L’École des cotes

Clara Tauson v Jaqueline Cristian

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-20 09:46 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (20 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Clara Tauson (Local)

Prévision 38.24%2.61cote équitable
EV +7.07%
Avantage +2.53%
Kelly +3.93%
Croissance +0.278%

avec la cote maximale 2.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
34.47%38.22%38.51%42.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.472.432.8046.51%40.52%41.15%35.71%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Jaqueline Cristian (Visiteur)

Prévision 61.76%1.62cote équitable
EV +1.90%
Avantage +1.15%
Kelly +2.93%
Croissance +0.056%

avec la cote maximale 1.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
57.33%61.78%61.49%65.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.421.521.521.6570.42%65.85%65.79%60.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle2.80I 35.71%NM 34.73%EV +7.07%E +2.53%K +3.93%G +0.278%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.27%EV -7.98%E -5.36%K -16.28%G +0.000%2.8%2026-05-20 09:39
LowVig.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV +7.07%E +2.53%K +3.93%G +0.278%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -8.60%E -5.81%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-20 09:39
BetOnline.ag2.80I 35.71%NM 34.58%EV +7.07%E +2.53%K +3.93%G +0.278%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.42%EV -8.60%E -5.81%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.3%2026-05-20 09:39
BetAnything2.75I 36.36%NM 34.99%EV +5.16%E +1.88%K +2.95%G +0.152%1.48I 67.57%NM 65.01%EV -8.60%E -5.81%K -17.91%G +0.000%3.9%2026-05-20 09:39
Betway2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV +5.16%E +1.88%K +2.95%G +0.152%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -10.45%E -7.21%K -23.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 09:39
PlayUp2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV +3.25%E +1.20%K +1.91%G +0.062%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -10.45%E -7.21%K -23.22%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-20 09:39
TAB2.70I 37.04%NM 34.47%EV +3.25%E +1.20%K +1.91%G +0.062%1.42I 70.42%NM 65.53%EV -12.30%E -8.66%K -29.29%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-20 09:39
Paddy Power2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +0.191%E +0.073%K +0.118%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -11.07%E -7.69%K -25.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 09:39
888sport2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +0.191%E +0.073%K +0.118%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -11.07%E -7.69%K -25.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 09:39
BoyleSports2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +0.191%E +0.073%K +0.118%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -11.07%E -7.69%K -25.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 09:39
888sport (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +0.191%E +0.073%K +0.118%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -11.07%E -7.69%K -25.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 09:38
Mr Green (SE)2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV +0.191%E +0.073%K +0.118%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -11.07%E -7.69%K -25.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-20 09:38
1xBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.574%E -0.221%K -0.358%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.36%E -4.91%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 09:28
Bet Right2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.574%E -0.221%K -0.358%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.36%E -4.91%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 09:34
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -0.574%E -0.221%K -0.358%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -7.36%E -4.91%K -14.72%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-20 09:34
Neds2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -0.574%E -0.221%K -0.358%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -11.07%E -7.69%K -25.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 09:33
Ladbrokes (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -0.574%E -0.221%K -0.358%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -11.07%E -7.69%K -25.15%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 09:33
FanDuel2.58I 38.76%NM 37.07%EV -1.34%E -0.519%K -0.847%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.93%EV -6.13%E -4.03%K -11.78%G +0.000%4.5%2026-05-20 09:37
NetBet (FR)2.57I 38.91%NM 35.75%EV -1.72%E -0.670%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.25%EV -11.68%E -8.17%K -27.17%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-20 09:29
Betr (AU)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.88%EV -2.49%E -0.975%K -1.60%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.12%EV -7.98%E -5.36%K -16.28%G +0.000%6.3%2026-05-20 09:34
SportsBet2.54I 39.37%NM 36.82%EV -2.87%E -1.13%K -1.86%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.18%EV -8.60%E -5.81%K -17.91%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 09:38
DraftKings2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.40%E -1.76%K -2.93%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.13%E -4.03%K -11.78%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-20 09:39
Unibet (UK)2.47I 40.49%NM 38.71%EV -5.54%E -2.24%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.29%EV -3.66%E -2.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-20 09:39
Coolbet2.47I 40.49%NM 38.56%EV -5.54%E -2.24%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.44%EV -4.27%E -2.76%K -7.77%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-20 09:39
Hard Rock Bet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.90%EV -6.31%E -2.58%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.10%EV -3.66%E -2.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%4.9%2026-05-20 09:39
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.31%E -2.58%K -4.35%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -6.13%E -4.03%K -11.78%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 09:39
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.07%E -2.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.66%E -2.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 09:39
