L’École des cotes

Antonia Ruzic v Liudmila Samsonova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-13 19:52 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

62 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Antonia Ruzic (Local)

Prévision 19.97%5.01cote équitable
EV +14.81%
Avantage +2.58%
Kelly +3.12%
Croissance +0.462%

avec la cote maximale 5.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
16.30%21.75%19.57%34.37%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.744.124.355.7536.50%24.28%22.99%17.39%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Liudmila Samsonova (Visiteur)

Prévision 80.03%1.25cote équitable
EV +15.25%
Avantage +10.59%
Kelly +34.65%
Croissance +5.28%

avec la cote maximale 1.44

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
65.63%78.25%80.43%83.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.121.241.201.4489.29%80.54%83.33%69.44%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (62 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
William Hill2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -45.09%E -16.40%K -25.77%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV +15.25%E +10.59%K +34.65%G +5.28%5.8%2026-04-13 19:38
LowVig.ag2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -41.89%E -14.40%K -21.93%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV +14.45%E +10.10%K +33.60%G +4.85%4.3%2026-04-13 19:40
BetOnline.ag2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV -41.89%E -14.40%K -21.93%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV +14.45%E +10.10%K +33.60%G +4.85%4.3%2026-04-13 19:39
1xBet2.86I 34.97%NM 33.33%EV -42.89%E -15.00%K -23.06%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.67%EV +14.45%E +10.10%K +33.60%G +4.85%4.9%2026-04-13 19:29
Bet Right2.88I 34.72%NM 33.02%EV -42.49%E -14.75%K -22.60%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.98%EV +13.65%E +9.61%K +32.49%G +4.43%5.1%2026-04-13 19:39
Marathon Bet2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV -43.09%E -15.12%K -23.29%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV +13.65%E +9.61%K +32.49%G +4.43%5.5%2026-04-13 19:29
PlayUp2.80I 35.71%NM 33.65%EV -44.09%E -15.75%K -24.50%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.35%EV +13.65%E +9.61%K +32.49%G +4.43%6.1%2026-04-13 19:40
ReBet2.90I 34.48%NM 32.71%EV -42.09%E -14.52%K -22.15%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 67.29%EV +12.85%E +9.11%K +31.33%G +4.02%5.4%2026-04-13 19:29
Unibet (FR)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -43.09%E -15.12%K -23.29%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV +12.85%E +9.11%K +31.33%G +4.02%6.0%2026-04-13 19:29
Betr (AU)2.85I 35.09%NM 33.10%EV -43.09%E -15.12%K -23.29%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.90%EV +12.85%E +9.11%K +31.33%G +4.02%6.0%2026-04-13 19:40
GTbets2.74I 36.50%NM 33.98%EV -45.29%E -16.53%K -26.03%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV +12.85%E +9.11%K +31.33%G +4.02%7.4%2026-04-13 19:39
BetUS3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -40.10%E -13.37%K -20.05%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +12.05%E +8.60%K +30.11%G +3.63%4.8%2026-04-13 19:40
Bovada3.00I 33.33%NM 31.82%EV -40.10%E -13.37%K -20.05%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 68.18%EV +12.05%E +8.60%K +30.11%G +3.63%4.8%2026-04-13 19:42
Codere (IT)2.85I 35.09%NM 32.94%EV -43.09%E -15.12%K -23.29%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.06%EV +12.05%E +8.60%K +30.11%G +3.63%6.5%2026-04-13 19:31
Neds2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -44.09%E -15.75%K -24.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +12.05%E +8.60%K +30.11%G +3.63%7.1%2026-04-13 19:38
Ladbrokes (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -44.09%E -15.75%K -24.50%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV +12.05%E +8.60%K +30.11%G +3.63%7.1%2026-04-13 19:38
SportsBet2.94I 34.01%NM 31.79%EV -41.30%E -14.05%K -21.29%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 68.21%EV +9.64%E +7.04%K +26.07%G +2.51%7.0%2026-04-13 19:39
NetBet (FR)2.82I 35.46%NM 31.88%EV -43.69%E -15.49%K -24.01%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 68.12%EV +5.64%E +4.27%K +17.63%G +0.995%11.2%2026-04-13 19:39
Pinnacle4.41I 22.68%NM 22.08%EV -11.94%E -2.71%K -3.50%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 77.92%EV +0.041%E +0.033%K +0.163%G +0.000%2.7%2026-04-13 19:50
TAB4.00I 25.00%NM 23.37%EV -20.13%E -5.03%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 76.63%EV -2.36%E -1.93%K -10.73%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 19:50
Unibet4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -13.14%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.16%E -2.61%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 19:50
Unibet (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -13.14%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.16%E -2.61%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 19:50
Unibet (NL)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -13.14%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.16%E -2.61%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 19:50
Casumo4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -13.14%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.16%E -2.61%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 19:50
ATG (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -13.14%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.16%E -2.61%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 19:50
betPARX4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -13.14%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.16%E -2.61%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 19:50
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 21.76%EV -13.14%E -3.02%K -3.92%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 78.24%EV -3.16%E -2.61%K -15.05%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 19:50
TABtouch4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -16.14%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -3.16%E -2.61%K -15.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-13 19:50
BetRivers4.20I 23.81%NM 22.37%EV -16.14%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.21I 82.64%NM 77.63%EV -3.16%E -2.61%K -15.05%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-13 19:50
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.14%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.96%E -3.30%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 19:50
Grosvenor4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.14%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.96%E -3.30%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 19:50
