L’École des cotes

Ann Li v Ekaterina Alexandrova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-19 11:35 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

58 opérateurs (21 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Ann Li (Local)

Prévision 47.75%2.09cote équitable
EV +5.04%
Avantage +2.29%
Kelly +4.20%
Croissance +0.212%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
43.15%48.03%47.20%53.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.781.941.962.2056.18%51.55%51.15%45.45%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Ekaterina Alexandrova (Visiteur)

Prévision 52.25%1.91cote équitable
EV +8.17%
Avantage +3.95%
Kelly +7.63%
Croissance +0.623%

avec la cote maximale 2.07

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.92%51.97%52.80%56.85%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.821.782.0759.88%54.82%56.18%48.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (58 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.83I 54.64%NM 53.08%EV -12.63%E -6.90%K -15.21%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.92%EV +8.17%E +3.95%K +7.63%G +0.623%3.0%2026-05-19 11:10
1xBet1.82I 54.95%NM 52.60%EV -13.10%E -7.20%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.40%EV +5.55%E +2.75%K +5.45%G +0.302%4.5%2026-05-19 11:10
Bet Right1.82I 54.95%NM 52.36%EV -13.10%E -7.20%K -15.98%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.64%EV +4.51%E +2.25%K +4.51%G +0.203%4.9%2026-05-19 11:20
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -14.06%E -7.81%K -17.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +4.51%E +2.25%K +4.51%G +0.203%5.6%2026-05-19 11:10
ReBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.97%EV -12.63%E -6.90%K -15.21%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 48.03%EV +3.46%E +1.75%K +3.54%G +0.122%5.1%2026-05-19 11:09
Betr (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -14.06%E -7.81%K -17.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV +3.46%E +1.75%K +3.54%G +0.122%6.1%2026-05-19 11:20
PlayUp1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -14.06%E -7.81%K -17.57%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV +3.46%E +1.75%K +3.54%G +0.122%6.1%2026-05-19 11:23
Codere (IT)1.82I 54.95%NM 51.85%EV -13.10%E -7.20%K -15.98%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 48.15%EV +2.42%E +1.23%K +2.52%G +0.061%6.0%2026-05-19 11:10
SportsBet1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -11.67%E -6.31%K -13.73%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV +1.90%E +0.973%K +2.00%G +0.038%5.3%2026-05-19 11:10
Neds1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -15.01%E -8.43%K -19.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV +1.90%E +0.973%K +2.00%G +0.038%7.5%2026-05-19 11:10
Ladbrokes (AU)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.28%EV -15.01%E -8.43%K -19.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.72%EV +1.90%E +0.973%K +2.00%G +0.038%7.5%2026-05-19 11:10
LowVig.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -9.76%E -5.16%K -10.97%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV +0.852%E +0.441%K +0.916%G +0.008%4.7%2026-05-19 11:10
BetOnline.ag1.89I 52.91%NM 50.52%EV -9.76%E -5.16%K -10.97%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 49.48%EV +0.852%E +0.441%K +0.916%G +0.008%4.7%2026-05-19 11:10
NetBet (FR)1.78I 56.18%NM 52.02%EV -15.01%E -8.43%K -19.25%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 47.98%EV +0.852%E +0.441%K +0.916%G +0.008%8.0%2026-05-19 11:09
Coolbet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.81%E -4.61%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.193%E -0.101%K -0.212%G +0.000%4.7%2026-05-19 11:30
Unibet (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.13%EV -9.28%E -4.89%K -10.32%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.87%EV -0.193%E -0.101%K -0.212%G +0.000%5.0%2026-05-19 11:30
TAB1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -9.28%E -4.89%K -10.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -0.716%E -0.377%K -0.795%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 11:30
Unibet (FR)1.79I 55.87%NM 51.36%EV -14.54%E -8.12%K -18.40%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.64%EV -1.24%E -0.655%K -1.39%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 11:09
betPARX1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.33%E -4.34%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.76%E -0.937%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 11:29
ATG (SE)1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -8.33%E -4.34%K -9.05%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -1.76%E -0.937%K -2.00%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 11:30
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 49.47%EV -8.81%E -4.61%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.53%EV -2.28%E -1.22%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-19 11:30
Winamax (DE)1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -11.19%E -6.02%K -13.02%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.00%EV -2.81%E -1.51%K -3.26%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 11:30
Betway1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.90%E -3.54%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.33%E -1.80%K -3.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 11:30
Bovada2.00I 50.00%NM 47.78%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 52.22%EV -4.37%E -2.39%K -5.27%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-19 11:30
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.81%E -4.61%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 11:30
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.81%E -4.61%K -9.68%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.94%E -3.30%K -7.43%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-19 11:30