Unibet2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.07%E -2.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.66%E -2.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 09:39
Casumo2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.07%E -2.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.66%E -2.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 09:39
Unibet (NL)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.07%E -2.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.66%E -2.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 09:39
betPARX2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.07%E -2.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.66%E -2.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 09:39
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.07%E -2.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.66%E -2.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 09:39
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 39.10%EV -7.07%E -2.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.90%EV -3.66%E -2.34%K -6.53%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-20 09:39
TABtouch2.43I 41.15%NM 38.64%EV -7.07%E -2.91%K -4.95%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.36%EV -5.51%E -3.60%K -10.39%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-20 09:39
BetRivers2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -8.22%E -3.43%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.27%E -2.76%K -7.77%G +0.000%6.2%2026-05-20 09:39
theScore Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 39.09%EV -8.22%E -3.43%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.91%EV -4.89%E -3.18%K -9.06%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 09:39
Tipico (DE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -8.22%E -3.43%K -5.87%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.36%E -4.91%K -14.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-20 09:39
Virgin Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -4.89%E -3.18%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 09:39
LiveScore Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -4.89%E -3.18%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 09:39
Grosvenor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -4.89%E -3.18%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 09:39
Bally Bet2.38I 42.02%NM 39.29%EV -8.99%E -3.78%K -6.51%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 60.71%EV -4.89%E -3.18%K -9.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-20 09:39
Fanatics2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.13%E -4.31%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.51%E -3.60%K -10.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 09:39
LeoVegas2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -10.13%E -4.31%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -5.51%E -3.60%K -10.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-20 09:39
Fliff2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.13%E -4.31%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.04%EV -7.36%E -4.91%K -14.72%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-20 09:39
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 39.32%EV -10.90%E -4.68%K -8.19%G +0.000%1.51I 66.23%NM 60.68%EV -6.74%E -4.47%K -13.22%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-20 09:39
Bovada2.30I 43.48%NM 41.77%EV -12.05%E -5.24%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 58.23%EV +1.90%E +1.15%K +2.93%G +0.056%4.1%2026-05-20 09:34
NordicBet2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -12.05%E -5.24%K -9.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -3.04%E -1.94%K -5.33%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-20 09:39
PMU (FR)2.28I 43.86%NM 39.36%EV -12.81%E -5.62%K -10.01%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.64%EV -8.60%E -5.81%K -17.91%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-20 09:39
BetMGM2.25I 44.44%NM 41.71%EV -13.96%E -6.20%K -11.17%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.29%EV -0.568%E -0.353%K -0.931%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-20 09:39
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -13.96%E -6.20%K -11.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -1.19%E -0.741%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 09:39
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.56%EV -13.96%E -6.20%K -11.17%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.44%EV -1.19%E -0.741%K -1.98%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-20 09:39
Winamax (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -13.96%E -6.20%K -11.17%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -6.13%E -4.03%K -11.78%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-20 09:39
Winamax (FR)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.68%EV -13.96%E -6.20%K -11.17%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 60.32%EV -8.60%E -5.81%K -17.91%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-20 09:39
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -15.87%E -7.21%K -13.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -1.19%E -0.741%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-20 09:39
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -15.87%E -7.21%K -13.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -1.19%E -0.741%K -1.98%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-20 09:39
Betclic (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -17.78%E -8.27%K -15.46%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.33%EV -1.19%E -0.741%K -1.98%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-20 09:38
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.96I 33.78%NM 33.63%1.50I 66.67%NM 66.37%0.5%2026-05-20 09:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.92I 34.25%NM 34.09%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.91%0.5%2026-05-20 09:39
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.05I 32.79%NM 32.37%1.46I 68.49%NM 67.63%1.3%2026-05-20 09:39
Matchbook3.05I 32.79%NM 31.92%1.43I 69.93%NM 68.08%2.7%2026-05-20 09:39
Novig2.79I 35.84%NM 34.35%1.46I 68.49%NM 65.65%4.3%2026-05-20 09:40
Smarkets2.64I 37.88%NM 35.14%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.86%7.8%2026-05-20 09:27