Language:English
Victoria Mboko v Karolina Pliskova
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Victoria Mboko (Local)
Prediction 64.26%1.56fair odd
EV -0.400%
Edge -0.258%
Kelly -0.728%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
59.68%64.05%64.34%66.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.381.461.451.5572.46%68.71%68.97%64.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Karolina Pliskova (Visit)
Prediction 35.74%2.80fair odd
EV +3.65%
Edge +1.26%
Kelly +1.92%
Growth +0.070%
assuming max odds 2.90
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.03%35.95%35.66%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.662.702.9044.44%37.53%37.11%34.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Victoria Mboko (Local): 64.26%; Karolina Pliskova (Visit): 35.74%. For Karolina Pliskova (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.80. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.65%.
Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -8.11%E -5.67%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +3.65%E +1.26%K +1.92%G +0.070% | 4.4% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -8.11%E -5.67%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +2.94%E +1.02%K +1.56%G +0.046% | 4.7% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -8.11%E -5.67%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +2.94%E +1.02%K +1.56%G +0.046% | 4.7% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -8.11%E -5.67%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +2.94%E +1.02%K +1.56%G +0.046% | 4.7% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.11%E -5.67%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.87%E +0.654%K +1.01%G +0.019% | 5.0% | 2026-06-10 14:39 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.11%E -5.67%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.87%E +0.654%K +1.01%G +0.019% | 5.0% | 2026-06-10 14:39 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.75%E -6.16%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.87%E +0.654%K +1.01%G +0.019% | 5.5% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 65.66%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.83I 35.34%NM 34.34%EV +1.15%E +0.407%K +0.629%G +0.007% | 2.9% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -8.11%E -5.67%K -18.86%G +0.000% | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV +0.436%E +0.155%K +0.241%G +0.001% | 5.5% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +0.078%E +0.028%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-10 14:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -9.40%E -6.66%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV +0.078%E +0.028%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -9.40%E -6.66%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV +0.078%E +0.028%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -9.40%E -6.66%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV +0.078%E +0.028%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -9.40%E -6.66%K -22.92%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV +0.078%E +0.028%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -10.04%E -7.17%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +0.078%E +0.028%K +0.043%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -1.35%E -0.490%K -0.768%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.54%E -3.77%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.71%E -0.621%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-10 14:29 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.54%E -3.77%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.71%E -0.621%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 4.4% | 2026-06-10 14:29 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -6.18%E -4.24%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -1.71%E -0.621%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-10 14:29 |
| ReBet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -6.18%E -4.24%K -13.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -1.71%E -0.621%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-10 14:29 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.71%E -0.621%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-10 14:36 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.47%E -5.19%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.71%E -0.621%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-10 14:35 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.04%E -7.17%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.71%E -0.621%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -11.32%E -8.21%K -29.80%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -1.71%E -0.621%K -0.977%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.61%E -2.41%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -2.07%E -0.754%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.61%E -2.41%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -2.07%E -0.754%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.78%EV -8.75%E -6.16%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 2.73I 36.63%NM 34.22%EV -2.42%E -0.888%K -1.40%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.47%E -5.19%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.50%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -3.85%E -1.43%K -2.28%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-10 14:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.54%E -3.77%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.54%E -3.77%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.54%E -3.77%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| Fliff🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -10.04%E -7.17%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.47%E -5.19%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.00%E -2.28%K -3.68%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.47%E -5.19%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.36%E -2.43%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.47%E -5.19%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.36%E -2.43%K -3.92%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.61%E -2.41%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.61%E -2.41%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-10 14:33 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.54%E -3.77%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-10 14:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.54%E -3.77%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-10 14:39 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.47%E -5.19%K -16.97%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-10 14:33 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.61%E -2.41%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.86%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-10 14:39 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.54%E -3.77%K -11.79%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.86%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.17%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.86%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.61%E -2.41%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.64%E -4.26%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.61%E -2.41%K -7.23%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.64%E -4.26%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.64%E -4.26%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-10 14:36 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.64%E -4.26%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-10 14:36 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.64%E -4.26%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -10.04%E -7.17%K -25.10%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.64%E -4.26%K -7.10%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -1.04%E -0.677%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -16.01%E -6.81%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -1.69%E -1.10%K -3.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -16.01%E -6.81%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.42I 70.42%NM 62.33%EV -8.75%E -6.16%K -20.84%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 37.67%EV -16.01%E -6.81%K -11.86%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -0.400%E -0.258%K -0.728%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -17.79%E -7.74%K -13.69%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -2.33%E -1.53%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -19.58%E -8.70%K -15.66%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68% | 2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32% | 0.4% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 0.9% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74% | 1.8% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28% | 3.3% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |
| Novig◎ | 1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05% | 6.8% | 2026-06-10 14:40 |