مدرسة الاحتمالات

Daria Kasatkina v Liudmila Samsonova

البداية: 2026-05-18 08:46 UTC

أسعار الإغلاق — الاحتمالات والقيمة المتوقعة المحسوبة من آخر الأسعار المسجلة قبل البداية وفق النموذج المحدد. بدأت المباراة، لذا فهذه ليست أرقامًا مباشرة. قيّم موثوقية التنبؤات الاحتمالية لكل نموذج بمقارنتها بنتائج جميع المباريات المحسومة →

نتيجة المباراة

61 شركة مراهنات (22 في التحليل )

الاحتمال المقدّر لكل نتيجة وفق النموذج: IQM

Daria Kasatkina (المضيف)

التنبؤ 54.48%1.84السعر العادل
EV +0.787%
الأفضلية +0.425%
Kelly +0.926%
النمو +0.007%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 1.85

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
50.00%55.12%53.98%65.38%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.431.711.701.8569.93%58.43%58.82%54.05%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

Liudmila Samsonova (الضيف)

التنبؤ 45.52%2.20السعر العادل
EV +22.91%
الأفضلية +8.48%
Kelly +13.47%
النمو +3.09%

بافتراض سعر أقصى قدره 2.70

توزيع تنبؤات شركات المراهنات
34.62%44.88%46.02%50.00%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX
توزيع الأسعار
1.852.092.052.7054.05%47.78%48.78%37.04%MINالمتوسطالوسيطMAX

أسعار شركات المراهنات (61 شركة مراهنات)

لسنا تابعين لأي شركة مراهنات، ولا نحقق أي عائد من الرهانات أو المعاملات التي تُجرى لديها.

