La escuela de los momios

Victoria Mboko v Emma Navarro

Inicio: 2026-05-23 12:16 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

58 corredores (20 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Victoria Mboko (Local)

Predicción 61.12%1.64momio equitativo
EV -0.993%
Ventaja -0.613%
Kelly -1.60%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
58.99%61.21%61.05%65.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.441.531.541.6269.44%65.17%64.72%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Emma Navarro (Visitante)

Predicción 38.88%2.57momio equitativo
EV +6.93%
Ventaja +2.52%
Kelly +3.96%
Crecimiento +0.275%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.52%38.79%38.95%41.01%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.252.442.452.7544.44%41.02%40.82%36.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (58 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
Betway1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -11.38%E -7.85%K -25.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +6.93%E +2.52%K +3.96%G +0.275%5.3%2026-05-23 12:09
FanDuel1.48I 67.57%NM 64.42%EV -9.55%E -6.45%K -19.89%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.58%EV +4.21%E +1.57%K +2.51%G +0.105%4.9%2026-05-23 12:09
SportsBet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.79%EV -11.99%E -8.33%K -27.26%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.21%EV +3.04%E +1.15%K +1.84%G +0.056%7.2%2026-05-23 12:09
TAB1.46I 68.49%NM 64.04%EV -10.77%E -7.38%K -23.42%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.96%EV +1.10%E +0.423%K +0.687%G +0.008%7.0%2026-05-23 12:09
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 62.41%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.59%EV +0.710%E +0.274%K +0.447%G +0.003%2.7%2026-05-23 12:08
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -5.88%E -3.82%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV -0.845%E -0.331%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-23 12:05
ReBet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.50%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.50%EV -0.845%E -0.331%K -0.545%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 11:59
BetUS1.56I 64.10%NM 61.58%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.42%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-23 12:10
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-23 12:04
Bet Right1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.10%E -4.67%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 12:04
PlayUp1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.10%E -4.67%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-23 12:09
Codere (IT)1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.72%E -5.11%K -15.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-23 12:01
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.33%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 12:09
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.33%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 12:09
BetMGM1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.33%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.79%E -1.12%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-23 12:10
LowVig.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.57%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 12:10
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.23%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 38.77%EV -3.57%E -1.44%K -2.41%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-23 12:09
NetBet (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.53%EV -9.55%E -6.45%K -19.89%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 37.47%EV -3.96%E -1.60%K -2.69%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-23 11:59
Hard Rock Bet1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-23 12:04
TABtouch1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 12:04
BetRivers1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 12:04
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 12:04
Casumo1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 12:04
Unibet (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 12:04
LeoVegas1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 12:04
LeoVegas (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 12:04
Grosvenor1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 12:04
Unibet (NL)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 12:04
ATG (SE)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 12:04
Bally Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 12:02
Svenska Spel1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 12:04
betPARX1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-23 12:04
Betr (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -7.10%E -4.67%K -13.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-23 12:04
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.33%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 12:09
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.33%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 12:06
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -8.33%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -4.73%E -1.93%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-23 12:05
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -5.51%E -2.27%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 12:04
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -5.51%E -2.27%K -3.85%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-23 12:04
DraftKings1.58I 63.29%NM 60.40%EV -3.44%E -2.18%K -5.93%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.60%EV -6.29%E -2.61%K -4.46%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-23 12:09
PMU (FR)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.33%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.68%E -2.78%K -4.77%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-23 12:04
1xBet1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -2.83%E -1.78%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -7.07%E -2.96%K -5.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-23 11:59
888sport1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.46%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 12:10
BoyleSports1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.46%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 12:10
Mr Green (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.46%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 12:10
888sport (SE)1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.46%E -3.13%K -5.40%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-23 12:10
NordicBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-23 12:09
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -6.49%E -4.24%K -12.25%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-23 11:59
Winamax (DE)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -8.33%E -5.55%K -16.65%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -8.62%E -3.67%K -6.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-23 12:09
Unibet (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -0.993%E -0.613%K -1.60%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -9.40%E -4.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-23 12:10
Coolbet1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -1.60%E -0.996%K -2.63%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -9.40%E -4.03%K -7.07%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-23 12:09
theScore Bet1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -2.83%E -1.78%K -4.79%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -10.57%E -4.59%K -8.13%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-23 12:09
PointsBet (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.05%E -2.58%K -7.10%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.57%E -4.59%K -8.13%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-23 12:10
Coral1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.57%E -4.59%K -8.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 12:09
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -10.57%E -4.59%K -8.13%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-23 12:09
Fanatics1.56I 64.10%NM 59.06%EV -4.66%E -2.99%K -8.32%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.94%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.01%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-23 12:09
Betclic (FR)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.21%EV -5.27%E -3.40%K -9.58%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.79%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.01%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-23 12:10
Fliff1.54I 64.94%NM 59.37%EV -5.88%E -3.82%K -10.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-23 12:09
Winamax (FR)1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -9.55%E -6.45%K -19.89%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -12.51%E -5.56%K -10.01%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-23 12:09
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%0.6%2026-05-23 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.91%2.68I 37.31%NM 37.09%0.6%2026-05-23 12:09
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.41%2.64I 37.88%NM 37.59%0.8%2026-05-23 12:10
Matchbook1.60I 62.50%NM 61.17%2.52I 39.68%NM 38.83%2.2%2026-05-23 12:10
Novig1.58I 63.29%NM 61.27%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.73%3.3%2026-05-23 12:10
Smarkets1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%8.3%2026-05-23 12:10