Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Victoria Mboko v Jaqueline Cristian

Kickoff: 2026-05-22 14:46 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (22 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Victoria Mboko (Local)

Prediction 72.09%1.39fair odd
EV -0.516%
Edge -0.374%
Kelly -1.36%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
68.45%72.09%71.89%75.91%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.321.331.3881.97%75.91%75.19%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jaqueline Cristian (Visit)

Prediction 27.91%3.58fair odd
EV +10.80%
Edge +2.72%
Kelly +3.64%
Growth +0.393%

assuming max odds 3.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.09%27.91%28.11%31.55%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.293.303.9733.90%30.37%30.30%25.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Victoria Mboko (Local): 72.09%; Jaqueline Cristian (Visit): 27.91%. For Jaqueline Cristian (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.58. 8 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.97, corresponding to a positive expected value of +10.80%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.26I 79.37%NM 75.91%EV -9.17%E -7.28%K -35.26%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.09%EV +10.80%E +2.72%K +3.64%G +0.393%4.6%2026-05-22 14:39
Coolbet🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -8.45%E -6.65%K -31.28%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV +6.34%E +1.66%K +2.26%G +0.143%5.0%2026-05-22 14:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -12.05%E -9.88%K -54.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV +6.06%E +1.59%K +2.16%G +0.131%8.3%2026-05-22 14:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.89%E -7.91%K -39.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +4.66%E +1.24%K +1.70%G +0.079%6.7%2026-05-22 14:40
theScore Bet🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.89%E -7.91%K -39.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +4.66%E +1.24%K +1.70%G +0.079%6.7%2026-05-22 14:40
Bovada🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.56%E -4.25%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.477%E +0.133%K +0.183%G +0.001%4.1%2026-05-22 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.89%E -7.91%K -39.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +0.477%E +0.133%K +0.183%G +0.001%7.8%2026-05-22 14:40
Coral🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.89%E -7.91%K -39.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +0.477%E +0.133%K +0.183%G +0.001%7.8%2026-05-22 14:40
FanDuel🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.56%E -4.25%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.31%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 14:40
Fanatics🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.89%E -7.91%K -39.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -2.31%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-22 14:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -10.61%E -8.56%K -44.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -2.31%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-22 14:40
Pinnacle🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-22 14:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.84%E -3.67%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 14:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -9.89%E -7.91%K -39.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-22 14:39
BetAnything🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-22 14:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 14:29
ReBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 14:29
1xBet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -5.38%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 14:29
LowVig.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.40%E -2.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -5.94%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 14:39
BetOnline.ag🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.40%E -2.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -5.94%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 14:40
Bet Right🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 14:35
Winamax (FR)🎯1.22I 81.97%NM 73.30%EV -12.05%E -9.88%K -54.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-22 14:40
SportsBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -7.34%E -2.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 14:38
Marathon Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 14:29
William Hill🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 14:32
Betr (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.84%E -3.67%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 14:34
Codere (IT)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.84%E -3.67%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 14:31
BetMGM🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.56%E -4.25%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-22 14:38
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 14:36
Neds🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 14:36
NetBet (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-22 14:31
Fliff🎯1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -8.45%E -6.65%K -31.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-22 14:40
Casumo🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.40%E -2.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 14:40
Unibet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.40%E -2.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 14:40
betPARX🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.40%E -2.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 14:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.40%E -2.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 14:40
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 14:38
BetUS🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 14:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 14:40
NordicBet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 14:40
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 14:40
Grosvenor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -12.08%E -3.84%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 14:40
Bally Bet🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -12.08%E -3.84%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 14:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -0.516%E -0.374%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 14:40
TAB🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -3.40%E -2.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 14:40
Bet Victor🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 14:32
LeoVegas🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -4.84%E -3.67%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-22 14:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.516%E -0.374%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.87%E -4.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 14:40
Unibet (SE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.516%E -0.374%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.87%E -4.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 14:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.516%E -0.374%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.87%E -4.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 14:40
Betsson🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -2.68%E -1.98%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -14.87%E -4.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 14:40
Betway🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -0.516%E -0.374%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -16.27%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 14:40
TABtouch🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.27%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 14:40
BetRivers🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.27%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 14:40
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.27%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 14:40
888sport🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.27%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 14:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.27%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 14:40
PMU (FR)🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%EV -16.27%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-22 14:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -17.66%E -5.99%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 14:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -17.66%E -5.99%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 14:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-05-22 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-05-22 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-05-22 14:40
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-05-22 14:40
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%2.2%2026-05-22 14:40
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%4.3%2026-05-22 14:40