Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barbora Krejcikova v Anna-Lena Friedsam

Kickoff: 2026-09-22 10:34 UTC

Final: Barbora Krejcikova 2–1 Anna-Lena Friedsam

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

61 sportsbooks (20 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Barbora Krejcikova (Local)

Prediction 85.81%1.17fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -8.76%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
82.94%85.75%85.73%87.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.071.101.101.1593.46%90.63%90.91%86.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Anna-Lena Friedsam (Visit)

Prediction 14.19%7.05fair odd
EV +6.39%
Edge +0.853%
Kelly +0.984%
Growth +0.063%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.79%14.25%14.27%17.06%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.506.546.607.5018.18%15.29%15.15%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Barbora Krejcikova (Local): 85.81%; Anna-Lena Friedsam (Visit): 14.19%. For Anna-Lena Friedsam (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.05. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.39%.

Sportsbook Odds (61 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Winamax (DE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 87.11%EV -4.75%E -4.28%K -43.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.89%EV +6.39%E +0.853%K +0.984%G +0.063%3.4%2026-09-22 09:34
BoyleSports🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 87.21%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.79%EV +6.39%E +0.853%K +0.984%G +0.063%4.2%2026-09-22 09:29
FanDuel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.90%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.10%EV +3.56%E +0.487%K +0.565%G +0.020%4.6%2026-09-22 09:54
Pinnacle🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 86.44%EV -3.89%E -3.47%K -32.40%G +0.000%7.14I 14.01%NM 13.56%EV +1.29%E +0.180%K +0.210%G +0.003%3.3%2026-09-22 09:50
Unibet (UK)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.698%E -0.100%K -0.116%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 05:34
Betway🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 86.42%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.58%EV -0.698%E -0.100%K -0.116%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 07:09
DraftKings🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 86.07%EV -4.75%E -4.28%K -43.15%G +0.000%6.86I 14.58%NM 13.93%EV -2.68%E -0.391%K -0.458%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-22 01:54
ReBet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.97%EV -4.75%E -4.28%K -43.15%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.03%EV -3.54%E -0.520%K -0.610%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-22 09:34
Betclic (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.19%EV -6.46%E -5.93%K -71.81%G +0.000%6.80I 14.71%NM 13.81%EV -3.54%E -0.520%K -0.610%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-22 10:18
Bovada🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.75%E -4.28%K -43.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.24%E -0.629%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-22 10:14
Bet Right🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.88%EV -4.75%E -4.28%K -43.15%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.12%EV -4.24%E -0.629%K -0.738%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-22 09:30
Unibet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -4.24%E -0.629%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-21 09:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -4.24%E -0.629%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-21 09:29
Casumo🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -4.24%E -0.629%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-21 09:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -4.24%E -0.629%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-21 09:29
TABtouch🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -4.24%E -0.629%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-21 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -4.24%E -0.629%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-21 09:29
LiveScore Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -4.24%E -0.629%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-21 09:29
Virgin Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -4.24%E -0.629%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-21 09:29
Grosvenor🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -4.24%E -0.629%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-21 09:29
Svenska Spel🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -4.24%E -0.629%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-21 09:29
Bally Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -4.24%E -0.629%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-21 09:29
betPARX🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -4.24%E -0.629%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-21 09:29
ATG (SE)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -4.24%E -0.629%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-21 09:29
BetRivers🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -4.24%E -0.629%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-21 09:29
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.99%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.01%EV -4.24%E -0.629%K -0.738%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-21 09:29
Winamax (FR)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.10%EV -6.46%E -5.93%K -71.81%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.90%EV -4.24%E -0.629%K -0.738%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-22 09:29
Fanatics🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.60%EV -4.75%E -4.28%K -43.15%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.40%EV -6.37%E -0.966%K -1.14%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-22 09:54
LeoVegas🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -6.37%E -0.966%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-22 09:34
Betsson🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -6.37%E -0.966%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-22 09:30
NordicBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.71%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.29%EV -6.37%E -0.966%K -1.14%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-22 09:30
BetOnline.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -3.89%E -3.47%K -32.40%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -6.51%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-22 07:19
LowVig.ag🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 85.47%EV -3.89%E -3.47%K -32.40%G +0.000%6.59I 15.17%NM 14.53%EV -6.51%E -0.989%K -1.17%G +0.000%4.5%2026-09-22 07:20
GTbets🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 85.27%EV -3.03%E -2.68%K -23.31%G +0.000%6.54I 15.29%NM 14.73%EV -7.22%E -1.10%K -1.30%G +0.000%3.8%2026-09-21 17:29
888sport🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.75%E -4.28%K -43.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.79%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-22 09:25
William Hill🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.75%E -4.28%K -43.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.79%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-22 09:29
888sport (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.75%E -4.28%K -43.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.79%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-22 09:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.41%EV -4.75%E -4.28%K -43.15%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.59%EV -7.79%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-22 09:30
betfred_uk🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.79%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-22 07:14
Betr (AU)🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.79%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-22 09:14
BetMGM🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.79%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-22 07:44
Caesars🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 85.53%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.47%EV -7.79%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-21 12:19
Coral🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.46%E -5.93%K -71.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -7.79%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-22 07:44
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 85.64%EV -6.46%E -5.93%K -71.81%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.36%EV -7.79%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-22 07:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 85.75%EV -7.32%E -6.78%K -91.51%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.25%EV -7.79%E -1.20%K -1.42%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-22 09:14
theScore Bet🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 85.32%EV -4.75%E -4.28%K -43.15%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.68%EV -8.50%E -1.32%K -1.56%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-22 07:20
Unibet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.68%EV -8.18%E -7.64%K -116.84%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.32%EV -9.21%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-22 09:34
NetBet (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.68%EV -8.18%E -7.64%K -116.84%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.32%EV -9.21%E -1.44%K -1.71%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-22 09:44
BetAnything🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.80%EV -3.89%E -3.47%K -32.40%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 15.20%EV -11.34%E -1.81%K -2.16%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-22 07:20
PMU (FR)🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 85.08%EV -8.18%E -7.64%K -116.84%G +0.000%6.10I 16.39%NM 14.92%EV -13.47%E -2.21%K -2.64%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-22 00:09
PlayUp🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -3.89%E -3.47%K -32.40%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV -14.88%E -2.48%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-22 09:49
Neds🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.75%E -4.28%K -43.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.88%E -2.48%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-22 07:44
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.75%E -4.28%K -43.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.88%E -2.48%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-22 07:45
TAB🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 84.39%EV -4.75%E -4.28%K -43.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.61%EV -14.88%E -2.48%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-22 07:14
SportsBet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.88%E -2.48%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-22 09:54
Sky Bet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.88%E -2.48%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-22 09:54
Paddy Power🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.51%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -14.88%E -2.48%K -2.98%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-22 09:54
Coolbet🎯1.10I 90.91%NM 84.17%EV -5.60%E -5.10%K -56.05%G +0.000%5.85I 17.09%NM 15.83%EV -17.01%E -2.91%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-22 09:54
1xBet🎯1.15I 86.96%NM 82.94%EV -1.31%E -1.14%K -8.76%G +0.000%5.59I 17.89%NM 17.06%EV -20.70%E -3.70%K -4.51%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-22 10:18
Bet Victor🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.89%E -3.47%K -32.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -21.98%E -4.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-22 09:33
betano_uk🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -3.89%E -3.47%K -32.40%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -21.98%E -4.00%K -4.88%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-22 09:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-09-22 09:44
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-09-22 10:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.13I 88.50%NM 87.62%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.38%1.0%2026-09-22 10:00
Novig◎1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71%2.3%2026-09-22 10:09