Virgin Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.14%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.96%E -3.30%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 19:50
Bally Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -16.14%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.20I 83.33%NM 77.78%EV -3.96%E -3.30%K -19.80%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-13 19:50
LeoVegas4.10I 24.39%NM 22.50%EV -18.13%E -4.42%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.19I 84.03%NM 77.50%EV -4.76%E -4.00%K -25.06%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-13 19:50
Hard Rock Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 19.09%EV -0.163%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.91%EV -5.56%E -4.71%K -30.90%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-13 19:50
FanDuel4.80I 20.83%NM 19.73%EV -4.16%E -0.866%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 80.27%EV -5.56%E -4.71%K -30.90%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-13 19:50
Caesars4.40I 22.73%NM 21.15%EV -12.14%E -2.76%K -3.57%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 78.85%EV -5.56%E -4.71%K -30.90%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 19:50
LeoVegas (SE)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.35%EV -18.13%E -4.42%K -5.85%G +0.000%1.18I 84.75%NM 77.65%EV -5.56%E -4.71%K -30.90%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-13 19:50
Coral4.80I 20.83%NM 19.60%EV -4.16%E -0.866%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 80.40%EV -6.36%E -5.44%K -37.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-13 19:50
BoyleSports4.33I 23.09%NM 21.27%EV -13.54%E -3.13%K -4.07%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.73%EV -6.36%E -5.44%K -37.42%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-13 19:50
Betclic (FR)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.79%EV -16.14%E -3.84%K -5.04%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 78.21%EV -6.36%E -5.44%K -37.42%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 19:48
DraftKings5.34I 18.73%NM 17.85%EV +6.63%E +1.24%K +1.53%G +0.101%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.15%EV -7.16%E -6.17%K -44.76%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-13 19:50
Coolbet5.30I 18.87%NM 17.96%EV +5.83%E +1.10%K +1.36%G +0.079%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.04%EV -7.16%E -6.17%K -44.76%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 19:50
NordicBet4.90I 20.41%NM 19.14%EV -2.16%E -0.441%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.86%EV -7.16%E -6.17%K -44.76%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-13 19:50
Winamax (FR)4.80I 20.83%NM 19.46%EV -4.16%E -0.866%K -1.09%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 80.54%EV -7.16%E -6.17%K -44.76%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 19:50
PMU (FR)3.95I 25.32%NM 22.70%EV -21.13%E -5.35%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.16I 86.21%NM 77.30%EV -7.16%E -6.17%K -44.76%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-13 19:50
Betsson5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.163%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.96%E -6.92%K -53.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 19:50
PointsBet (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.163%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.96%E -6.92%K -53.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 19:50
theScore Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -0.163%E -0.033%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -7.96%E -6.92%K -53.08%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-13 19:50
888sport4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.15%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.96%E -6.92%K -53.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 19:50
Mr Green (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.15%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.96%E -6.92%K -53.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 19:50
888sport (SE)4.75I 21.05%NM 19.49%EV -5.15%E -1.09%K -1.37%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.51%EV -7.96%E -6.92%K -53.08%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-13 19:50
Tipico (DE)4.70I 21.28%NM 19.66%EV -6.15%E -1.31%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.34%EV -7.96%E -6.92%K -53.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-04-13 19:50
Fliff4.60I 21.74%NM 20.00%EV -8.15%E -1.77%K -2.26%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 80.00%EV -7.96%E -6.92%K -53.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-04-13 19:50
Betway5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +14.81%E +2.58%K +3.12%G +0.462%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -8.76%E -7.69%K -62.59%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-13 19:50
Ladbrokes (UK)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV +4.83%E +0.920%K +1.14%G +0.055%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -8.76%E -7.69%K -62.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-13 19:50
Winamax (DE)5.10I 19.61%NM 18.27%EV +1.83%E +0.360%K +0.447%G +0.008%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.73%EV -8.76%E -7.69%K -62.59%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-13 19:50
Fanatics4.90I 20.41%NM 18.87%EV -2.16%E -0.441%K -0.554%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.13%EV -8.76%E -7.69%K -62.59%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-13 19:50
Paddy Power4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -10.15%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -8.76%E -7.69%K -62.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-13 19:50
Sky Bet4.50I 22.22%NM 20.21%EV -10.15%E -2.25%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 79.79%EV -8.76%E -7.69%K -62.59%G +0.000%9.9%2026-04-13 19:50
BetMGM5.75I 17.39%NM 16.30%EV +14.81%E +2.58%K +3.12%G +0.462%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.70%EV -10.36%E -9.25%K -86.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-13 19:50
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV +9.82%E +1.79%K +2.18%G +0.214%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -10.36%E -9.25%K -86.36%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-13 19:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-04-13 19:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-04-13 19:50
Smarkets6.00I 16.67%NM 16.55%1.19I 84.03%NM 83.45%0.7%2026-04-13 19:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)5.40I 18.52%NM 18.31%1.21I 82.64%NM 81.69%1.2%2026-04-13 19:50
Matchbook6.20I 16.13%NM 15.88%1.17I 85.47%NM 84.12%1.6%2026-04-13 19:50
Novig5.29I 18.90%NM 17.98%1.16I 86.21%NM 82.02%5.1%2026-04-13 19:50