L’École des cotes

Victoria Mboko v Karolina Pliskova

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-10 15:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Victoria Mboko (Local)

Prévision 64.26%1.56cote équitable
EV -0.400%
Avantage -0.258%
Kelly -0.728%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.55

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.68%64.05%64.34%66.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.381.461.451.5572.46%68.71%68.97%64.52%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Karolina Pliskova (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.74%2.80cote équitable
EV +3.65%
Avantage +1.26%
Kelly +1.92%
Croissance +0.070%

avec la cote maximale 2.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.03%35.95%35.66%40.32%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.662.702.9044.44%37.53%37.11%34.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Hard Rock Bet1.43I 69.93%NM 66.97%EV -8.11%E -5.67%K -18.86%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 33.03%EV +3.65%E +1.26%K +1.92%G +0.070%4.4%2026-06-10 14:40
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -8.11%E -5.67%K -18.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +2.94%E +1.02%K +1.56%G +0.046%4.7%2026-06-10 14:40
Casumo1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -8.11%E -5.67%K -18.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +2.94%E +1.02%K +1.56%G +0.046%4.7%2026-06-10 14:40
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 66.82%EV -8.11%E -5.67%K -18.86%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 33.18%EV +2.94%E +1.02%K +1.56%G +0.046%4.7%2026-06-10 14:40
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.11%E -5.67%K -18.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.87%E +0.654%K +1.01%G +0.019%5.0%2026-06-10 14:39
betPARX1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -8.11%E -5.67%K -18.86%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV +1.87%E +0.654%K +1.01%G +0.019%5.0%2026-06-10 14:39
TABtouch1.42I 70.42%NM 66.74%EV -8.75%E -6.16%K -20.84%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.26%EV +1.87%E +0.654%K +1.01%G +0.019%5.5%2026-06-10 14:40
Pinnacle1.48I 67.57%NM 65.66%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.83I 35.34%NM 34.34%EV +1.15%E +0.407%K +0.629%G +0.007%2.9%2026-06-10 14:40
DraftKings1.43I 69.93%NM 66.27%EV -8.11%E -5.67%K -18.86%G +0.000%2.81I 35.59%NM 33.73%EV +0.436%E +0.155%K +0.241%G +0.001%5.5%2026-06-10 14:40
Bovada1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV +0.078%E +0.028%K +0.043%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 14:39
LiveScore Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -9.40%E -6.66%K -22.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV +0.078%E +0.028%K +0.043%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-10 14:40
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -9.40%E -6.66%K -22.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV +0.078%E +0.028%K +0.043%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-10 14:40
Virgin Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -9.40%E -6.66%K -22.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV +0.078%E +0.028%K +0.043%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-10 14:40
Bally Bet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.51%EV -9.40%E -6.66%K -22.92%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.49%EV +0.078%E +0.028%K +0.043%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-10 14:40
LeoVegas1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -10.04%E -7.17%K -25.10%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV +0.078%E +0.028%K +0.043%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 14:40
FanDuel1.45I 68.97%NM 65.56%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.76I 36.23%NM 34.44%EV -1.35%E -0.490%K -0.768%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-10 14:40
Unibet (UK)1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.54%E -3.77%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.71%E -0.621%K -0.977%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 14:29
BetAnything1.47I 68.03%NM 65.17%EV -5.54%E -3.77%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.83%EV -1.71%E -0.621%K -0.977%G +0.000%4.4%2026-06-10 14:29
Unibet (FR)1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -6.18%E -4.24%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -1.71%E -0.621%K -0.977%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-10 14:29
ReBet1.46I 68.49%NM 65.32%EV -6.18%E -4.24%K -13.44%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.68%EV -1.71%E -0.621%K -0.977%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-10 14:29
Bet Right1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -1.71%E -0.621%K -0.977%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-10 14:36
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -7.47%E -5.19%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -1.71%E -0.621%K -0.977%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 14:35
Paddy Power1.40I 71.43%NM 66.27%EV -10.04%E -7.17%K -25.10%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.73%EV -1.71%E -0.621%K -0.977%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-10 14:40
LeoVegas (SE)1.38I 72.46%NM 66.59%EV -11.32%E -8.21%K -29.80%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.41%EV -1.71%E -0.621%K -0.977%G +0.000%8.8%2026-06-10 14:40
BetOnline.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.61%E -2.41%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -2.07%E -0.754%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-10 14:40
LowVig.ag1.50I 66.67%NM 64.62%EV -3.61%E -2.41%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 35.38%EV -2.07%E -0.754%K -1.19%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-10 14:40
