La escuela de los momiosIdioma:Español
Shuai Zhang v Diane Parry
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Shuai Zhang (Local)
Predicción 72.13%1.39momio equitativo
EV +10.36%
Ventaja +6.77%
Kelly +19.56%
Crecimiento +2.03%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.53
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
62.77%71.60%72.12%75.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.241.321.321.5380.65%75.99%75.76%65.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Diane Parry (Visitante)
Predicción 27.87%3.59momio equitativo
EV +5.89%
Ventaja +1.55%
Kelly +2.10%
Crecimiento +0.124%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.60%28.40%27.88%37.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.583.283.203.8038.76%30.46%31.25%26.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV +10.36%E +6.77%K +19.56%G +2.03% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -28.11%E -10.89%K -17.79%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.39I 71.94%NM 66.18%EV +0.266%E +0.191%K +0.683%G +0.002% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -24.20%E -8.90%K -14.07%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-20 12:14 |
| 888sport | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.90%E -1.40%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.40%E -5.47%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.90%E -1.40%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.40%E -5.47%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.62%E -1.94%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Casumo | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.62%E -1.94%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.62%E -1.94%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Unibet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.62%E -1.94%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.62%E -1.94%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.62%E -1.94%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Betsson | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -2.62%E -1.94%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -3.88%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| NordicBet | 1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -2.62%E -1.94%K -7.48%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -3.88%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| BetRivers | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -3.34%E -2.49%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -12.22%E -3.88%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| TABtouch | 1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -3.34%E -2.49%K -9.83%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -12.22%E -3.88%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| FanDuel | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.06%E -3.05%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 12:18 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.06%E -3.05%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.44%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.06%E -3.05%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.62%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Grosvenor | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.06%E -3.05%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.62%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.06%E -3.05%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.62%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Bally Bet | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.06%E -3.05%K -12.31%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.62%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.78%E -3.62%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.86%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| betPARX | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.78%E -3.62%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -4.78%E -3.62%K -14.95%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -15.01%E -4.92%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Bovada | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.50%E -4.20%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.318%E +0.088%K +0.122%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.50%E -4.20%K -17.76%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Coolbet | 1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -6.23%E -4.79%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -0.797%E -0.224%K -0.311%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Betway | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.23%E -4.79%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.47%E -0.705%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| TAB | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.23%E -4.79%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| LeoVegas | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.23%E -4.79%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.44%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| BoyleSports | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.23%E -4.79%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.44%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Paddy Power | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.23%E -4.79%K -20.75%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Fanatics | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.95%E -5.39%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -6.95%E -5.39%K -23.96%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -16.40%E -5.47%K -8.20%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| DraftKings | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -7.67%E -5.99%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV +2.83%E +0.766%K +1.05%G +0.030% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.28I 78.13%NM 71.43%EV -7.67%E -5.99%K -27.39%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -8.39%E -6.61%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.47%E -0.705%K -0.988%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.39%E -6.61%K -31.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Bet Victor | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.83%E -7.87%K -39.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +4.50%E +1.20%K +1.64%G +0.074% | 6.7% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| theScore Bet | 1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.83%E -7.87%K -39.33%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +4.50%E +1.20%K +1.64%G +0.074% | 6.7% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -9.83%E -7.87%K -39.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +3.10%E +0.839%K +1.15%G +0.036% | 7.0% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Coral | 1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -9.83%E -7.87%K -39.33%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +3.10%E +0.839%K +1.15%G +0.036% | 7.0% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Fliff | 1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -9.83%E -7.87%K -39.33%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -3.86%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.25I 80.00%NM 71.91%EV -9.83%E -7.87%K -39.33%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| BetMGM | 1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -10.55%E -8.51%K -43.97%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV +5.89%E +1.55%K +2.10%G +0.124% | 7.0% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (6)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18% | 3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82% | 0.6% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67% | 1.3% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Matchbook | 1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49% | 2.8% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Smarkets | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10% | 3.9% | 2026-05-20 12:19 |
| Novig | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.46% | 3.33I 30.03%NM 28.54% | 5.2% | 2026-05-20 12:20 |