L’École des cotes

Katie Boulter v Leylah Fernandez

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-08 18:45 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

43 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Katie Boulter (Local)

Prévision 53.47%1.87cote équitable
EV -0.552%
Avantage -0.297%
Kelly -0.641%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.86

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
51.32%53.40%53.53%55.70%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.671.761.761.8659.88%56.87%56.82%53.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Leylah Fernandez (Visiteur)

Prévision 46.53%2.15cote équitable
EV -2.28%
Avantage -1.09%
Kelly -2.07%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
44.30%46.60%46.47%48.68%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.912.022.022.1052.36%49.44%49.50%47.62%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (43 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.86I 53.76%NM 52.19%EV -0.552%E -0.297%K -0.641%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 47.81%EV -5.54%E -2.73%K -5.38%G +0.000%3.0%2026-06-08 18:29
William Hill1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -1.09%E -0.587%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -9.26%E -4.75%K -9.75%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-08 18:21
BetAnything1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -3.76%E -2.09%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-08 18:10
Bet Right1.80I 55.56%NM 52.88%EV -3.76%E -2.09%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 47.12%EV -6.00%E -2.97%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-08 18:09
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.76%E -2.09%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.93%E -3.47%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-08 18:10
Fanatics1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.76%E -2.09%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.93%E -3.47%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-08 18:29
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -3.76%E -2.09%K -4.70%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.93%E -3.47%K -6.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-08 18:09
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -3.76%E -2.09%K -4.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -11.12%E -5.82%K -12.22%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-08 18:29
BetOnline.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.29%E -2.40%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.68%E -1.78%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-08 18:29
LowVig.ag1.79I 55.87%NM 53.63%EV -4.29%E -2.40%K -5.44%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 46.37%EV -3.68%E -1.78%K -3.44%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-08 18:29
Casumo1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.83%E -2.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.07%E -2.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 18:29
Unibet (SE)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.83%E -2.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.07%E -2.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 18:29
Unibet (NL)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.83%E -2.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.07%E -2.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 18:29
Unibet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.40%EV -4.83%E -2.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.60%EV -5.07%E -2.49%K -4.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-08 18:29
DraftKings1.78I 56.18%NM 53.03%EV -4.83%E -2.71%K -6.19%G +0.000%2.01I 49.75%NM 46.97%EV -6.47%E -3.22%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 18:29
Bovada1.77I 56.50%NM 54.26%EV -5.36%E -3.03%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.74%EV -2.28%E -1.09%K -2.07%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-08 18:29
FanDuel1.77I 56.50%NM 54.03%EV -5.36%E -3.03%K -6.97%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.97%EV -3.21%E -1.54%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-08 18:29
Neds1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -5.36%E -3.03%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -8.80%E -4.49%K -9.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-08 18:25
Ladbrokes (AU)1.77I 56.50%NM 52.55%EV -5.36%E -3.03%K -6.97%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.45%EV -8.80%E -4.49%K -9.16%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-08 18:26
Coolbet1.76I 56.82%NM 54.17%EV -5.90%E -3.35%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 45.83%EV -3.21%E -1.54%K -2.97%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-08 18:30
SportsBet1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -5.90%E -3.35%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-08 18:09
Grosvenor1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.90%E -3.35%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.00%E -2.97%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-08 18:29
TABtouch1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.90%E -3.35%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.00%E -2.97%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-08 18:29
BetRivers1.76I 56.82%NM 53.44%EV -5.90%E -3.35%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.56%EV -6.00%E -2.97%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-08 18:29
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.90%E -3.35%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.93%E -3.47%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-08 18:29
Winamax (FR)1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -5.90%E -3.35%K -7.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.93%E -3.47%K -6.93%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-08 18:30
PlayUp1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -6.43%E -3.68%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-08 18:09
LiveScore Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.43%E -3.68%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.93%E -3.47%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-08 18:29
Virgin Bet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -6.43%E -3.68%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -6.93%E -3.47%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-08 18:29
Ladbrokes (UK)1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -6.43%E -3.68%K -8.58%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -9.26%E -4.75%K -9.75%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-08 18:27
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -7.50%E -4.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -2.28%E -1.09%K -2.07%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-08 18:29
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.50%E -4.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.93%E -3.47%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-08 18:09
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -7.50%E -4.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.93%E -3.47%K -6.93%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-08 18:28
LeoVegas1.73I 57.80%NM 53.24%EV -7.50%E -4.34%K -10.28%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 46.76%EV -8.33%E -4.23%K -8.59%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-08 18:29
PointsBet (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -8.04%E -4.67%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-08 18:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.72I 58.14%NM 53.26%EV -8.04%E -4.67%K -11.16%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 46.74%EV -8.80%E -4.49%K -9.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-06-08 18:29
BetMGM1.71I 58.48%NM 54.52%EV -8.57%E -5.01%K -12.07%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.48%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-08 18:28
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -9.11%E -5.36%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -2.28%E -1.09%K -2.07%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-08 18:29
NordicBet1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.11%E -5.36%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-08 18:29
Betsson1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.11%E -5.36%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-08 18:29
Coral1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -9.11%E -5.36%K -13.01%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -4.61%E -2.25%K -4.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-08 18:29
PMU (FR)1.68I 59.52%NM 53.46%EV -10.18%E -6.06%K -14.96%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 46.54%EV -10.19%E -5.28%K -10.96%G +0.000%11.3%2026-06-08 18:29
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -10.71%E -6.41%K -15.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -2.28%E -1.09%K -2.07%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-08 18:29
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-06-08 18:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 51.13%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.87%0.3%2026-06-08 18:30
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-06-08 18:30
Matchbook1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-06-08 18:30
Smarkets1.91I 52.36%NM 51.15%2.00I 50.00%NM 48.85%2.4%2026-06-08 18:29