SportsBet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.78%EV -8.75%E -6.16%K -20.84%G +0.000%2.73I 36.63%NM 34.22%EV -2.42%E -0.888%K -1.40%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-10 14:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 65.22%EV -7.47%E -5.19%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.78%EV -3.50%E -1.29%K -2.06%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-10 14:40
1xBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.51%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.69I 37.17%NM 35.49%EV -3.85%E -1.43%K -2.28%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-10 14:29
Unibet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.54%E -3.77%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 14:40
Unibet (NL)1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.54%E -3.77%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 14:40
theScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 64.32%EV -5.54%E -3.77%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.68%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-10 14:40
Fliff1.40I 71.43%NM 65.43%EV -10.04%E -7.17%K -25.10%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -5.28%E -1.99%K -3.20%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-10 14:40
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44%NM 64.62%EV -7.47%E -5.19%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.38%EV -6.00%E -2.28%K -3.68%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 14:40
888sport1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.47%E -5.19%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.36%E -2.43%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-10 14:40
Mr Green (SE)1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -7.47%E -5.19%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -6.36%E -2.43%K -3.92%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-10 14:40
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.61%E -2.41%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 14:40
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -3.61%E -2.41%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-10 14:33
NordicBet1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.54%E -3.77%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-10 14:39
Betsson1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -5.54%E -3.77%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-10 14:39
Grosvenor1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-10 14:40
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44%NM 64.36%EV -7.47%E -5.19%K -16.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.64%EV -7.07%E -2.72%K -4.42%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-10 14:33
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 62.96%EV -3.61%E -2.41%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.04%EV -8.86%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-10 14:39
PointsBet (AU)1.47I 68.03%NM 63.43%EV -5.54%E -3.77%K -11.79%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.57%EV -8.86%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-10 14:40
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.75%EV -6.83%E -4.71%K -15.17%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.25%EV -8.86%E -3.47%K -5.71%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-10 14:40
TAB1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.61%E -2.41%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.64%E -4.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 14:40
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -3.61%E -2.41%K -7.23%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -10.64%E -4.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-10 14:40
Ladbrokes (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.64%E -4.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-10 14:36
Neds1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.64%E -4.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-10 14:36
Coral1.48I 67.57%NM 62.81%EV -4.90%E -3.31%K -10.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.19%EV -10.64%E -4.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-10 14:40
PMU (FR)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.10%EV -10.04%E -7.17%K -25.10%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.90%EV -10.64%E -4.26%K -7.10%G +0.000%11.4%2026-06-10 14:40
BetMGM1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -1.04%E -0.677%K -1.93%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -16.01%E -6.81%K -11.86%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-10 14:40
Fanatics1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -1.69%E -1.10%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -16.01%E -6.81%K -11.86%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-10 14:40
Winamax (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.33%EV -8.75%E -6.16%K -20.84%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.67%EV -16.01%E -6.81%K -11.86%G +0.000%13.0%2026-06-10 14:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 59.74%EV -0.400%E -0.258%K -0.728%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.26%EV -17.79%E -7.74%K -13.69%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-10 14:40
Winamax (DE)1.52I 65.79%NM 59.68%EV -2.33%E -1.53%K -4.48%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 40.32%EV -19.58%E -8.70%K -15.66%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-10 14:40
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.68%2.82I 35.46%NM 35.32%0.4%2026-06-10 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-10 14:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%0.9%2026-06-10 14:40
Matchbook1.46I 68.49%NM 67.26%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.74%1.8%2026-06-10 14:40
Smarkets1.43I 69.93%NM 67.72%3.00I 33.33%NM 32.28%3.3%2026-06-10 14:40
Novig1.42I 70.42%NM 65.95%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.05%6.8%2026-06-10 14:40