L’École des cotes

Diane Parry v Emma Raducanu

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-19 08:41 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

61 opérateurs (22 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Diane Parry (Local)

Prévision 49.91%2.00cote équitable
EV -0.177%
Avantage -0.089%
Kelly -0.177%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.35%49.78%50.00%51.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.801.901.902.0055.56%52.75%52.63%50.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Emma Raducanu (Visiteur)

Prévision 50.09%2.00cote équitable
EV -2.83%
Avantage -1.46%
Kelly -3.01%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.94

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
48.65%50.22%50.00%52.65%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.791.871.871.9455.87%53.56%53.48%51.55%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (61 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.177%E -0.089%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.34%E -4.56%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 08:34
DraftKings1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -0.677%E -0.340%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -10.34%E -5.78%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 08:40
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.67%E -1.37%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.33%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 08:40
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.67%E -1.37%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.67%E -1.37%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:27
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -2.67%E -1.37%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -8.84%E -4.86%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 08:40
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.46%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-19 08:40
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.67%E -1.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.33%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:29
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.17%E -2.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.17%E -2.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.17%E -2.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.17%E -2.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.17%E -2.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.17%E -2.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 08:39
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 08:40
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 08:40
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 08:36
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 08:35
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 08:35
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 08:35
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.33%E -2.82%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:36
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 08:40
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.34%E -4.56%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 08:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.34%E -4.56%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 08:40
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.84%E -5.47%K -12.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 08:40
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.84%E -5.47%K -12.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 08:40
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.84%E -5.47%K -12.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 08:40
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 08:40
Betway1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.33%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 08:37
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.33%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 08:29
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.33%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 08:31
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 08:39
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 08:39
Coolbet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.67%E -3.00%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.83%E -1.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 08:40
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -5.67%E -3.00%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 08:40
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -5.67%E -3.00%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 08:40
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 08:40
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.34%E -4.56%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 08:36
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.34%E -4.56%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 08:36
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.67%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.33%E -1.72%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.67%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.33%E -1.72%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.67%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.33%E -1.72%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.67%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 08:40
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.67%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.33%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 08:40
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.67%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.33%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 08:31
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.67%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.34%E -4.56%K -10.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 08:40
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -6.67%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -9.84%E -5.47%K -12.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 08:40
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -7.17%E -3.85%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 08:40
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 08:26
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 08:29
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 08:31
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.84%E -4.86%K -10.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 08:40
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -8.16%E -4.44%K -9.72%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -6.83%E -3.67%K -7.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 08:40
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.66%E -4.73%K -10.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.34%E -4.56%K -10.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 08:40
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.66%E -4.73%K -10.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.34%E -4.56%K -10.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 08:37
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -9.16%E -5.03%K -11.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 08:40
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.16%E -5.64%K -12.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 08:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-05-19 08:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-19 08:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-19 08:40
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.6%2026-05-19 08:40
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%3.0%2026-05-19 08:40
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%7.0%2026-05-19 08:40