La escuela de los momios

Diane Parry v Emma Raducanu

Inicio: 2026-05-19 08:41 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

61 corredores (22 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Diane Parry (Local)

Predicción 49.91%2.00momio equitativo
EV -0.177%
Ventaja -0.089%
Kelly -0.177%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
47.35%49.78%50.00%51.35%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.801.901.902.0055.56%52.75%52.63%50.00%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Emma Raducanu (Visitante)

Predicción 50.09%2.00momio equitativo
EV -2.83%
Ventaja -1.46%
Kelly -3.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.94

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.65%50.22%50.00%52.65%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.791.871.871.9455.87%53.56%53.48%51.55%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (61 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteMargenActualizado
BetAnything2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -0.177%E -0.089%K -0.177%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -8.34%E -4.56%K -10.05%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 08:34
DraftKings1.99I 50.25%NM 47.35%EV -0.677%E -0.340%K -0.683%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.65%EV -10.34%E -5.78%K -13.09%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 08:40
theScore Bet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -2.67%E -1.37%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -6.33%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%4.8%2026-05-19 08:40
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.67%E -1.37%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.67%E -1.37%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:27
PlayUp1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -2.67%E -1.37%K -2.81%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -8.84%E -4.86%K -10.78%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-19 08:40
Pinnacle1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -3.17%E -1.64%K -3.37%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 50.00%EV -2.83%E -1.46%K -3.01%G +0.000%3.1%2026-05-19 08:40
Marathon Bet1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.67%E -1.90%K -3.95%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.33%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:29
Unibet (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.17%E -2.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
Casumo1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.17%E -2.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
Unibet (NL)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.17%E -2.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.17%E -2.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
Svenska Spel1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.17%E -2.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.17%E -2.17%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 08:39
Bovada1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 08:40
Fanatics1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 08:40
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 08:36
LowVig.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 08:35
BetOnline.ag1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 08:35
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 08:35
Bet Right1.91I 52.36%NM 49.74%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.26%EV -5.33%E -2.82%K -5.99%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:36
BetMGM1.91I 52.36%NM 49.20%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.80%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-19 08:40
Coral1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.34%E -4.56%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 08:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.34%E -4.56%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 08:40
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.84%E -5.47%K -12.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 08:40
888sport (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.84%E -5.47%K -12.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 08:40
Mr Green (SE)1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.67%E -2.44%K -5.13%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.84%E -5.47%K -12.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 08:40
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 08:40
Betway1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
SportsBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.37%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
Betr (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.33%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 08:37
Unibet (FR)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.33%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 08:29
Codere (IT)1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -6.33%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 08:31
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 08:39
Betsson1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%EV -5.17%E -2.72%K -5.74%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-19 08:39
Coolbet1.89I 52.91%NM 50.39%EV -5.67%E -3.00%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.61%EV -3.83%E -1.99%K -4.16%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 08:40
Virgin Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -5.67%E -3.00%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 08:40
LiveScore Bet1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -5.67%E -3.00%K -6.37%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 08:40
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 08:40
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 49.60%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.40%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-19 08:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.34%E -4.56%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 08:36
Neds1.88I 53.19%NM 49.33%EV -6.17%E -3.28%K -7.01%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.67%EV -8.34%E -4.56%K -10.05%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 08:36
Unibet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.67%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.33%E -1.72%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
TABtouch1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.67%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.33%E -1.72%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
BetRivers1.87I 53.48%NM 50.79%EV -6.67%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.21%EV -3.33%E -1.72%K -3.58%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 08:40
Hard Rock Bet1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -6.67%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -4.33%E -2.27%K -4.76%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 08:40
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.67%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.33%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 08:40
BetUS1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.67%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -6.33%E -3.39%K -7.28%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 08:31
LeoVegas1.87I 53.48%NM 49.46%EV -6.67%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.54%EV -8.34%E -4.56%K -10.05%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 08:40
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 49.05%EV -6.67%E -3.56%K -7.66%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.95%EV -9.84%E -5.47%K -12.30%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 08:40
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -7.17%E -3.85%K -8.33%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 08:40
Bet Victor1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 08:26
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 08:29
NetBet (FR)1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -7.34%E -3.97%K -8.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 08:31
LeoVegas (SE)1.85I 54.05%NM 49.59%EV -7.66%E -4.14%K -9.02%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 50.41%EV -8.84%E -4.86%K -10.78%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-19 08:40
Winamax (DE)1.84I 54.35%NM 50.27%EV -8.16%E -4.44%K -9.72%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 49.73%EV -6.83%E -3.67%K -7.95%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 08:40
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.66%E -4.73%K -10.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.34%E -4.56%K -10.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 08:40
Betclic (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.66%E -4.73%K -10.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -8.34%E -4.56%K -10.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-05-19 08:37
PMU (FR)1.82I 54.95%NM 50.81%EV -9.16%E -5.03%K -11.17%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.19%EV -5.83%E -3.10%K -6.63%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-19 08:40
Tipico (DE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -10.16%E -5.64%K -12.70%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -4.83%E -2.54%K -5.37%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 08:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.37%1.89I 52.91%NM 52.63%0.5%2026-05-19 08:40
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-19 08:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.08I 48.08%NM 47.74%1.90I 52.63%NM 52.26%0.7%2026-05-19 08:40
Smarkets2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.6%2026-05-19 08:40
Novig2.02I 49.50%NM 48.07%1.87I 53.48%NM 51.93%3.0%2026-05-19 08:40
Matchbook1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%7.0%2026-05-19 08:40