Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 2.32
assuming max odds 1.73
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Emma Navarro (Local): 43.11%; Ann Li (Visit): 56.89%. For Emma Navarro (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.3197. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.3200, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.012%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV +0.012%E +0.005%K +0.009%G +0.000% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -7.27%E -4.46%K -11.54%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-22 12:17 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.14%E -0.944%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.72%E -1.59%K -3.83%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-22 11:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.14%E -0.944%K -1.69%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 3.6% | 2026-05-22 09:50 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.28%E -1.93%K -4.69%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-05-22 12:10 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.13%E -3.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 12:20 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.44%E -1.53%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-22 09:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.44%E -1.53%K -2.77%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-05-22 09:50 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.87%E -1.73%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-22 03:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.87%E -1.73%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 12:20 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.87%E -1.73%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 12:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.87%E -1.73%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 12:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.87%E -1.73%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 12:20 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.87%E -1.73%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 12:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.87%E -1.73%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 12:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.87%E -1.73%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-22 12:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-22 12:10 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-22 08:56 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 12:10 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 12:00 |
| ReBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 12:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 11:50 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 12:10 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 09:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 09:00 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 09:00 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 09:00 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-22 11:50 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-22 12:10 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-22 12:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.13%E -3.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-22 08:59 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.13%E -3.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-22 12:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.13%E -3.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-22 12:20 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.84%E -4.84%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-22 12:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.02%E -2.76%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-22 12:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -6.02%E -2.76%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-22 12:10 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.02%E -2.76%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-22 12:10 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.02%E -2.76%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-22 12:10 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.02%E -2.76%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-22 12:10 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.02%E -2.76%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.13%E -3.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-22 12:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.02%E -2.76%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.70%E -4.08%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 12:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.02%E -2.76%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.70%E -4.08%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 12:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.02%E -2.76%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.70%E -4.08%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 12:20 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.02%E -2.76%K -5.10%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.70%E -4.08%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-22 12:20 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -6.89%E -3.19%K -5.94%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.84%E -4.84%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-05-22 12:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -7.32%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -1.58%E -0.912%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-22 06:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.32%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.50%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-22 09:00 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.32%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-22 02:31 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.32%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.13%E -3.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 09:50 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.32%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.13%E -3.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 02:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.32%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.13%E -3.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-22 11:50 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.32%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.84%E -4.84%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-22 12:09 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.32%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.84%E -4.84%K -12.64%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-22 12:10 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -7.75%E -3.62%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -8.40%E -5.22%K -13.78%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-22 12:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.47%E -4.51%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-22 03:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.47%E -4.51%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.13%E -3.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-22 02:31 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.47%E -4.51%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.13%E -3.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-22 02:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.47%E -4.51%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.13%E -3.71%K -9.43%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-22 02:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -9.47%E -4.51%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -10.68%E -6.80%K -18.74%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-05-22 12:20 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05% | 0.2% | 2026-05-22 12:20 |
| Novig◎ | 2.31I 43.29%NM 43.10% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 56.90% | 0.4% | 2026-05-22 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-05-22 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-05-22 12:10 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84% | 0.5% | 2026-05-22 12:10 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 1.9% | 2026-05-22 12:20 |