L’École des cotes

Emma Navarro v Ann Li

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-22 12:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Emma Navarro (Local)

Prévision 43.11%2.32cote équitable
EV +0.012%
Avantage +0.005%
Kelly +0.009%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.32

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
41.27%43.13%43.12%44.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.192.202.3247.62%45.64%45.45%43.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ann Li (Visiteur)

Prévision 56.89%1.76cote équitable
EV -1.58%
Avantage -0.912%
Kelly -2.16%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.41%56.87%56.88%58.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.571.661.661.7363.69%60.24%60.24%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Betclic (FR)2.32I 43.10%NM 41.27%EV +0.012%E +0.005%K +0.009%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 58.73%EV -7.27%E -4.46%K -11.54%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-22 12:17
Pinnacle2.27I 44.05%NM 42.96%EV -2.14%E -0.944%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 57.04%EV -2.72%E -1.59%K -3.83%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-22 11:30
BetAnything2.27I 44.05%NM 42.53%EV -2.14%E -0.944%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 57.47%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.50%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-22 09:50
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 56.96%EV -3.28%E -1.93%K -4.69%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-22 12:10
theScore Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -3.01%E -1.34%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -6.13%E -3.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 12:20
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.44%E -1.53%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-22 09:50
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 43.00%EV -3.44%E -1.53%K -2.77%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 57.00%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.58%G +0.000%3.8%2026-05-22 09:50
DraftKings2.23I 44.84%NM 42.82%EV -3.87%E -1.73%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 57.18%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-22 03:30
Casumo2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.87%E -1.73%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 12:20
Unibet (NL)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.87%E -1.73%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 12:20
Unibet2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.87%E -1.73%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 12:20
Unibet (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.87%E -1.73%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 12:20
betPARX2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.87%E -1.73%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 12:20
Svenska Spel2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.87%E -1.73%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 12:20
ATG (SE)2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV -3.87%E -1.73%K -3.14%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-22 12:20
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 12:10
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 43.44%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.56%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.58%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-22 08:56
Unibet (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 12:10
Coolbet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 12:00
ReBet2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.50%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 12:10
Fanatics2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 11:50
Bet Right2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 12:10
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 09:00
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 09:00
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 09:00
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 09:00
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-22 11:50
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-22 12:10
Winamax (FR)2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-22 12:10
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.13%E -3.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 08:59
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.13%E -3.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 12:10
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -6.13%E -3.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 12:20
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV -5.16%E -2.35%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -7.84%E -4.84%K -12.64%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-22 12:10
1xBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.67%EV -6.02%E -2.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 56.33%EV -3.85%E -2.28%K -5.58%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-22 12:10
SportsBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.38%EV -6.02%E -2.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.62%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-22 12:10
NordicBet2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.02%E -2.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 12:10
Betsson2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.02%E -2.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 12:10
Codere (IT)2.18I 45.87%NM 43.23%EV -6.02%E -2.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 56.77%EV -5.56%E -3.35%K -8.42%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-22 12:10
BetRivers2.18I 45.87%NM 43.08%EV -6.02%E -2.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.92%EV -6.13%E -3.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-22 12:20
Grosvenor2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.02%E -2.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.70%E -4.08%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 12:20
Virgin Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.02%E -2.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.70%E -4.08%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 12:20
LiveScore Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.02%E -2.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.70%E -4.08%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 12:20
Bally Bet2.18I 45.87%NM 42.93%EV -6.02%E -2.76%K -5.10%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.07%EV -6.70%E -4.08%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-22 12:20
LeoVegas2.16I 46.30%NM 42.86%EV -6.89%E -3.19%K -5.94%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.14%EV -7.84%E -4.84%K -12.64%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-22 12:20
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 44.59%EV -7.32%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 55.41%EV -1.58%E -0.912%K -2.16%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-22 06:20
PlayUp2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -7.32%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -4.42%E -2.63%K -6.50%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-22 09:00
BetMGM2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -7.32%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-22 02:31
TAB2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.32%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.13%E -3.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 09:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.32%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.13%E -3.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 02:40
Fliff2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -7.32%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -6.13%E -3.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-22 11:50
NetBet (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.32%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.84%E -4.84%K -12.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 12:09
Everygame2.15I 46.51%NM 42.97%EV -7.32%E -3.40%K -6.36%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 57.03%EV -7.84%E -4.84%K -12.64%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 12:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.14I 46.73%NM 42.93%EV -7.75%E -3.62%K -6.80%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.07%EV -8.40%E -5.22%K -13.78%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-22 12:20
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -9.47%E -4.51%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -4.99%E -2.99%K -7.45%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-22 03:40
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.47%E -4.51%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.13%E -3.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 02:31
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.47%E -4.51%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.13%E -3.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 02:30
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -9.47%E -4.51%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -6.13%E -3.71%K -9.43%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-22 02:30
PMU (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 42.78%EV -9.47%E -4.51%K -8.61%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 57.22%EV -10.68%E -6.80%K -18.74%G +0.000%11.3%2026-05-22 12:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.95%1.72I 58.14%NM 58.05%0.2%2026-05-22 12:20
Novig2.31I 43.29%NM 43.10%1.75I 57.14%NM 56.90%0.4%2026-05-22 11:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-05-22 12:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-05-22 12:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%0.5%2026-05-22 12:10
Smarkets2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%1.9%2026-05-22 12:20