Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Barbora Krejcikova v Anna-Lena Friedsam

2026-09-22 03:00 UTC — WTA Singapore Open

Resultado del partido

44 corredores (11 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Barbora Krejcikova (Local)

Predicción 82.57%1.21momio equitativo
EV -4.22%
Ventaja -3.64%
Kelly -26.37%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.16

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
80.21%82.49%82.83%84.26%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.111.131.131.1690.09%88.12%88.50%86.21%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Anna-Lena Friedsam (Visitante)

Predicción 17.43%5.74momio equitativo
EV +5.45%
Ventaja +0.901%
Kelly +1.08%
Crecimiento +0.059%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.05

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.74%17.51%17.17%19.79%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
4.505.565.556.0522.22%17.98%18.02%16.53%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Barbora Krejcikova (Local): 82.57%; Anna-Lena Friedsam (Visitante): 17.43%. Para Anna-Lena Friedsam (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 5.74. 20 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 6.05, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +5.45%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (44 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
GTbets🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.26%EV -6.70%E -5.93%K -51.51%G +0.000%6.05I 16.53%NM 15.74%EV +5.45%E +0.901%K +1.08%G +0.059%5.0%2026-09-20 15:34
Unibet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.70%E -5.93%K -51.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.58%E +0.763%K +0.916%G +0.042%5.2%2026-09-20 15:29
Unibet (NL)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.70%E -5.93%K -51.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.58%E +0.763%K +0.916%G +0.042%5.2%2026-09-20 15:30
Casumo🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.70%E -5.93%K -51.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.58%E +0.763%K +0.916%G +0.042%5.2%2026-09-20 15:30
Unibet (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.70%E -5.93%K -51.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.58%E +0.763%K +0.916%G +0.042%5.2%2026-09-20 15:30
TABtouch🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.70%E -5.93%K -51.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.58%E +0.763%K +0.916%G +0.042%5.2%2026-09-20 15:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.70%E -5.93%K -51.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.58%E +0.763%K +0.916%G +0.042%5.2%2026-09-20 15:30
PMU (FR)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.70%E -5.93%K -51.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.58%E +0.763%K +0.916%G +0.042%5.2%2026-09-20 15:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.70%E -5.93%K -51.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.58%E +0.763%K +0.916%G +0.042%5.2%2026-09-20 15:34
Virgin Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.70%E -5.93%K -51.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.58%E +0.763%K +0.916%G +0.042%5.2%2026-09-20 15:34
Grosvenor🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.70%E -5.93%K -51.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.58%E +0.763%K +0.916%G +0.042%5.2%2026-09-20 15:34
Svenska Spel🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.70%E -5.93%K -51.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.58%E +0.763%K +0.916%G +0.042%5.2%2026-09-20 15:34
Bally Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.70%E -5.93%K -51.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.58%E +0.763%K +0.916%G +0.042%5.2%2026-09-20 15:34
betPARX🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.70%E -5.93%K -51.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.58%E +0.763%K +0.916%G +0.042%5.2%2026-09-20 15:33
ATG (SE)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.70%E -5.93%K -51.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.58%E +0.763%K +0.916%G +0.042%5.2%2026-09-20 15:34
BetRivers🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.70%E -5.93%K -51.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.58%E +0.763%K +0.916%G +0.042%5.2%2026-09-20 15:39
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 84.15%EV -6.70%E -5.93%K -51.51%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.85%EV +4.58%E +0.763%K +0.916%G +0.042%5.2%2026-09-20 15:44
DraftKings🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.62%EV -5.87%E -5.15%K -41.93%G +0.000%5.82I 17.18%NM 16.38%EV +1.44%E +0.248%K +0.299%G +0.004%4.9%2026-09-20 15:34
Bovada🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.87%E -5.15%K -41.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.223%E +0.039%K +0.047%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 15:29
Bet Right🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.87%E -5.15%K -41.93%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV +0.223%E +0.039%K +0.047%G +0.000%5.1%2026-09-20 15:34
Fanatics🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.33%EV -5.87%E -5.15%K -41.93%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.67%EV -0.648%E -0.114%K -0.138%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 15:34
Winamax (DE)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 83.09%EV -5.87%E -5.15%K -41.93%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.91%EV -2.39%E -0.427%K -0.520%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-20 15:34
888sport🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.87%E -5.15%K -41.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.13%E -0.752%K -0.919%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 15:30
betfred_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.87%E -5.15%K -41.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.13%E -0.752%K -0.919%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 15:30
William Hill🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.87%E -5.15%K -41.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.13%E -0.752%K -0.919%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 15:30
Betr (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.87%E -5.15%K -41.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.13%E -0.752%K -0.919%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 15:30
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.87%E -5.15%K -41.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.13%E -0.752%K -0.919%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 15:34
BetMGM🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.87%E -5.15%K -41.93%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -4.13%E -0.752%K -0.919%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-20 15:39
1xBet🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 82.45%EV -4.22%E -3.64%K -26.37%G +0.000%5.45I 18.35%NM 17.55%EV -5.01%E -0.918%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-20 19:03
Betsson🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.87%E -5.15%K -41.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -5.88%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 15:34
NordicBet🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.57%EV -5.87%E -5.15%K -41.93%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.43%EV -5.88%E -1.09%K -1.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 15:34
LeoVegas🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 82.55%EV -7.52%E -6.72%K -62.68%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.45%EV -7.62%E -1.44%K -1.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-09-20 15:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 82.16%EV -5.87%E -5.15%K -41.93%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.84%EV -8.49%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 15:34
Coral🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.70%E -5.93%K -51.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.49%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.13I 88.50%NM 82.29%EV -6.70%E -5.93%K -51.51%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.71%EV -8.49%E -1.62%K -2.00%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 15:30
Neds🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.22%E -3.64%K -26.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -12.85%E -2.57%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 15:30
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.22%E -3.64%K -26.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -12.85%E -2.57%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 15:34
PlayUp🎯1.16I 86.21%NM 81.17%EV -4.22%E -3.64%K -26.37%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.83%EV -12.85%E -2.57%K -3.21%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-20 15:34
Bet Victor🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.87%E -5.15%K -41.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.85%E -2.57%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 15:34
betano_uk🎯1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.87%E -5.15%K -41.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -12.85%E -2.57%K -3.21%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-20 15:54
Betclic (FR)🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -7.52%E -6.72%K -62.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -16.34%E -3.40%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 15:34
ReBet🎯1.12I 89.29%NM 81.08%EV -7.52%E -6.72%K -62.68%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -16.34%E -3.40%K -4.30%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-20 15:49
Winamax (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.56%EV -8.35%E -7.52%K -75.89%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.44%EV -19.82%E -4.31%K -5.51%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 15:34
Unibet (FR)🎯1.11I 90.09%NM 80.21%EV -8.35%E -7.52%K -75.89%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.79%EV -21.56%E -4.79%K -6.16%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-20 15:49
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.06I 94.34%NM 84.99%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%11.0%2026-09-20 15:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.06I 94.34%NM 84.99%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.01%11.0%2026-09-20 15:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 85.35%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.65%13.8%2026-09-20 15:30
Novig1.09I 91.74%NM 79.63%4.26I 23.47%NM 20.37%15.2%2026-09-20 15:34