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Sorana Cirstea v Emma Raducanu
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Sorana Cirstea (Local)
Prediction 49.17%2.03fair odd
EV -1.67%
Edge -0.834%
Kelly -1.67%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.38%49.06%48.83%51.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.911.892.0054.64%52.41%52.91%50.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Emma Raducanu (Visit)
Prediction 50.83%1.97fair odd
EV -0.873%
Edge -0.448%
Kelly -0.919%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.95
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.95%50.94%51.17%53.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.731.871.881.9557.80%53.50%53.05%51.28%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Sorana Cirstea (Local): 49.17%; Emma Raducanu (Visit): 50.83%. For Emma Raducanu (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.97. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.95, with an expected value of -0.873%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (44 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.67%E -0.834%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.72%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -1.67%E -0.834%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -1.67%E -0.834%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.06%E -6.97%K -16.52%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -2.65%E -1.34%K -2.71%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -3.41%E -1.80%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.14%E -1.60%K -3.24%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.46%E -3.51%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 12:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.64%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.45%E -2.93%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.64%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.45%E -2.93%K -6.33%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.64%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.46%E -3.51%K -7.70%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.13%E -2.12%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.13%E -2.12%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 12:29 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.13%E -2.12%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 12:29 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.13%E -2.12%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.13%E -2.12%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.13%E -2.12%K -4.34%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.11%E -2.65%K -5.50%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-12 12:28 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-12 12:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-12 12:29 |
| Hard Rock Bet🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.70%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-12 12:29 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.47%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.41%E -1.80%K -3.79%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.59%E -3.47%K -7.32%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-12 12:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-12 12:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-12 12:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-12 12:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-12 12:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-12 12:29 |
| betPARX🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -3.92%E -2.08%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -10.53%E -5.98%K -13.86%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-06-12 12:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -0.873%E -0.448%K -0.919%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-06-12 12:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-12 12:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -8.55%E -4.60%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -4.43%E -2.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -8.55%E -4.60%K -9.94%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -4.43%E -2.36%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-12 12:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.03%E -5.48%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.03%E -5.48%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.03%E -5.48%K -12.08%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (6)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 0.6% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28% | 2.6% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |
| Novig◎ | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78% | 3.7% | 2026-06-12 12:30 |