Language:English
Ann Li v Ekaterina Alexandrova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Ann Li (Local)
Prediction 47.75%2.09fair odd
EV +5.04%
Edge +2.29%
Kelly +4.20%
Growth +0.212%
assuming max odds 2.20
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.15%48.03%47.20%53.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.781.941.962.2056.18%51.55%51.15%45.45%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit)
Prediction 52.25%1.91fair odd
EV +8.17%
Edge +3.95%
Kelly +7.63%
Growth +0.623%
assuming max odds 2.07
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.92%51.97%52.80%56.85%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.821.782.0759.88%54.82%56.18%48.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Ann Li (Local): 47.75%; Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit): 52.25%. For Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.91. 14 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.07, corresponding to a positive expected value of +8.17%.
Sportsbook Odds (58 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -12.63%E -6.90%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV +8.17%E +3.95%K +7.63%G +0.623% | 3.0% | 2026-05-19 11:10 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -13.10%E -7.20%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +5.55%E +2.75%K +5.45%G +0.302% | 4.5% | 2026-05-19 11:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -13.10%E -7.20%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV +4.51%E +2.25%K +4.51%G +0.203% | 4.9% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -14.06%E -7.81%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +4.51%E +2.25%K +4.51%G +0.203% | 5.6% | 2026-05-19 11:10 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -12.63%E -6.90%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV +3.46%E +1.75%K +3.54%G +0.122% | 5.1% | 2026-05-19 11:09 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -14.06%E -7.81%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV +3.46%E +1.75%K +3.54%G +0.122% | 6.1% | 2026-05-19 11:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -14.06%E -7.81%K -17.57%G +0.000% | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV +3.46%E +1.75%K +3.54%G +0.122% | 6.1% | 2026-05-19 11:23 |
| Codere (IT)🎯 | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -13.10%E -7.20%K -15.98%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV +2.42%E +1.23%K +2.52%G +0.061% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 11:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -11.67%E -6.31%K -13.73%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +1.90%E +0.973%K +2.00%G +0.038% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 11:10 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -15.01%E -8.43%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV +1.90%E +0.973%K +2.00%G +0.038% | 7.5% | 2026-05-19 11:10 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -15.01%E -8.43%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV +1.90%E +0.973%K +2.00%G +0.038% | 7.5% | 2026-05-19 11:10 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -9.76%E -5.16%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV +0.852%E +0.441%K +0.916%G +0.008% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 11:10 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -9.76%E -5.16%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV +0.852%E +0.441%K +0.916%G +0.008% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 11:10 |
| NetBet (FR)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -15.01%E -8.43%K -19.25%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV +0.852%E +0.441%K +0.916%G +0.008% | 8.0% | 2026-05-19 11:09 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.81%E -4.61%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.193%E -0.101%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -9.28%E -4.89%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -0.193%E -0.101%K -0.212%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.28%E -4.89%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.716%E -0.377%K -0.795%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%EV -14.54%E -8.12%K -18.40%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%EV -1.24%E -0.655%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-19 11:09 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.33%E -4.34%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.76%E -0.937%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 11:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.33%E -4.34%K -9.05%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.76%E -0.937%K -2.00%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.81%E -4.61%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.28%E -1.22%K -2.62%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -11.19%E -6.02%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.51%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.90%E -3.54%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.33%E -1.80%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.81%E -4.61%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.81%E -4.61%K -9.68%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.60%E -1.27%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.99%E -3.92%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.60%E -1.27%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.99%E -3.92%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.60%E -1.27%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.99%E -3.92%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.60%E -1.27%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.99%E -3.92%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.60%E -1.27%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.99%E -3.92%K -8.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.55%E -1.76%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -5.46%E -2.76%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -5.46%E -2.76%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -10.72%E -5.73%K -12.32%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -8.03%E -4.56%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -8.03%E -4.56%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -8.03%E -4.56%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -8.03%E -4.56%K -10.57%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 11:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.90%E -3.54%K -7.26%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -5.94%E -3.02%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -9.08%E -5.22%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -2.12%E -1.04%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-19 11:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -6.42%E -3.28%K -6.69%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 48.04%EV -11.19%E -6.02%K -13.02%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.96%EV -10.12%E -5.88%K -14.06%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +0.265%E +0.126%K +0.241%G +0.001% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -10.64%E -6.22%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -10.64%E -6.22%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -5.94%E -3.02%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -10.64%E -6.22%K -14.99%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-19 11:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.17%E -6.57%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -7.85%E -4.07%K -8.44%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 53.17%EV -11.17%E -6.57%K -15.95%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +5.04%E +2.29%K +4.20%G +0.212% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -12.73%E -7.63%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +0.265%E +0.126%K +0.241%G +0.001% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -12.73%E -7.63%K -19.01%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63% | 0.8% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76% | 0.8% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89% | 1.8% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18% | 2.0% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04% | 3.7% | 2026-05-19 11:30 |
| Novig◎ | 2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32% | 7.6% | 2026-05-19 11:29 |