Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexandra Eala v Leylah Fernandez

Início: 2026-04-14 15:05 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Alexandra Eala (Local)

Previsão 39.84%2.51odd justa
EV -2.38%
Vantagem -0.972%
Kelly -1.64%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.45

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
38.60%39.84%39.80%41.73%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.252.362.352.4544.44%42.31%42.55%40.82%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Leylah Fernandez (Visitante)

Previsão 60.16%1.66odd justa
EV -1.35%
Vantagem -0.820%
Kelly -2.10%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.64

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
58.27%60.16%60.20%61.40%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.521.581.571.6465.79%63.36%63.69%60.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Alexandra Eala (Local): 39.84%; Leylah Fernandez (Visitante): 60.16%. Para Leylah Fernandez (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 1.66. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 1.64, com valor esperado de -1.35%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Winamax (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.51%EV -2.38%E -0.972%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.49%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-14 15:00
Bet Right🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 39.36%EV -2.38%E -0.972%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.64%EV -4.35%E -2.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.7%2026-04-14 15:00
theScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -2.38%E -0.972%K -1.64%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -7.36%E -4.78%K -13.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 15:00
GTbets🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -3.58%E -1.48%K -2.52%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -2.55%E -1.57%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.1%2026-04-14 14:59
Pinnacle🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 40.35%EV -3.97%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.65%EV -1.95%E -1.19%K -3.09%G +0.000%2.8%2026-04-14 14:59
ReBet🎯2.41I 41.49%NM 39.45%EV -3.97%E -1.65%K -2.82%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.55%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.2%2026-04-14 14:59
LowVig.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.55%E -1.57%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 15:00
BetOnline.ag🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.30%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.70%EV -2.55%E -1.57%K -4.11%G +0.000%3.4%2026-04-14 15:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%4.2%2026-04-14 14:58
BetUS🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.35%E -2.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 15:00
FanDuel🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.35%E -2.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 15:00
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.85%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.15%EV -4.35%E -2.74%K -7.38%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 14:56
Coolbet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.70%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 60.30%EV -4.95%E -3.14%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-14 14:59
Fanatics🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.4%2026-04-14 15:00
BetMGM🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -7.36%E -4.78%K -13.63%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-14 15:00
Caesars🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.93%EV -4.37%E -1.82%K -3.12%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -7.96%E -5.20%K -15.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-14 14:58
Marathon Bet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 39.65%EV -4.77%E -2.00%K -3.43%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.35%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-14 14:59
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.17%E -2.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 15:00
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.17%E -2.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 15:00
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.17%E -2.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 14:59
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.17%E -2.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 15:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.17%E -2.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 14:59
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -5.17%E -2.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-14 14:59
Betsson🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.17%E -2.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.16%E -3.95%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 14:59
NordicBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.17%E -2.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.16%E -3.95%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 14:59
Codere (IT)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -5.17%E -2.17%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -6.16%E -3.95%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-04-14 15:00
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -5.57%E -2.35%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.96%E -5.20%K -15.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 15:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.23%EV -5.57%E -2.35%K -4.06%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.77%EV -7.96%E -5.20%K -15.02%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-14 15:00
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:00
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:00
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:00
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:00
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:00
BetRivers🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:00
Bally Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:00
betPARX🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -3.75%E -2.34%K -6.25%G +0.000%5.1%2026-04-14 15:00
Unibet (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.95%E -3.14%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 14:59
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -4.95%E -3.14%K -8.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-14 15:00
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 15:00
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 15:00
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-14 15:00
Winamax (FR)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.16%E -3.95%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 15:00
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -6.16%E -3.95%K -11.00%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-14 15:00
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 15:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-14 15:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.28%EV -6.37%E -2.71%K -4.71%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 60.72%EV -8.56%E -5.63%K -16.47%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-14 15:00
DraftKings🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -6.76%E -2.89%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -3.15%E -1.96%K -5.16%G +0.000%4.8%2026-04-14 15:00
LiveScore Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -7.56%E -3.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 15:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -7.56%E -3.26%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 15:00
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -8.36%E -3.63%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -4.95%E -3.14%K -8.54%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-14 15:00
PMU (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.36%E -3.63%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 15:00
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.36%E -3.63%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 14:59
NetBet (FR)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -8.36%E -3.63%K -6.43%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -6.76%E -4.36%K -12.29%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-14 14:59
1xBet🎯2.29I 43.67%NM 41.73%EV -8.76%E -3.82%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 58.27%EV -1.35%E -0.820%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.6%2026-04-14 14:59
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.35%E -4.60%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 15:00
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -10.35%E -4.60%K -8.28%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -5.56%E -3.54%K -9.75%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-14 14:59
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (7)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-04-14 15:00
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-04-14 15:00
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-04-14 15:00
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-04-14 15:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-04-14 15:00
ProphetX2.42I 41.32%NM 40.98%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.02%0.8%2026-04-14 15:00
Novig2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.3%2026-04-14 15:00