L’École des cotes

Victoria Mboko v Jaqueline Cristian

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-22 14:46 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Victoria Mboko (Local)

Prévision 72.09%1.39cote équitable
EV -0.516%
Avantage -0.374%
Kelly -1.36%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.38

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
68.45%72.09%71.89%75.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.321.331.3881.97%75.91%75.19%72.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jaqueline Cristian (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.91%3.58cote équitable
EV +10.80%
Avantage +2.72%
Kelly +3.64%
Croissance +0.393%

avec la cote maximale 3.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.09%27.91%28.11%31.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.953.293.303.9733.90%30.37%30.30%25.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
DraftKings1.26I 79.37%NM 75.91%EV -9.17%E -7.28%K -35.26%G +0.000%3.97I 25.19%NM 24.09%EV +10.80%E +2.72%K +3.64%G +0.393%4.6%2026-05-22 14:39
Coolbet1.27I 78.74%NM 75.00%EV -8.45%E -6.65%K -31.28%G +0.000%3.81I 26.25%NM 25.00%EV +6.34%E +1.66%K +2.26%G +0.143%5.0%2026-05-22 14:40
Tipico (DE)1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -12.05%E -9.88%K -54.78%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV +6.06%E +1.59%K +2.16%G +0.131%8.3%2026-05-22 14:40
PointsBet (AU)1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.89%E -7.91%K -39.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +4.66%E +1.24%K +1.70%G +0.079%6.7%2026-05-22 14:40
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.89%E -7.91%K -39.55%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +4.66%E +1.24%K +1.70%G +0.079%6.7%2026-05-22 14:40
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.56%E -4.25%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.477%E +0.133%K +0.183%G +0.001%4.1%2026-05-22 14:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.89%E -7.91%K -39.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +0.477%E +0.133%K +0.183%G +0.001%7.8%2026-05-22 14:40
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.23%EV -9.89%E -7.91%K -39.55%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV +0.477%E +0.133%K +0.183%G +0.001%7.8%2026-05-22 14:40
FanDuel1.31I 76.34%NM 72.77%EV -5.56%E -4.25%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.23%EV -2.31%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-22 14:40
Fanatics1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -9.89%E -7.91%K -39.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -2.31%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-22 14:40
Winamax (DE)1.24I 80.65%NM 73.84%EV -10.61%E -8.56%K -44.20%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.16%EV -2.31%E -0.661%K -0.926%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-22 14:40
Pinnacle1.36I 73.53%NM 71.73%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.27%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-22 14:40
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.84%E -3.67%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 14:40
Betclic (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -9.89%E -7.91%K -39.55%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -3.71%E -1.08%K -1.51%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-22 14:39
BetAnything1.34I 74.63%NM 71.73%EV -3.40%E -2.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.27%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-22 14:34
Unibet (FR)1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 14:29
ReBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -5.10%E -1.50%K -2.13%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 14:29
1xBet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.82%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 28.18%EV -5.38%E -1.59%K -2.25%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 14:29
LowVig.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.40%E -2.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -5.94%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 14:39
BetOnline.ag1.34I 74.63%NM 71.55%EV -3.40%E -2.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.37I 29.67%NM 28.45%EV -5.94%E -1.76%K -2.51%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 14:40
Bet Right1.33I 75.19%NM 71.58%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.42%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 14:35
Winamax (FR)1.22I 81.97%NM 73.30%EV -12.05%E -9.88%K -54.78%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.70%EV -6.50%E -1.94%K -2.77%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-22 14:40
SportsBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.86%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.32I 30.12%NM 28.14%EV -7.34%E -2.21%K -3.16%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-22 14:38
Marathon Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 14:29
William Hill1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-22 14:32
Betr (AU)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.84%E -3.67%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 14:34
Codere (IT)1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -4.84%E -3.67%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 14:31
BetMGM1.31I 76.34%NM 71.58%EV -5.56%E -4.25%K -17.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.42%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-22 14:38
Ladbrokes (AU)1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 14:36
Neds1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 14:36
NetBet (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 72.05%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.95%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-22 14:31
Fliff1.27I 78.74%NM 72.21%EV -8.45%E -6.65%K -31.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.79%EV -7.90%E -2.39%K -3.43%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-22 14:40
Casumo1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.40%E -2.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 14:40
Unibet1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.40%E -2.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 14:40
betPARX1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.40%E -2.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 14:40
ATG (SE)1.34I 74.63%NM 70.81%EV -3.40%E -2.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-22 14:40
PlayUp1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 14:38
BetUS1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 14:40
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 14:40
NordicBet1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.29%E -2.86%K -4.13%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-22 14:40
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.69%E -3.34%K -4.86%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 14:40
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -12.08%E -3.84%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 14:40
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 70.31%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.69%EV -12.08%E -3.84%K -5.62%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 14:40
Hard Rock Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 69.20%EV -0.516%E -0.374%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.80%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 14:40
TAB1.34I 74.63%NM 69.82%EV -3.40%E -2.54%K -10.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.18%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 14:40
Bet Victor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.12%E -3.10%K -12.49%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 14:32
LeoVegas1.32I 75.76%NM 70.14%EV -4.84%E -3.67%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.86%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -6.28%E -4.83%K -20.94%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -13.48%E -4.35%K -6.42%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-22 14:40
Unibet (NL)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.516%E -0.374%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.87%E -4.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 14:40
Unibet (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.516%E -0.374%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.87%E -4.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 14:40
Svenska Spel1.38I 72.46%NM 68.85%EV -0.516%E -0.374%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 31.15%EV -14.87%E -4.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 14:40
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 69.32%EV -2.68%E -1.98%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.68%EV -14.87%E -4.88%K -7.26%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 14:40
Betway1.38I 72.46%NM 68.49%EV -0.516%E -0.374%K -1.36%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.51%EV -16.27%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 14:40
TABtouch1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.27%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 14:40
BetRivers1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.27%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 14:40
BoyleSports1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.27%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 14:40
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.27%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 14:40
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.27%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-22 14:40
PMU (FR)1.28I 78.13%NM 70.09%EV -7.73%E -6.04%K -27.59%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.91%EV -16.27%E -5.42%K -8.13%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-22 14:40
Virgin Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -17.66%E -5.99%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 14:40
LiveScore Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 68.45%EV -1.96%E -1.44%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 31.55%EV -17.66%E -5.99%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-22 14:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-05-22 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-05-22 14:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 71.13%3.45I 28.99%NM 28.87%0.4%2026-05-22 14:40
Matchbook1.41I 70.92%NM 69.74%3.25I 30.77%NM 30.26%1.7%2026-05-22 14:40
Novig1.39I 71.94%NM 70.36%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.64%2.2%2026-05-22 14:40
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 72.61%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.39%4.3%2026-05-22 14:40