La scuola delle quoteLingua:Italiano
Daria Kasatkina v Liudmila Samsonova
Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
Testa a testa
Daria Kasatkina (Casa)
Previsione 54.48%1.84quota equa
EV +0.787%
Vantaggio +0.425%
Kelly +0.926%
Crescita +0.007%
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.85
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%55.12%53.98%65.38%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.431.711.701.8569.93%58.43%58.82%54.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Liudmila Samsonova (Trasferta)
Previsione 45.52%2.20quota equa
EV +22.91%
Vantaggio +8.48%
Kelly +13.47%
Crescita +3.09%
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.70
Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.62%44.88%46.02%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.852.092.052.7054.05%47.78%48.78%37.04%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Quote dei bookmaker (61 bookmaker)
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta ▼ | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM | 1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -22.09%E -15.45%K -51.38%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +22.91%E +8.48%K +13.47%G +3.09% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Bovada | 1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -16.10%E -10.46%K -29.82%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +16.08%E +6.30%K +10.37%G +1.67% | 4.2% | 2026-05-18 08:44 |
| Unibet | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -15.56%E -10.04%K -28.29%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +11.53%E +4.70%K +7.95%G +0.916% | 5.3% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| TAB | 1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -17.19%E -11.31%K -33.06%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV +9.25%E +3.85%K +6.61%G +0.611% | 7.5% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Pinnacle | 1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -10.11%E -6.13%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV +5.15%E +2.23%K +3.93%G +0.203% | 3.9% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| FanDuel | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -11.74%E -7.25%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +4.70%E +2.04%K +3.61%G +0.170% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 08:40 |
| Hard Rock Bet | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -11.74%E -7.25%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +4.70%E +2.04%K +3.61%G +0.170% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 08:44 |
| Betway | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -10.11%E -6.13%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +2.42%E +1.08%K +1.94%G +0.047% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:40 |
| Coolbet | 1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.56%E -5.76%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.51%E +0.678%K +1.23%G +0.019% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Paddy Power | 1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.74%E -7.25%K -18.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +0.145%E +0.066%K +0.121%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 08:41 |
| Betclic (FR) | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.98%EV -13.92%E -8.81%K -24.00%G +0.000% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 42.02%EV -0.765%E -0.351%K -0.648%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-18 08:44 |
| Casumo | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.68%E -0.776%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.68%E -0.776%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| Unibet (NL) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.68%E -0.776%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Svenska Spel | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.68%E -0.776%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.68%E -0.776%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| betPARX | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.68%E -0.776%K -1.44%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| TABtouch | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.47%E -5.04%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -2.59%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| BetRivers | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.47%E -5.04%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Grosvenor | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.47%E -5.04%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.47%E -5.04%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.47%E -5.04%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Bally Bet | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.47%E -5.04%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| Betsson | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| NordicBet | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.02%E -5.40%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| BoyleSports | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.02%E -5.40%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| LeoVegas | 1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -9.56%E -5.76%K -14.49%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -10.11%E -6.13%K -15.55%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -5.32%E -2.56%K -4.92%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.03%E -1.70%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.23%E -3.02%K -5.88%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| 888sport | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.68%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| 888sport (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.68%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.68%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Coral | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.02%E -5.40%K -13.46%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -6.68%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| PMU (FR) | 1.61I 62.11%NM 55.89%EV -12.29%E -7.63%K -20.14%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -7.14%E -3.50%K -6.86%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| DraftKings | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV -3.57%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV -7.59%E -3.74%K -7.37%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| 1xBet | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -0.847%E -0.466%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -8.05%E -3.98%K -7.89%G +0.000% | 4.5% | 2026-05-18 08:29 |
| BetAnything | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.303%E -0.165%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-18 08:34 |
| ReBet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -1.39%E -0.769%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-18 08:29 |
| SportsBet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.94%E -1.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 08:35 |
| William Hill | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.94%E -1.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-05-18 08:34 |
| PlayUp | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.03%E -1.70%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 08:29 |
| theScore Bet | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.57%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Fanatics | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.84%E -4.00%K -9.63%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| Tipico (DE) | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -1.39%E -0.769%K -1.72%G +0.000% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -9.41%E -4.73%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-05-18 08:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV +0.787%E +0.425%K +0.926%G +0.007% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -9.87%E -4.98%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-18 08:35 |
| BetOnline.ag | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV +0.787%E +0.425%K +0.926%G +0.007% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -9.87%E -4.98%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-18 08:36 |
| Bet Right | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -0.303%E -0.165%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -9.87%E -4.98%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-05-18 08:34 |
| Codere (IT) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -1.94%E -1.08%K -2.42%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -9.87%E -4.98%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-18 08:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -9.87%E -4.98%K -10.07%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Unibet (FR) | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.303%E -0.165%K -0.365%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -11.23%E -5.76%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-05-18 08:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -0.847%E -0.466%K -1.03%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -11.23%E -5.76%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-05-18 08:35 |
| Neds | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -3.03%E -1.70%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -11.23%E -5.76%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-18 08:35 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -3.03%E -1.70%K -3.88%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -11.23%E -5.76%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-18 08:35 |
| Bet Victor | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.21%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -11.23%E -5.76%K -11.83%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-18 08:29 |
| Winamax (FR) | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.59%EV -8.47%E -5.04%K -12.46%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -11.69%E -6.03%K -12.44%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| BetUS | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV +0.787%E +0.425%K +0.926%G +0.007% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -13.97%E -7.39%K -15.69%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 08:29 |
| Everygame | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +0.787%E +0.425%K +0.926%G +0.007% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -15.79%E -8.53%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-05-18 08:29 |
| NetBet (FR) | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 48.32%EV -15.79%E -8.53%K -18.57%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-18 08:31 |
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
Borse di scommesse (6)
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00% | 0.6% | 2026-05-18 08:46 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91% | 2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09% | 0.7% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Smarkets | 1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43% | 1.6% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06% | 2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94% | 1.9% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Novig | 1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43% | 2.8% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |
| Matchbook | 1.51I 66.23%NM 56.10% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 43.90% | 18.0% | 2026-05-18 08:45 |