Language:English
Jaqueline Cristian v Daria Kasatkina
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Jaqueline Cristian (Local)
Prediction 40.85%2.45fair odd
EV -1.15%
Edge -0.477%
Kelly -0.813%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.42
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.55%40.75%40.94%42.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.302.302.4245.45%43.46%43.48%41.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Daria Kasatkina (Visit)
Prediction 59.15%1.69fair odd
EV -3.58%
Edge -2.20%
Kelly -5.68%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.63
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.89%59.25%59.06%60.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.551.601.611.6364.52%62.42%62.11%61.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Jaqueline Cristian (Local): 40.85%; Daria Kasatkina (Visit): 59.15%. For Jaqueline Cristian (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.45. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.42, with an expected value of -1.15%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.15%E -0.477%K -0.813%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-05-21 10:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.97%E -0.821%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.35%E -3.35%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-05-21 10:19 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.97%E -0.821%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 10:20 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -2.38%E -0.995%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -5.94%E -3.74%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 10:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-21 10:18 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.94%E -3.74%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 10:19 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-21 10:20 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.72%E -4.95%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-21 10:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.42%E -1.89%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-05-21 10:19 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.42%E -1.89%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.35%E -3.35%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 10:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.83%E -2.07%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-21 10:20 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.83%E -2.07%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 10:19 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.83%E -2.07%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 10:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.83%E -2.07%K -3.63%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.35%E -3.35%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-21 10:20 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.65%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-21 10:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 10:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 10:19 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 10:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 10:19 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 10:20 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 10:19 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-21 10:20 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.35%E -3.35%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 10:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.35%E -3.35%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 10:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.35%E -3.35%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 10:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.35%E -3.35%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-21 10:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.94%E -3.74%K -10.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-21 10:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.54%E -4.14%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-21 10:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 10:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-21 10:20 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.31%E -5.36%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-21 10:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.31%E -5.36%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-21 10:19 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.31%E -5.36%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-21 10:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 10:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 10:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 10:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 10:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 10:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 10:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 10:19 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 10:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 10:19 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 10:19 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 10:19 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 10:19 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-21 10:19 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.58%EV -7.28%E -3.21%K -5.73%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -8.31%E -5.36%K -15.11%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-21 10:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.35%E -3.35%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-21 10:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.35%E -3.35%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-05-21 10:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.54%E -4.14%K -11.27%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-05-21 10:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-21 10:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.50%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-21 10:19 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -8.91%E -4.00%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-21 10:19 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -8.91%E -4.00%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-21 10:19 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.35%E -3.35%K -8.92%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-21 10:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-21 10:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-21 10:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-21 10:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22% | 0.5% | 2026-05-21 10:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46% | 1.9% | 2026-05-21 10:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26% | 2.3% | 2026-05-21 10:30 |