Casumo2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.60%E -1.27%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.99%E -3.92%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 11:30
Unibet (SE)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.60%E -1.27%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.99%E -3.92%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 11:30
Unibet (NL)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.60%E -1.27%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.99%E -3.92%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 11:30
Unibet2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.60%E -1.27%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.99%E -3.92%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 11:30
Svenska Spel2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -2.60%E -1.27%K -2.50%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -6.99%E -3.92%K -8.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-19 11:30
TABtouch2.02I 49.50%NM 46.70%EV -3.55%E -1.76%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.30%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-05-19 11:30
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 11:30
theScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000%6.5%2026-05-19 11:30
PointsBet (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -5.46%E -2.76%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 11:30
BetMGM1.98I 50.51%NM 47.20%EV -5.46%E -2.76%K -5.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.80%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-19 11:30
Fliff1.87I 53.48%NM 48.63%EV -10.72%E -5.73%K -12.32%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.37%EV -7.51%E -4.24%K -9.75%G +0.000%10.0%2026-05-19 11:30
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -8.03%E -4.56%K -10.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 11:30
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -8.03%E -4.56%K -10.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 11:30
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -8.03%E -4.56%K -10.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 11:30
Bally Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -8.03%E -4.56%K -10.57%G +0.000%6.8%2026-05-19 11:30
Betsson2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 11:29
NordicBet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-19 11:30
Coral1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -6.90%E -3.54%K -7.26%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -8.55%E -4.89%K -11.41%G +0.000%8.4%2026-05-19 11:30
LeoVegas1.97I 50.76%NM 46.90%EV -5.94%E -3.02%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.10%EV -9.08%E -5.22%K -12.27%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-19 11:30
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -2.12%E -1.04%K -2.02%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-19 11:29
Paddy Power2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 11:30
Mr Green (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 11:30
888sport (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-19 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.96I 51.02%NM 46.88%EV -6.42%E -3.28%K -6.69%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.12%EV -9.60%E -5.55%K -13.15%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 11:30
Winamax (FR)1.86I 53.76%NM 48.04%EV -11.19%E -6.02%K -13.02%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.96%EV -10.12%E -5.88%K -14.06%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-19 11:30
DraftKings2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV +0.265%E +0.126%K +0.241%G +0.001%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -10.64%E -6.22%K -14.99%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-19 11:30
Fanatics2.00I 50.00%NM 46.09%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.91%EV -10.64%E -6.22%K -14.99%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-19 11:30
Betclic (FR)1.97I 50.76%NM 46.47%EV -5.94%E -3.02%K -6.13%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 53.53%EV -10.64%E -6.22%K -14.99%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-19 11:29
Tipico (DE)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.95%EV -4.51%E -2.25%K -4.51%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.05%EV -11.17%E -6.57%K -15.95%G +0.000%8.8%2026-05-19 11:30
PMU (FR)1.93I 51.81%NM 46.83%EV -7.85%E -4.07%K -8.44%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.17%EV -11.17%E -6.57%K -15.95%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-19 11:30
FanDuel2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +5.04%E +2.29%K +4.20%G +0.212%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -12.73%E -7.63%K -19.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-05-19 11:30
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV +0.265%E +0.126%K +0.241%G +0.001%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -12.73%E -7.63%K -19.01%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-19 11:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.14I 46.73%NM 46.37%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.63%0.8%2026-05-19 11:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 47.24%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.76%0.8%2026-05-19 11:30
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.11%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.89%1.8%2026-05-19 11:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.14I 46.73%NM 45.82%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.18%2.0%2026-05-19 11:30
Smarkets1.97I 50.76%NM 48.96%1.89I 52.91%NM 51.04%3.7%2026-05-19 11:30
Novig2.08I 48.08%NM 44.68%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.32%7.6%2026-05-19 11:29