Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clara Tauson v Jaqueline Cristian

Kickoff: 2026-05-20 09:46 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Clara Tauson (Local)

Prediction 38.24%2.61fair odd
EV +7.07%
Edge +2.53%
Kelly +3.93%
Growth +0.278%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.47%38.22%38.51%42.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.472.432.8046.51%40.52%41.15%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Jaqueline Cristian (Visit)

Prediction 61.76%1.62fair odd
EV +1.90%
Edge +1.15%
Kelly +2.93%
Growth +0.056%

assuming max odds 1.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.33%61.78%61.49%65.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.421.521.521.6570.42%65.85%65.79%60.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Clara Tauson (Local): 38.24%; Jaqueline Cristian (Visit): 61.76%. For Clara Tauson (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +7.07%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Pinnacle🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV +7.07%E +2.53%K +3.93%G +0.278%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -7.98%E -5.36%K -16.28%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-20 09:39
LowVig.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV +7.07%E +2.53%K +3.93%G +0.278%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -8.60%E -5.81%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-20 09:39
BetOnline.ag🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV +7.07%E +2.53%K +3.93%G +0.278%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -8.60%E -5.81%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-20 09:39
BetAnything🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +5.16%E +1.88%K +2.95%G +0.152%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -8.60%E -5.81%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 09:39
Betway🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +5.16%E +1.88%K +2.95%G +0.152%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -10.45%E -7.21%K -23.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 09:39
PlayUp🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +3.25%E +1.20%K +1.91%G +0.062%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -10.45%E -7.21%K -23.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 09:39
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV +3.25%E +1.20%K +1.91%G +0.062%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -12.30%E -8.66%K -29.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 09:39
Paddy Power🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +0.191%E +0.073%K +0.118%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -11.07%E -7.69%K -25.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 09:39
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +0.191%E +0.073%K +0.118%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -11.07%E -7.69%K -25.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 09:39
BoyleSports🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +0.191%E +0.073%K +0.118%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -11.07%E -7.69%K -25.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 09:39
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +0.191%E +0.073%K +0.118%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -11.07%E -7.69%K -25.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 09:38
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +0.191%E +0.073%K +0.118%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -11.07%E -7.69%K -25.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 09:38
1xBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.574%E -0.221%K -0.358%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.36%E -4.91%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 09:28
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.574%E -0.221%K -0.358%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.36%E -4.91%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 09:34
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.574%E -0.221%K -0.358%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.36%E -4.91%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 09:34
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -0.574%E -0.221%K -0.358%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -11.07%E -7.69%K -25.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 09:33
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -0.574%E -0.221%K -0.358%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -11.07%E -7.69%K -25.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 09:33
FanDuel🎯2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -1.34%E -0.519%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -6.13%E -4.03%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 09:37
NetBet (FR)🎯2.57I 38.91%NM 35.75%EV -1.72%E -0.670%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -11.68%E -8.17%K -27.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 09:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -2.49%E -0.975%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.98%E -5.36%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 09:34
SportsBet🎯2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -2.87%E -1.13%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -8.60%E -5.81%K -17.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 09:38
DraftKings🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.40%E -1.76%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.13%E -4.03%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 09:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -5.54%E -2.24%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -3.66%E -2.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 09:39
Coolbet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.54%E -2.24%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.27%E -2.76%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 09:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.31%E -2.58%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.66%E -2.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 09:39
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.31%E -2.58%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.13%E -4.03%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 09:39
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.07%E -2.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.66%E -2.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 09:39
Unibet🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.07%E -2.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.66%E -2.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 09:39
Casumo🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.07%E -2.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.66%E -2.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 09:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.07%E -2.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.66%E -2.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 09:39
betPARX🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.07%E -2.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.66%E -2.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 09:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.07%E -2.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.66%E -2.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 09:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.07%E -2.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.66%E -2.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 09:39
TABtouch🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -7.07%E -2.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -5.51%E -3.60%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-20 09:39
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.22%E -3.43%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.27%E -2.76%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 09:39
theScore Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.22%E -3.43%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.89%E -3.18%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 09:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.22%E -3.43%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.36%E -4.91%K -14.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-20 09:39
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -4.89%E -3.18%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 09:39
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -4.89%E -3.18%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 09:39
Grosvenor🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -4.89%E -3.18%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 09:39
Bally Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -4.89%E -3.18%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 09:39
Fanatics🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.13%E -4.31%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.51%E -3.60%K -10.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 09:39
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.13%E -4.31%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.51%E -3.60%K -10.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 09:39
Fliff🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.13%E -4.31%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.36%E -4.91%K -14.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -10.90%E -4.68%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -6.74%E -4.47%K -13.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-20 09:39
Bovada🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -12.05%E -5.24%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV +1.90%E +1.15%K +2.93%G +0.056%4.1%2026-05-20 09:34
NordicBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -12.05%E -5.24%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.04%E -1.94%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 09:39
PMU (FR)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.36%EV -12.81%E -5.62%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.64%EV -8.60%E -5.81%K -17.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-20 09:39
BetMGM🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -13.96%E -6.20%K -11.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -0.568%E -0.353%K -0.931%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 09:39
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -13.96%E -6.20%K -11.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -1.19%E -0.741%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 09:39
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -13.96%E -6.20%K -11.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -1.19%E -0.741%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 09:39
Winamax (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -13.96%E -6.20%K -11.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -6.13%E -4.03%K -11.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-20 09:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -13.96%E -6.20%K -11.17%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -8.60%E -5.81%K -17.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-20 09:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -15.87%E -7.21%K -13.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -1.19%E -0.741%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-20 09:39
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -15.87%E -7.21%K -13.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -1.19%E -0.741%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-20 09:39
Betclic (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -17.78%E -8.27%K -15.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -1.19%E -0.741%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 09:38
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-05-20 09:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-05-20 09:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%1.3%2026-05-20 09:39
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%2.7%2026-05-20 09:39
Novig2.79I 35.84%NM 34.35%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.65%4.3%2026-05-20 09:40
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 35.14%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.86%7.8%2026-05-20 09:27