La scuola delle quote

Shuai Zhang v Diane Parry

Inizio: 2026-05-20 12:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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44 bookmaker (18 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Shuai Zhang (Casa)

Previsione 72.13%1.39quota equa
EV +10.36%
Vantaggio +6.77%
Kelly +19.56%
Crescita +2.03%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
62.77%71.60%72.12%75.40%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.241.321.321.5380.65%75.99%75.76%65.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Diane Parry (Trasferta)

Previsione 27.87%3.59quota equa
EV +5.89%
Vantaggio +1.55%
Kelly +2.10%
Crescita +0.124%

ipotizzando la quota massima 3.80

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
24.60%28.40%27.88%37.23%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.583.283.203.8038.76%30.46%31.25%26.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (44 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV +10.36%E +6.77%K +19.56%G +2.03%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -28.11%E -10.89%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 12:19
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.18%EV +0.266%E +0.191%K +0.683%G +0.002%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -24.20%E -8.90%K -14.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 12:14
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.90%E -1.40%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.40%E -5.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 12:19
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.90%E -1.40%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.40%E -5.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 12:19
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.62%E -1.94%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 12:19
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.62%E -1.94%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 12:19
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.62%E -1.94%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 12:19
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.62%E -1.94%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 12:19
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.62%E -1.94%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 12:19
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.62%E -1.94%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 12:19
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -2.62%E -1.94%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -3.88%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:19
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -2.62%E -1.94%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -3.88%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:19
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -3.34%E -2.49%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -12.22%E -3.88%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 12:19
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -3.34%E -2.49%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -12.22%E -3.88%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 12:19
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.06%E -3.05%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 12:18
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.06%E -3.05%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.44%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 12:19
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.06%E -3.05%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.62%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 12:19
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.06%E -3.05%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.62%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 12:19
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.06%E -3.05%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.62%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 12:19
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.06%E -3.05%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.62%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 12:19
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.78%E -3.62%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.86%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 12:19
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.78%E -3.62%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -4.78%E -3.62%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -15.01%E -4.92%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-20 12:19
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.50%E -4.20%K -17.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.318%E +0.088%K +0.122%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 12:19
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.50%E -4.20%K -17.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 12:19
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -6.23%E -4.79%K -20.75%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -0.797%E -0.224%K -0.311%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 12:19
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.23%E -4.79%K -20.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.47%E -0.705%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 12:19
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.23%E -4.79%K -20.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 12:19
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.23%E -4.79%K -20.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.44%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-20 12:19
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.23%E -4.79%K -20.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.44%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-20 12:19
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.23%E -4.79%K -20.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 12:19
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.95%E -5.39%K -23.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-20 12:19
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -6.95%E -5.39%K -23.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -16.40%E -5.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-20 12:19
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -7.67%E -5.99%K -27.39%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV +2.83%E +0.766%K +1.05%G +0.030%5.2%2026-05-20 12:19
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.43%EV -7.67%E -5.99%K -27.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-20 12:19
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -8.39%E -6.61%K -31.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.47%E -0.705%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 12:19
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.39%E -6.61%K -31.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 12:19
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.83%E -7.87%K -39.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +4.50%E +1.20%K +1.64%G +0.074%6.7%2026-05-20 12:19
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.83%E -7.87%K -39.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +4.50%E +1.20%K +1.64%G +0.074%6.7%2026-05-20 12:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -9.83%E -7.87%K -39.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +3.10%E +0.839%K +1.15%G +0.036%7.0%2026-05-20 12:19
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -9.83%E -7.87%K -39.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +3.10%E +0.839%K +1.15%G +0.036%7.0%2026-05-20 12:19
Fliff1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -9.83%E -7.87%K -39.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -3.86%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 12:19
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.91%EV -9.83%E -7.87%K -39.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-20 12:19
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -10.55%E -8.51%K -43.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV +5.89%E +1.55%K +2.10%G +0.124%7.0%2026-05-20 12:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-05-20 12:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-05-20 12:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-05-20 12:19
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-05-20 12:19
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%3.9%2026-05-20 12:19
Novig1.33I 75.19%NM 71.46%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.54%5.2%2026-05-20 12:20