Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Katie Boulter v Donna Vekic

Kickoff: 2026-06-13 14:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Katie Boulter (Local)

Prediction 55.23%1.81fair odd
EV -0.589%
Edge -0.327%
Kelly -0.737%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.25%55.09%55.21%57.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.611.691.671.8062.11%59.08%59.88%55.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Donna Vekic (Visit)

Prediction 44.77%2.23fair odd
EV +0.737%
Edge +0.327%
Kelly +0.589%
Growth +0.004%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
42.01%44.91%44.79%46.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.002.132.152.2550.00%46.84%46.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Katie Boulter (Local): 55.23%; Donna Vekic (Visit): 44.77%. For Donna Vekic (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.23. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.737%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
PlayUp🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -9.98%E -6.12%K -15.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +0.737%E +0.327%K +0.589%G +0.004%5.8%2026-06-13 13:50
Pinnacle🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.35%E -1.91%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.05%E -0.477%K -0.871%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-13 13:41
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.683%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
Unibet (NL)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.683%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
Grosvenor🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.683%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
LeoVegas🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.683%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
Unibet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.683%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
BetRivers🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.683%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
TABtouch🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.683%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
Casumo🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.683%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.683%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.683%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
betPARX🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.683%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:49
Bally Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.683%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.683%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.683%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
Virgin Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -9.43%E -5.75%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -3.29%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-13 13:50
LiveScore Bet🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -9.43%E -5.75%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -3.29%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-13 13:50
Winamax (DE)🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -2.80%E -1.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-13 13:40
Coolbet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 13:40
Bovada🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 13:31
Bet Right🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.11%E -3.60%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
Fanatics🎯1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.66%E -3.94%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 13:50
BetMGM🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -9.43%E -5.75%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-13 13:40
Neds🎯1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -9.43%E -5.75%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-13 13:41
Coral🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -11.08%E -6.88%K -18.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -11.08%E -6.88%K -18.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 13:41
FanDuel🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 13:50
PMU (FR)🎯1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -9.98%E -6.12%K -15.84%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-13 13:50
BetOnline.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.35%E -1.91%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.64%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 13:41
LowVig.ag🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.35%E -1.91%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.64%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 13:41
1xBet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 13:49
ReBet🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 13:40
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.11%E -3.60%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-13 13:41
Unibet (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.53%E -2.62%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 13:40
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 13:30
betfred_uk🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 13:30
Winamax (FR)🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 13:40
SportsBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 13:41
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-13 13:50
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-13 13:41
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-13 13:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-13 13:50
888sport (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-13 13:50
Everygame🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-13 13:44
DraftKings🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-13 13:50
Betway🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.589%E -0.327%K -0.737%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 13:50
theScore Bet🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.25%E -1.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
TAB🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.35%E -1.91%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 13:31
BetAnything🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-13 13:44
Bet Victor🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.11%E -3.60%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 13:48
Fliff🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-13 13:50
NordicBet🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.35%E -1.91%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 13:50
Betsson🎯1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.35%E -1.91%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 13:50
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-13 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-13 13:50
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-06-13 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-06-13 13:50
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%1.9%2026-06-13 13:51
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%2.6%2026-06-13 13:50