Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexandra Eala v Leylah Fernandez

Kickoff: 2026-04-14 15:05 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Alexandra Eala (Local)

Prediction 39.84%2.51fair odd
EV -2.38%
Edge -0.972%
Kelly -1.64%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.60%39.84%39.80%41.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.362.352.4544.44%42.31%42.55%40.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Leylah Fernandez (Visit)

Prediction 60.16%1.66fair odd
EV -1.35%
Edge -0.820%
Kelly -2.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.64

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.27%60.16%60.20%61.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.521.581.571.6465.79%63.36%63.69%60.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Alexandra Eala (Local): 39.84%; Leylah Fernandez (Visit): 60.16%. For Leylah Fernandez (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.64, with an expected value of -1.35%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.38%E -0.972%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-14 15:00
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.38%E -0.972%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.35%E -2.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 15:00
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -2.38%E -0.972%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -7.36%E -4.78%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 15:00
GTbets🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.58%E -1.48%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.55%E -1.57%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-14 14:59
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -3.97%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -1.95%E -1.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-14 14:59
ReBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -3.97%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 14:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.55%E -1.57%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.55%E -1.57%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 14:58
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.35%E -2.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 15:00
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.35%E -2.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 15:00
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.35%E -2.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 14:56
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.95%E -3.14%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 14:59
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 15:00
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.36%E -4.78%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 15:00
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.96%E -5.20%K -15.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 14:58
Marathon Bet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.77%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 14:59
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.17%E -2.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 15:00
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.17%E -2.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 15:00
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.17%E -2.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 14:59
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.17%E -2.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.17%E -2.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 14:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.17%E -2.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 14:59
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.17%E -2.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.16%E -3.95%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 14:59
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.17%E -2.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.16%E -3.95%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 14:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.17%E -2.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.16%E -3.95%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 15:00
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -5.57%E -2.35%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.96%E -5.20%K -15.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -5.57%E -2.35%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.96%E -5.20%K -15.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 15:00
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:00
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:00
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:00
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:00
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:00
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:00
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:00
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.95%E -3.14%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 14:59
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.95%E -3.14%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 15:00
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 15:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 15:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.16%E -3.95%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 15:00
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.16%E -3.95%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 15:00
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.56%E -5.63%K -16.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 15:00
DraftKings🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -6.76%E -2.89%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.15%E -1.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -7.56%E -3.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -7.56%E -3.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 15:00
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.36%E -3.63%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.95%E -3.14%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.36%E -3.63%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 15:00
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.36%E -3.63%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 14:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.36%E -3.63%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 14:59
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -8.76%E -3.82%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -1.35%E -0.820%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 14:59
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.35%E -4.60%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 15:00
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.35%E -4.60%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 14:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (7)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-04-14 15:00
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-04-14 15:00
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-04-14 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-04-14 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-04-14 15:00
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-04-14 15:00
Novig2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.3%2026-04-14 15:00