Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Diane Parry v Emma Raducanu

Início: 2026-05-19 08:41 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

61 casas de apostas (22 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Diane Parry (Local)

Previsão 49.91%2.00odd justa
EV -0.177%
Vantagem -0.089%
Kelly -0.177%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.35%49.78%50.00%51.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.801.901.902.0055.56%52.75%52.63%50.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Emma Raducanu (Visitante)

Previsão 50.09%2.00odd justa
EV -2.83%
Vantagem -1.46%
Kelly -3.01%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.94

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.65%50.22%50.00%52.65%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.791.871.871.9455.87%53.56%53.48%51.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Diane Parry (Local): 49.91%; Emma Raducanu (Visitante): 50.09%. Para Diane Parry (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.004. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.000, com valor esperado de -0.177%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (61 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
BetAnything🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.177%E -0.089%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.34%E -4.56%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 08:34
DraftKings🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -0.677%E -0.340%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -10.34%E -5.78%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 08:40
theScore Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.67%E -1.37%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.33%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 08:40
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.67%E -1.37%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.67%E -1.37%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:27
PlayUp🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -2.67%E -1.37%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -8.84%E -4.86%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 08:40
Pinnacle🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.46%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-19 08:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.67%E -1.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.33%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.17%E -2.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
Casumo🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.17%E -2.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
Unibet (NL)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.17%E -2.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.17%E -2.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
Svenska Spel🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.17%E -2.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
betPARX🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.17%E -2.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
FanDuel🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 08:39
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 08:40
Fanatics🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 08:40
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 08:36
LowVig.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 08:35
BetOnline.ag🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 08:35
1xBet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 08:35
Bet Right🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.33%E -2.82%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:36
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 08:40
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.34%E -4.56%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 08:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.34%E -4.56%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 08:40
888sport🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.84%E -5.47%K -12.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 08:40
888sport (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.84%E -5.47%K -12.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 08:40
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.84%E -5.47%K -12.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 08:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 08:40
Betway🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
SportsBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
Betr (AU)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.33%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 08:37
Unibet (FR)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.33%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 08:29
Codere (IT)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.33%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 08:31
NordicBet🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 08:39
Betsson🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 08:39
Coolbet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.67%E -3.00%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.83%E -1.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 08:40
Virgin Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -5.67%E -3.00%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 08:40
LiveScore Bet🎯1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -5.67%E -3.00%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 08:40
Grosvenor🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 08:40
Bally Bet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.34%E -4.56%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 08:36
Neds🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.34%E -4.56%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 08:36
Unibet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.67%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.33%E -1.72%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
TABtouch🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.67%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.33%E -1.72%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
BetRivers🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.67%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.33%E -1.72%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.67%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 08:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.67%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.33%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 08:40
BetUS🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.67%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.33%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 08:31
LeoVegas🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.67%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.34%E -4.56%K -10.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 08:40
Fliff🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -6.67%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -9.84%E -5.47%K -12.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 08:40
Winamax (FR)🎯1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -7.17%E -3.85%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 08:40
Bet Victor🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 08:26
Everygame🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 08:29
NetBet (FR)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 08:31
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.84%E -4.86%K -10.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 08:40
Winamax (DE)🎯1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -8.16%E -4.44%K -9.72%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -6.83%E -3.67%K -7.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 08:40
Paddy Power🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.66%E -4.73%K -10.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.34%E -4.56%K -10.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 08:40
Betclic (FR)🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.66%E -4.73%K -10.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.34%E -4.56%K -10.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 08:37
PMU (FR)🎯1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -9.16%E -5.03%K -11.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 08:40
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.16%E -5.64%K -12.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 08:40
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-05-19 08:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-19 08:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-19 08:40
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.6%2026-05-19 08:40
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%3.0%2026-05-19 08:40
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%7.0%2026-05-19 08:40