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيف ▼الهامشآخر تحديث
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -22.09%E -15.45%K -51.38%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.62%EV +22.91%E +8.48%K +13.47%G +3.09%7.0%2026-05-18 08:45
Bovada1.54I 64.94%NM 62.35%EV -16.10%E -10.46%K -29.82%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.65%EV +16.08%E +6.30%K +10.37%G +1.67%4.2%2026-05-18 08:44
Unibet1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -15.56%E -10.04%K -28.29%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +11.53%E +4.70%K +7.95%G +0.916%5.3%2026-05-18 08:45
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 61.22%EV -17.19%E -11.31%K -33.06%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV +9.25%E +3.85%K +6.61%G +0.611%7.5%2026-05-18 08:45
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 58.33%EV -10.11%E -6.13%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.31I 43.29%NM 41.67%EV +5.15%E +2.23%K +3.93%G +0.203%3.9%2026-05-18 08:45
FanDuel1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -11.74%E -7.25%K -18.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +4.70%E +2.04%K +3.61%G +0.170%5.2%2026-05-18 08:40
Hard Rock Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -11.74%E -7.25%K -18.94%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +4.70%E +2.04%K +3.61%G +0.170%5.2%2026-05-18 08:44
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -10.11%E -6.13%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV +2.42%E +1.08%K +1.94%G +0.047%5.1%2026-05-18 08:40
Coolbet1.66I 60.24%NM 57.33%EV -9.56%E -5.76%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.23I 44.84%NM 42.67%EV +1.51%E +0.678%K +1.23%G +0.019%5.1%2026-05-18 08:45
Paddy Power1.62I 61.73%NM 57.59%EV -11.74%E -7.25%K -18.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.41%EV +0.145%E +0.066%K +0.121%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 08:41
Betclic (FR)1.58I 63.29%NM 57.98%EV -13.92%E -8.81%K -24.00%G +0.000%2.18I 45.87%NM 42.02%EV -0.765%E -0.351%K -0.648%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-18 08:44
Casumo1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.68%E -0.776%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:46
Unibet (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.68%E -0.776%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:46
Unibet (NL)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.68%E -0.776%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:45
Svenska Spel1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.68%E -0.776%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:45
ATG (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.68%E -0.776%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:45
betPARX1.70I 58.82%NM 55.96%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.04%EV -1.68%E -0.776%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:45
TABtouch1.68I 59.52%NM 56.02%EV -8.47%E -5.04%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.98%EV -2.59%E -1.21%K -2.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-18 08:45
BetRivers1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.47%E -5.04%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 08:45
Grosvenor1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.47%E -5.04%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 08:46
LiveScore Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.47%E -5.04%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 08:45
Virgin Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.47%E -5.04%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 08:45
Bally Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.79%EV -8.47%E -5.04%K -12.46%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.21%EV -3.50%E -1.65%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-18 08:46
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 08:45
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-18 08:45
Ladbrokes (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.02%E -5.40%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 08:45
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -9.02%E -5.40%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 08:46
LeoVegas1.66I 60.24%NM 55.85%EV -9.56%E -5.76%K -14.49%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.15%EV -4.41%E -2.10%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-18 08:45
LeoVegas (SE)1.65I 60.61%NM 55.76%EV -10.11%E -6.13%K -15.55%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 44.24%EV -5.32%E -2.56%K -4.92%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 08:45
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.65%EV -3.03%E -1.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.35%EV -6.23%E -3.02%K -5.88%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-18 08:46
888sport1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.68%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 08:46
888sport (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.68%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 08:46
Mr Green (SE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -6.68%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 08:45
Coral1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -9.02%E -5.40%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -6.68%E -3.26%K -6.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 08:45
PMU (FR)1.61I 62.11%NM 55.89%EV -12.29%E -7.63%K -20.14%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 44.11%EV -7.14%E -3.50%K -6.86%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-18 08:46
DraftKings1.77I 56.50%NM 53.42%EV -3.57%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 46.58%EV -7.59%E -3.74%K -7.37%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-18 08:46
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -0.847%E -0.466%K -1.03%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV -8.05%E -3.98%K -7.89%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-18 08:29
BetAnything1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -0.303%E -0.165%K -0.365%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 08:34
ReBet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.49%EV -1.39%E -0.769%K -1.72%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.51%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-18 08:29
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.94%E -1.08%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 08:35
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.94%E -1.08%K -2.42%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-05-18 08:34
PlayUp1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -3.03%E -1.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 08:29
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -3.57%E -2.02%K -4.64%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-18 08:46
PointsBet (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 08:45
Fanatics1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -6.84%E -4.00%K -9.63%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-18 08:46
Tipico (DE)1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -7.39%E -4.34%K -10.55%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -8.96%E -4.48%K -8.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-18 08:46
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 52.37%EV -1.39%E -0.769%K -1.72%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 47.63%EV -9.41%E -4.73%K -9.51%G +0.000%5.5%2026-05-18 08:29
LowVig.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV +0.787%E +0.425%K +0.926%G +0.007%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -9.87%E -4.98%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 08:35
BetOnline.ag1.85I 54.05%NM 51.70%EV +0.787%E +0.425%K +0.926%G +0.007%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.30%EV -9.87%E -4.98%K -10.07%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 08:36
Bet Right1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -0.303%E -0.165%K -0.365%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV -9.87%E -4.98%K -10.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-18 08:34
Codere (IT)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -1.94%E -1.08%K -2.42%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -9.87%E -4.98%K -10.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-18 08:30
Winamax (DE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.51%EV -6.30%E -3.66%K -8.74%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 46.49%EV -9.87%E -4.98%K -10.07%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-18 08:45
Unibet (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.59%EV -0.303%E -0.165%K -0.365%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.41%EV -11.23%E -5.76%K -11.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-18 08:29
Betr (AU)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.72%EV -0.847%E -0.466%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.28%EV -11.23%E -5.76%K -11.83%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-18 08:35
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -3.03%E -1.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -11.23%E -5.76%K -11.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 08:35
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -3.03%E -1.70%K -3.88%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV -11.23%E -5.76%K -11.83%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-18 08:35
Bet Victor1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -4.66%E -2.66%K -6.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -11.23%E -5.76%K -11.83%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-18 08:29
Winamax (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.59%EV -8.47%E -5.04%K -12.46%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 46.41%EV -11.69%E -6.03%K -12.44%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-18 08:46
BetUS1.85I 54.05%NM 50.53%EV +0.787%E +0.425%K +0.926%G +0.007%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.47%EV -13.97%E -7.39%K -15.69%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 08:29
Everygame1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV +0.787%E +0.425%K +0.926%G +0.007%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -15.79%E -8.53%K -18.57%G +0.000%8.1%2026-05-18 08:29
NetBet (FR)1.73I 57.80%NM 51.68%EV -5.75%E -3.32%K -7.88%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.32%EV -15.79%E -8.53%K -18.57%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-18 08:31
الهامش = الهامش · I = الاحتمال الضمني · NM = الاحتمال بلا هامش · EV = القيمة المتوقعة · E = الأفضلية · K = معيار Kelly · G = نمو رأس مال المراهنات

آخر تحديث هو وقت آخر تغيير أجرته كل شركة على سعرها؛ فالوقت الأقدم يعني أن السعر لم يتحرك فحسب، لا أنه متقادم. تُستبعد عادة الشركات التي لم تصل عنها بيانات خلال نحو 15 دقيقة؛ ولا تُعرض آخر الأسعار المسجلة بدلًا من ذلك إلا إذا انقطع تدفق بيانات السوق كله.

بورصات المراهنات (6)

شركة المراهناتالمضيفالضيفالهامش ▲آخر تحديث
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.84I 54.35%NM 54.00%2.16I 46.30%NM 46.00%0.6%2026-05-18 08:46
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.63I 61.35%NM 60.91%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.09%0.7%2026-05-18 08:45
Smarkets1.71I 58.48%NM 57.57%2.32I 43.10%NM 42.43%1.6%2026-05-18 08:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.69I 59.17%NM 58.06%2.34I 42.74%NM 41.94%1.9%2026-05-18 08:45
Novig1.72I 58.14%NM 56.57%2.24I 44.64%NM 43.43%2.8%2026-05-18 08:45
Matchbook1.51I 66.23%NM 56.10%1.93I 51.81%NM 43.90%18.0%2026-05-18 08:45