La scuola delle quote

Jaqueline Cristian v Daria Kasatkina

Inizio: 2026-05-21 10:40 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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56 bookmaker (20 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Jaqueline Cristian (Casa)

Previsione 40.85%2.45quota equa
EV -1.15%
Vantaggio -0.477%
Kelly -0.813%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.42

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
39.55%40.75%40.94%42.11%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.202.302.302.4245.45%43.46%43.48%41.32%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Daria Kasatkina (Trasferta)

Previsione 59.15%1.69quota equa
EV -3.58%
Vantaggio -2.20%
Kelly -5.68%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.63

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
57.89%59.25%59.06%60.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.551.601.611.6364.52%62.42%62.11%61.35%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (56 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Pinnacle2.42I 41.32%NM 40.10%EV -1.15%E -0.477%K -0.813%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 59.90%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-21 10:30
Winamax (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 40.00%EV -1.97%E -0.821%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 60.00%EV -5.35%E -3.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-21 10:19
Betclic (FR)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.55%EV -1.97%E -0.821%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.45%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.50%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 10:20
DraftKings2.39I 41.84%NM 39.95%EV -2.38%E -0.995%K -1.71%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 60.05%EV -5.94%E -3.74%K -10.08%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 10:30
Bovada2.35I 42.55%NM 40.66%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.34%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-21 10:18
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 40.36%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.64%EV -5.94%E -3.74%K -10.08%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 10:19
BetMGM2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.50%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-21 10:20
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -4.01%E -1.71%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -7.72%E -4.95%K -13.78%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-21 10:20
FanDuel2.34I 42.74%NM 40.76%EV -4.42%E -1.89%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.24%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-21 10:19
Bet Right2.34I 42.74%NM 40.61%EV -4.42%E -1.89%K -3.30%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.39%EV -5.35%E -3.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 10:19
Unibet (UK)2.33I 42.92%NM 41.01%EV -4.83%E -2.07%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.99%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-21 10:20
Coolbet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.83%E -2.07%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 10:19
ReBet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.86%EV -4.83%E -2.07%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.14%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 10:20
Marathon Bet2.33I 42.92%NM 40.71%EV -4.83%E -2.07%K -3.63%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.29%EV -5.35%E -3.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-21 10:20
1xBet2.31I 43.29%NM 41.22%EV -5.65%E -2.44%K -4.31%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.78%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-21 10:30
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 10:19
BoyleSports2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 10:19
theScore Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 10:30
Hard Rock Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 10:19
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 10:20
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 10:19
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.76%E -2.96%K -7.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-21 10:20
Codere (IT)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.35%E -3.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 10:20
PointsBet (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.35%E -3.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 10:20
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.35%E -3.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 10:20
PlayUp2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -5.35%E -3.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-21 10:20
Betr (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.87%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 59.13%EV -5.94%E -3.74%K -10.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-21 10:19
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 40.72%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.28%EV -6.54%E -4.14%K -11.27%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-21 10:20
SportsBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 10:20
Neds2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 10:20
Ladbrokes (AU)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.50%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-21 10:20
Coral2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.31%E -5.36%K -15.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 10:20
Ladbrokes (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.31%E -5.36%K -15.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 10:19
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -6.06%E -2.63%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -8.31%E -5.36%K -15.11%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 10:19
Grosvenor2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 10:20
Unibet (NL)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 10:20
TABtouch2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 10:20
Unibet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 10:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 10:19
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 10:19
Unibet (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 10:19
Casumo2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 10:20
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 10:19
betPARX2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 10:19
Svenska Spel2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 10:19
ATG (SE)2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 10:19
Bally Bet2.28I 43.86%NM 41.69%EV -6.87%E -3.01%K -5.37%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.31%EV -3.58%E -2.20%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-21 10:19
NetBet (FR)2.27I 44.05%NM 40.58%EV -7.28%E -3.21%K -5.73%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 59.42%EV -8.31%E -5.36%K -15.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-21 10:20
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.35%E -3.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 10:30
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -5.35%E -3.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-21 10:30
Unibet (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.25%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.75%EV -6.54%E -4.14%K -11.27%G +0.000%7.7%2026-05-21 10:20
Paddy Power2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-21 10:19
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.10%E -3.60%K -6.48%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.13%E -4.54%K -12.50%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-21 10:19
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -8.91%E -4.00%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 10:19
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.08%EV -8.91%E -4.00%K -7.25%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.92%EV -4.17%E -2.57%K -6.73%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-21 10:19
PMU (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -10.14%E -4.61%K -8.45%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -5.35%E -3.35%K -8.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-21 10:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (6)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-05-21 10:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-05-21 10:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-05-21 10:30
Matchbook2.44I 40.98%NM 40.78%1.68I 59.52%NM 59.22%0.5%2026-05-21 10:30
Novig2.42I 41.32%NM 40.54%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.46%1.9%2026-05-21 10:30
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 40.74%1.65I 60.61%NM 59.26%2.3%2026-05-21 10:30