +9.11%K +31.33%G +4.02% | 7.4% | 2026-04-13 19:39 |
| BetUS | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -40.10%E -13.37%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +12.05%E +8.60%K +30.11%G +3.63% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 19:40 |
| Bovada | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -40.10%E -13.37%K -20.05%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +12.05%E +8.60%K +30.11%G +3.63% | 4.8% | 2026-04-13 19:42 |
| Codere (IT) | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -43.09%E -15.12%K -23.29%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV +12.05%E +8.60%K +30.11%G +3.63% | 6.5% | 2026-04-13 19:31 |
| Neds | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -44.09%E -15.75%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +12.05%E +8.60%K +30.11%G +3.63% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 19:38 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -44.09%E -15.75%K -24.50%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +12.05%E +8.60%K +30.11%G +3.63% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 19:38 |
| SportsBet | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.79%EV -41.30%E -14.05%K -21.29%G +0.000% | 1.37I 72.99%NM 68.21%EV +9.64%E +7.04%K +26.07%G +2.51% | 7.0% | 2026-04-13 19:39 |
| NetBet (FR) | 2.82I 35.46%NM 31.88%EV -43.69%E -15.49%K -24.01%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 68.12%EV +5.64%E +4.27%K +17.63%G +0.995% | 11.2% | 2026-04-13 19:39 |
| Pinnacle | 4.41I 22.68%NM 22.08%EV -11.94%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 1.25I 80.00%NM 77.92%EV +0.041%E +0.033%K +0.163%G +0.000% | 2.7% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| TAB | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -20.13%E -5.03%K -6.71%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.36%E -1.93%K -10.73%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Unibet | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -13.14%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.16%E -2.61%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Unibet (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -13.14%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.16%E -2.61%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Unibet (NL) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -13.14%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.16%E -2.61%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Casumo | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -13.14%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.16%E -2.61%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| ATG (SE) | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -13.14%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.16%E -2.61%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| betPARX | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -13.14%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.16%E -2.61%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Svenska Spel | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -13.14%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.16%E -2.61%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| TABtouch | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -16.14%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -3.16%E -2.61%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| BetRivers | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -16.14%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -3.16%E -2.61%K -15.05%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| LiveScore Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.14%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.96%E -3.30%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Grosvenor | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.14%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.96%E -3.30%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Virgin Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.14%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.96%E -3.30%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Bally Bet | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.14%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.96%E -3.30%K -19.80%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| LeoVegas | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -18.13%E -4.42%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -4.76%E -4.00%K -25.06%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.163%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.56%E -4.71%K -30.90%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| FanDuel | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.16%E -0.866%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.56%E -4.71%K -30.90%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Caesars | 4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.14%E -2.76%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.56%E -4.71%K -30.90%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -18.13%E -4.42%K -5.85%G +0.000% | 1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -5.56%E -4.71%K -30.90%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Coral | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -4.16%E -0.866%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.36%E -5.44%K -37.42%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| BoyleSports | 4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -13.54%E -3.13%K -4.07%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.73%EV -6.36%E -5.44%K -37.42%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -16.14%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -6.36%E -5.44%K -37.42%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-13 19:48 |
| DraftKings | 5.34I 18.73%NM 17.85%EV +6.63%E +1.24%K +1.53%G +0.101% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.15%EV -7.16%E -6.17%K -44.76%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Coolbet | 5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +5.83%E +1.10%K +1.36%G +0.079% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -7.16%E -6.17%K -44.76%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| NordicBet | 4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -2.16%E -0.441%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -7.16%E -6.17%K -44.76%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -4.16%E -0.866%K -1.09%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -7.16%E -6.17%K -44.76%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| PMU (FR) | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -21.13%E -5.35%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 77.30%EV -7.16%E -6.17%K -44.76%G +0.000% | 11.5% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Betsson | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.163%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.96%E -6.92%K -53.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.163%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.96%E -6.92%K -53.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| theScore Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.163%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.96%E -6.92%K -53.08%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| 888sport | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.15%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.96%E -6.92%K -53.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.15%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.96%E -6.92%K -53.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| 888sport (SE) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.15%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.96%E -6.92%K -53.08%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Tipico (DE) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -6.15%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.96%E -6.92%K -53.08%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Fliff | 4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -8.15%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.96%E -6.92%K -53.08%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Betway | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +14.81%E +2.58%K +3.12%G +0.462% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -8.76%E -7.69%K -62.59%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +4.83%E +0.920%K +1.14%G +0.055% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.76%E -7.69%K -62.59%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV +1.83%E +0.360%K +0.447%G +0.008% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -8.76%E -7.69%K -62.59%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Fanatics | 4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -2.16%E -0.441%K -0.554%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.76%E -7.69%K -62.59%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Paddy Power | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -10.15%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -8.76%E -7.69%K -62.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Sky Bet | 4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -10.15%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -8.76%E -7.69%K -62.59%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| BetMGM | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +14.81%E +2.58%K +3.12%G +0.462% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -10.36%E -9.25%K -86.36%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Bet Victor | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +9.82%E +1.79%K +2.18%G +0.214% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -10.36%E -9.25%K -86.36%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Smarkets | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55% | 1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45% | 0.7% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69% | 1.2% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Matchbook | 6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12% | 1.6% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |
| Novig | 5.29I 18.90%NM 17.98% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 82.02% | 5.1% | 2026-04-13 19:50 |