A Escola das Odds

Sorana Cirstea v Emma Raducanu

Início: 2026-06-12 12:35 UTC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

44 casas de apostas (12 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Sorana Cirstea (Local)

Previsão 49.17%2.03odd justa
EV -1.67%
Vantagem -0.834%
Kelly -1.67%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
46.38%49.06%48.83%51.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.831.911.892.0054.64%52.41%52.91%50.00%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Emma Raducanu (Visitante)

Previsão 50.83%1.97odd justa
EV -0.873%
Vantagem -0.448%
Kelly -0.919%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
48.95%50.94%51.17%53.62%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.731.871.881.9557.80%53.50%53.05%51.28%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (44 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteMargemAtualização
Ladbrokes (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -1.67%E -0.834%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -11.04%E -6.31%K -14.72%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-12 12:30
BetMGM2.00I 50.00%NM 46.52%EV -1.67%E -0.834%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 53.48%EV -11.55%E -6.64%K -15.61%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-12 12:30
Coral2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -1.67%E -0.834%K -1.67%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -12.06%E -6.97%K -16.52%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-12 12:30
Pinnacle1.98I 50.51%NM 48.97%EV -2.65%E -1.34%K -2.71%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.03%EV -3.41%E -1.80%K -3.79%G +0.000%3.1%2026-06-12 12:30
Unibet (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 48.29%EV -3.14%E -1.60%K -3.24%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.71%EV -6.46%E -3.51%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 12:25
BetOnline.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.64%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.45%E -2.93%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 12:30
LowVig.ag1.96I 51.02%NM 48.69%EV -3.64%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.31%EV -5.45%E -2.93%K -6.33%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 12:30
Winamax (DE)1.96I 51.02%NM 48.42%EV -3.64%E -1.85%K -3.79%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.58%EV -6.46%E -3.51%K -7.70%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 12:30
888sport1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.13%E -2.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 12:30
William Hill1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.13%E -2.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 12:29
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.13%E -2.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 12:29
888sport (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.13%E -2.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 12:30
Mr Green (SE)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -4.13%E -2.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 12:30
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -4.13%E -2.12%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-12 12:30
PlayUp1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -5.11%E -2.65%K -5.50%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-12 12:28
1xBet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 12:20
FanDuel1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 12:30
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 12:30
theScore Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 12:29
Hard Rock Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -6.09%E -3.19%K -6.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-12 12:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.59%E -3.47%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.41%E -1.80%K -3.79%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 12:30
Tipico (DE)1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -6.59%E -3.47%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -8.50%E -4.72%K -10.62%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-12 12:29
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 12:30
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 12:29
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 12:29
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 12:30
LeoVegas1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 12:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 12:29
Unibet (NL)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 12:29
BetRivers1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 12:30
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 12:30
Svenska Spel1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 12:30
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 12:29
betPARX1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 12:30
Bally Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.40%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.60%EV -2.91%E -1.52%K -3.19%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-12 12:30
DraftKings1.88I 53.19%NM 50.13%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.87%EV -3.92%E -2.08%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-12 12:30
Winamax (FR)1.88I 53.19%NM 48.35%EV -7.57%E -4.03%K -8.60%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 51.65%EV -10.53%E -5.98%K -13.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-12 12:29
Bovada1.87I 53.48%NM 51.05%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.95%EV -0.873%E -0.448%K -0.919%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-12 12:29
PointsBet (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -8.06%E -4.31%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -4.94%E -2.64%K -5.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 12:29
Virgin Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -8.55%E -4.60%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -4.43%E -2.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 12:30
LiveScore Bet1.86I 53.76%NM 50.27%EV -8.55%E -4.60%K -9.94%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.73%EV -4.43%E -2.36%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-12 12:29
PMU (FR)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.27%EV -10.03%E -5.48%K -12.08%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.73%EV -5.96%E -3.22%K -7.01%G +0.000%8.7%2026-06-12 12:30
Sky Bet1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.03%E -5.48%K -12.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-12 12:30
Paddy Power1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -10.03%E -5.48%K -12.08%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -6.97%E -3.81%K -8.40%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-12 12:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (6)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-06-12 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-06-12 12:30
Matchbook2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-06-12 12:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%0.6%2026-06-12 12:30
Smarkets2.00I 50.00%NM 48.72%1.90I 52.63%NM 51.28%2.6%2026-06-12 12:30
Novig1.96I 51.02%NM 49.22%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.78%3.7%2026-06-12 12:30