L’École des cotes

Shuai Zhang v Diane Parry

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-20 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

44 opérateurs (18 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Shuai Zhang (Local)

Prévision 72.13%1.39cote équitable
EV +10.36%
Avantage +6.77%
Kelly +19.56%
Croissance +2.03%

avec la cote maximale 1.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.77%71.60%72.12%75.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.241.321.321.5380.65%75.99%75.76%65.36%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Diane Parry (Visiteur)

Prévision 27.87%3.59cote équitable
EV +5.89%
Avantage +1.55%
Kelly +2.10%
Croissance +0.124%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.60%28.40%27.88%37.23%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.583.283.203.8038.76%30.46%31.25%26.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (44 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV +10.36%E +6.77%K +19.56%G +2.03%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV -28.11%E -10.89%K -17.79%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 12:19
Betclic (FR)1.39I 71.94%NM 66.18%EV +0.266%E +0.191%K +0.683%G +0.002%2.72I 36.76%NM 33.82%EV -24.20%E -8.90%K -14.07%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-20 12:14
888sport1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.90%E -1.40%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.40%E -5.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 12:19
Mr Green (SE)1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -1.90%E -1.40%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.19%EV -16.40%E -5.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 12:19
Unibet (NL)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.62%E -1.94%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 12:19
Casumo1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.62%E -1.94%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 12:19
Unibet (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.62%E -1.94%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 12:19
Unibet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.62%E -1.94%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 12:19
Svenska Spel1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.62%E -1.94%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 12:19
ATG (SE)1.35I 74.07%NM 70.33%EV -2.62%E -1.94%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.67%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 12:19
Betsson1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -2.62%E -1.94%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -3.88%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:19
NordicBet1.35I 74.07%NM 70.00%EV -2.62%E -1.94%K -7.48%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.00%EV -12.22%E -3.88%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 12:19
BetRivers1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -3.34%E -2.49%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -12.22%E -3.88%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 12:19
TABtouch1.34I 74.63%NM 70.16%EV -3.34%E -2.49%K -9.83%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.84%EV -12.22%E -3.88%K -5.68%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-20 12:19
FanDuel1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.06%E -3.05%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 12:18
888sport (SE)1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -4.06%E -3.05%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -9.44%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 12:19
LiveScore Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.06%E -3.05%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.62%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 12:19
Grosvenor1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.06%E -3.05%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.62%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 12:19
Virgin Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.06%E -3.05%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.62%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 12:19
Bally Bet1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.06%E -3.05%K -12.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -13.62%E -4.39%K -6.48%G +0.000%7.4%2026-05-20 12:19
Unibet (UK)1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.78%E -3.62%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -3.86%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-20 12:19
betPARX1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.78%E -3.62%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-20 12:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.32I 75.76%NM 69.79%EV -4.78%E -3.62%K -14.95%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -15.01%E -4.92%K -7.32%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-20 12:19
Bovada1.31I 76.34%NM 73.32%EV -5.50%E -4.20%K -17.76%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.68%EV +0.318%E +0.088%K +0.122%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-20 12:19
Hard Rock Bet1.31I 76.34%NM 72.19%EV -5.50%E -4.20%K -17.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.81%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-20 12:19
Coolbet1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -6.23%E -4.79%K -20.75%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -0.797%E -0.224%K -0.311%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 12:19
Betway1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.23%E -4.79%K -20.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -2.47%E -0.705%K -0.988%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-20 12:19
TAB1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -6.23%E -4.79%K -20.75%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 12:19
LeoVegas1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.23%E -4.79%K -20.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.44%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-20 12:19
BoyleSports1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.23%E -4.79%K -20.75%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -9.44%E -2.90%K -4.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-20 12:19
Paddy Power1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.23%E -4.79%K -20.75%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 12:19
Fanatics1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.95%E -5.39%K -23.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -8.04%E -2.44%K -3.50%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-20 12:19
PMU (FR)1.29I 77.52%NM 69.93%EV -6.95%E -5.39%K -23.96%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.07%EV -16.40%E -5.47%K -8.20%G +0.000%10.9%2026-05-20 12:19
DraftKings1.28I 78.13%NM 74.25%EV -7.67%E -5.99%K -27.39%G +0.000%3.69I 27.10%NM 25.75%EV +2.83%E +0.766%K +1.05%G +0.030%5.2%2026-05-20 12:19
Winamax (DE)1.28I 78.13%NM 71.43%EV -7.67%E -5.99%K -27.39%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.57%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-20 12:19
PointsBet (AU)1.27I 78.74%NM 73.38%EV -8.39%E -6.61%K -31.07%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -2.47%E -0.705%K -0.988%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-20 12:19
Tipico (DE)1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -8.39%E -6.61%K -31.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -5.26%E -1.55%K -2.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-20 12:19
Bet Victor1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.83%E -7.87%K -39.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +4.50%E +1.20%K +1.64%G +0.074%6.7%2026-05-20 12:19
theScore Bet1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -9.83%E -7.87%K -39.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV +4.50%E +1.20%K +1.64%G +0.074%6.7%2026-05-20 12:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -9.83%E -7.87%K -39.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +3.10%E +0.839%K +1.15%G +0.036%7.0%2026-05-20 12:19
Coral1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -9.83%E -7.87%K -39.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV +3.10%E +0.839%K +1.15%G +0.036%7.0%2026-05-20 12:19
Fliff1.25I 80.00%NM 73.40%EV -9.83%E -7.87%K -39.33%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.60%EV -3.86%E -1.12%K -1.58%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 12:19
Winamax (FR)1.25I 80.00%NM 71.91%EV -9.83%E -7.87%K -39.33%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.09%EV -10.83%E -3.38%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-20 12:19
BetMGM1.24I 80.65%NM 75.40%EV -10.55%E -8.51%K -43.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.60%EV +5.89%E +1.55%K +2.10%G +0.124%7.0%2026-05-20 12:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-05-20 12:19
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 74.18%3.85I 25.97%NM 25.82%0.6%2026-05-20 12:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.31I 76.34%NM 75.33%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.67%1.3%2026-05-20 12:19
Matchbook1.38I 72.46%NM 70.51%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.49%2.8%2026-05-20 12:19
Smarkets1.32I 75.76%NM 72.90%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.10%3.9%2026-05-20 12:19
Novig1.33I 75.19%NM 71.46%3.33I 30.03%NM 28.54%5.2%2026-05-20 12:20