Language:English
Katie Boulter v Leylah Fernandez
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Katie Boulter (Local)
Prediction 53.47%1.87fair odd
EV -0.552%
Edge -0.297%
Kelly -0.641%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.86
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.32%53.40%53.53%55.70%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.671.761.761.8659.88%56.87%56.82%53.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Leylah Fernandez (Visit)
Prediction 46.53%2.15fair odd
EV -2.28%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -2.07%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.30%46.60%46.47%48.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.022.022.1052.36%49.44%49.50%47.62%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Katie Boulter (Local): 53.47%; Leylah Fernandez (Visit): 46.53%. For Katie Boulter (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.87. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 1.86, with an expected value of -0.552%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (43 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -0.552%E -0.297%K -0.641%G +0.000% | 2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -5.54%E -2.73%K -5.38%G +0.000% | 3.0% | 2026-06-08 18:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.09%E -0.587%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -9.26%E -4.75%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-08 18:21 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.76%E -2.09%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-08 18:10 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.76%E -2.09%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.00%E -2.97%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-08 18:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.76%E -2.09%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.93%E -3.47%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-08 18:10 |
| Fanatics🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.76%E -2.09%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.93%E -3.47%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-08 18:29 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.76%E -2.09%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.93%E -3.47%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-08 18:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -3.76%E -2.09%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -11.12%E -5.82%K -12.22%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-08 18:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.29%E -2.40%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.68%E -1.78%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-08 18:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.29%E -2.40%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.68%E -1.78%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-08 18:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.83%E -2.71%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.07%E -2.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 18:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.83%E -2.71%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.07%E -2.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 18:29 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.83%E -2.71%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.07%E -2.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 18:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.83%E -2.71%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.07%E -2.49%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-08 18:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -4.83%E -2.71%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -6.47%E -3.22%K -6.40%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-08 18:29 |
| Bovada🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.36%E -3.03%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.28%E -1.09%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-08 18:29 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.36%E -3.03%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.21%E -1.54%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-06-08 18:29 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -5.36%E -3.03%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -8.80%E -4.49%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-08 18:25 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -5.36%E -3.03%K -6.97%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -8.80%E -4.49%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-08 18:26 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.90%E -3.35%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.21%E -1.54%K -2.97%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-06-08 18:30 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.90%E -3.35%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-08 18:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.90%E -3.35%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.00%E -2.97%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-08 18:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.90%E -3.35%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.00%E -2.97%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-08 18:29 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.90%E -3.35%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.00%E -2.97%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-06-08 18:29 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.90%E -3.35%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.93%E -3.47%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-08 18:29 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.90%E -3.35%K -7.76%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.93%E -3.47%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-08 18:30 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.43%E -3.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-08 18:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.43%E -3.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.93%E -3.47%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-08 18:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.43%E -3.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.93%E -3.47%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-08 18:29 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.43%E -3.68%K -8.58%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.26%E -4.75%K -9.75%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-06-08 18:27 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.50%E -4.34%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.28%E -1.09%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-08 18:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.50%E -4.34%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.93%E -3.47%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-08 18:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.50%E -4.34%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.93%E -3.47%K -6.93%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-06-08 18:28 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -7.50%E -4.34%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-06-08 18:29 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.04%E -4.67%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-08 18:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -8.04%E -4.67%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -8.80%E -4.49%K -9.16%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-06-08 18:29 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.57%E -5.01%K -12.07%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-06-08 18:28 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.11%E -5.36%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.28%E -1.09%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-08 18:29 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.11%E -5.36%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-08 18:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.11%E -5.36%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-08 18:29 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.11%E -5.36%K -13.01%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-08 18:29 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 53.46%EV -10.18%E -6.06%K -14.96%G +0.000% | 1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%EV -10.19%E -5.28%K -10.96%G +0.000% | 11.3% | 2026-06-08 18:29 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.71%E -6.41%K -15.99%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.28%E -1.09%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-06-08 18:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 0.3% | 2026-06-08 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87% | 0.3% | 2026-06-08 18:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-06-08 18:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-06-08 18:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85% | 2.4% | 2026-06-08 18:29 |