Language:English
Victoria Mboko v Emma Navarro
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Victoria Mboko (Local)
Prediction 61.12%1.64fair odd
EV -0.993%
Edge -0.613%
Kelly -1.60%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.99%61.21%61.05%65.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.441.531.541.6269.44%65.17%64.72%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Emma Navarro (Visit)
Prediction 38.88%2.57fair odd
EV +6.93%
Edge +2.52%
Kelly +3.96%
Growth +0.275%
assuming max odds 2.75
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.52%38.79%38.95%41.01%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.442.452.7544.44%41.02%40.82%36.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Victoria Mboko (Local): 61.12%; Emma Navarro (Visit): 38.88%. For Emma Navarro (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.75, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.93%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -11.38%E -7.85%K -25.29%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +6.93%E +2.52%K +3.96%G +0.275% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 12:09 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -9.55%E -6.45%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV +4.21%E +1.57%K +2.51%G +0.105% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 12:09 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -11.99%E -8.33%K -27.26%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +3.04%E +1.15%K +1.84%G +0.056% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 12:09 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -10.77%E -7.38%K -23.42%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV +1.10%E +0.423%K +0.687%G +0.008% | 7.0% | 2026-05-23 12:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV +0.710%E +0.274%K +0.447%G +0.003% | 2.7% | 2026-05-23 12:08 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.88%E -3.82%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.845%E -0.331%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-23 12:05 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.845%E -0.331%K -0.545%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-23 11:59 |
| BetUS🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-23 12:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-23 12:04 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.10%E -4.67%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-23 12:04 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.10%E -4.67%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-23 12:09 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.72%E -5.11%K -15.13%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-23 12:01 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.33%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 12:09 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.33%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 12:09 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.33%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-23 12:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.57%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-23 12:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.57%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-23 12:09 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -9.55%E -6.45%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.69%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-23 11:59 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-05-23 12:04 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 12:04 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 12:04 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 12:04 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 12:04 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 12:04 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 12:04 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 12:04 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 12:04 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 12:04 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 12:04 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 12:02 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 12:04 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-23 12:04 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.10%E -4.67%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-23 12:04 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.33%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-23 12:09 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.33%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-23 12:06 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.33%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-23 12:05 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -5.51%E -2.27%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 12:04 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -5.51%E -2.27%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-23 12:04 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -3.44%E -2.18%K -5.93%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -6.29%E -2.61%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-23 12:09 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.33%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-23 12:04 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -2.83%E -1.78%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -7.07%E -2.96%K -5.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-23 11:59 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.46%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 12:10 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.46%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 12:10 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.46%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 12:10 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.46%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-23 12:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-23 12:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-23 11:59 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.33%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-23 12:09 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -0.993%E -0.613%K -1.60%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -9.40%E -4.03%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-23 12:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -1.60%E -0.996%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -9.40%E -4.03%K -7.07%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-23 12:09 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.83%E -1.78%K -4.79%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.57%E -4.59%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-23 12:09 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.57%E -4.59%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-23 12:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.57%E -4.59%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 12:09 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.57%E -4.59%K -8.13%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-23 12:09 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.32%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-23 12:09 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-23 12:10 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -5.88%E -3.82%K -10.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-23 12:09 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -9.55%E -6.45%K -19.89%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-23 12:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24% | 0.6% | 2026-05-23 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91% | 2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09% | 0.6% | 2026-05-23 12:09 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59% | 0.8% | 2026-05-23 12:10 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83% | 2.2% | 2026-05-23 12:10 |
| Novig◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73% | 3.3% | 2026-05-23 12:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46% | 8.3% | 2026-05-23 12:10 |