La escuela de los momios

Katie Boulter v Donna Vekic

Inicio: 2026-06-13 14:30 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Katie Boulter (Local)

Predicción 55.23%1.81momio equitativo
EV -0.589%
Ventaja -0.327%
Kelly -0.737%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
53.25%55.09%55.21%57.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.611.691.671.8062.11%59.08%59.88%55.56%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Donna Vekic (Visitante)

Predicción 44.77%2.23momio equitativo
EV +0.737%
Ventaja +0.327%
Kelly +0.589%
Crecimiento +0.004%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.01%44.91%44.79%46.75%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.002.132.152.2550.00%46.84%46.62%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼MargenActualizado
PlayUp1.63I 61.35%NM 57.99%EV -9.98%E -6.12%K -15.84%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.01%EV +0.737%E +0.327%K +0.589%G +0.004%5.8%2026-06-13 13:50
Pinnacle1.75I 57.14%NM 55.81%EV -3.35%E -1.91%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.21I 45.25%NM 44.19%EV -1.05%E -0.477%K -0.871%G +0.000%2.4%2026-06-13 13:41
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.683%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
Unibet (NL)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.683%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.683%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
LeoVegas1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.683%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.683%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
BetRivers1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.683%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.683%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.683%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.683%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
Svenska Spel1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.683%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
betPARX1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.683%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:49
Bally Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.683%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.683%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
Hard Rock Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -1.50%E -0.683%K -1.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
Virgin Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -9.43%E -5.75%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -3.29%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-13 13:50
LiveScore Bet1.64I 60.98%NM 56.84%EV -9.43%E -5.75%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.16%EV -3.29%E -1.52%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-13 13:50
Winamax (DE)1.76I 56.82%NM 54.99%EV -2.80%E -1.59%K -3.68%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 45.01%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.3%2026-06-13 13:40
Coolbet1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 13:40
Bovada1.71I 58.48%NM 55.70%EV -5.56%E -3.25%K -7.83%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.30%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 13:31
Bet Right1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.11%E -3.60%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
Fanatics1.69I 59.17%NM 55.99%EV -6.66%E -3.94%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.01%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-13 13:50
BetMGM1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 13:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -9.43%E -5.75%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-13 13:40
Neds1.64I 60.98%NM 56.73%EV -9.43%E -5.75%K -14.73%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.27%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-13 13:41
Coral1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -11.08%E -6.88%K -18.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 13:40
Ladbrokes (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -11.08%E -6.88%K -18.17%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -3.74%E -1.74%K -3.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 13:41
FanDuel1.72I 58.14%NM 55.44%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.56%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 13:50
PMU (FR)1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -9.98%E -6.12%K -15.84%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -4.19%E -1.96%K -3.67%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-13 13:50
BetOnline.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.35%E -1.91%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.64%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 13:41
LowVig.ag1.75I 57.14%NM 54.90%EV -3.35%E -1.91%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 45.10%EV -4.64%E -2.18%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-13 13:41
1xBet1.74I 57.47%NM 54.92%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.08%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%4.6%2026-06-13 13:49
ReBet1.73I 57.80%NM 55.06%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.94%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 13:40
PointsBet (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.50%EV -6.11%E -3.60%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 44.50%EV -5.08%E -2.40%K -4.54%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-13 13:41
Unibet (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.95%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.11I 47.39%NM 45.05%EV -5.53%E -2.62%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-13 13:40
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 13:30
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 13:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.46%E -2.58%K -6.10%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 13:30
Winamax (FR)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 13:40
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.01%E -2.91%K -6.95%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 13:41
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-13 13:50
Sky Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-13 13:41
Paddy Power1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-13 13:30
Mr Green (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-13 13:50
888sport (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -7.77%E -4.65%K -11.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%7.5%2026-06-13 13:50
Everygame1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -5.98%E -2.85%K -5.44%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-13 13:44
DraftKings1.74I 57.47%NM 54.21%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.79%EV -7.77%E -3.77%K -7.33%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-13 13:50
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 53.25%EV -0.589%E -0.327%K -0.737%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.75%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-13 13:50
theScore Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -2.25%E -1.27%K -2.92%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 13:50
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.35%E -1.91%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 13:31
BetAnything1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -3.90%E -2.24%K -5.27%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-13 13:44
Bet Victor1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.11%E -3.60%K -8.73%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-13 13:48
Fliff1.65I 60.61%NM 55.41%EV -8.87%E -5.38%K -13.65%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.59%EV -8.22%E -4.01%K -7.83%G +0.000%9.4%2026-06-13 13:50
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.35%E -1.91%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 13:50
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -3.35%E -1.91%K -4.47%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -10.46%E -5.23%K -10.46%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-13 13:50
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (6)

CorredorLocalVisitanteMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-13 13:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.84%2.36I 42.37%NM 42.16%0.5%2026-06-13 13:50
Matchbook1.73I 57.80%NM 57.49%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.51%0.5%2026-06-13 13:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 57.64%2.34I 42.74%NM 42.36%0.9%2026-06-13 13:50
Novig1.73I 57.80%NM 56.75%2.27I 44.05%NM 43.25%1.9%2026-06-13 13:51
Smarkets1.69I 59.17%NM 57.64%2.30I 43.48%NM 42.36%2.6%2026-06-13 13:50