Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Emma Raducanu v Iva Jović

Kickoff: 2026-06-13 16:25 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Emma Raducanu (Local)

Prediction 25.88%3.86fair odd
EV +3.52%
Edge +0.881%
Kelly +1.17%
Growth +0.041%

assuming max odds 4.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.81%25.98%25.68%28.26%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.763.754.0030.30%26.62%26.67%25.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Iva Jović (Visit)

Prediction 74.12%1.35fair odd
EV -3.65%
Edge -2.80%
Kelly -12.15%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
71.74%74.02%74.32%76.19%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.221.261.251.3081.97%79.13%80.00%76.92%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Emma Raducanu (Local): 25.88%; Iva Jović (Visit): 74.12%. For Emma Raducanu (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.86. 16 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.52%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.52%E +0.881%K +1.17%G +0.041%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:20
BetRivers🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.52%E +0.881%K +1.17%G +0.041%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:20
LeoVegas🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.52%E +0.881%K +1.17%G +0.041%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:20
Casumo🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.52%E +0.881%K +1.17%G +0.041%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:20
Grosvenor🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.52%E +0.881%K +1.17%G +0.041%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.52%E +0.881%K +1.17%G +0.041%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:20
TABtouch🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.52%E +0.881%K +1.17%G +0.041%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.52%E +0.881%K +1.17%G +0.041%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:20
Unibet (NL)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.52%E +0.881%K +1.17%G +0.041%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.52%E +0.881%K +1.17%G +0.041%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:20
Bally Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.52%E +0.881%K +1.17%G +0.041%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:19
betPARX🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.52%E +0.881%K +1.17%G +0.041%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.52%E +0.881%K +1.17%G +0.041%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:20
Hard Rock Bet🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.52%E +0.881%K +1.17%G +0.041%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:21
Winamax (DE)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +0.936%E +0.240%K +0.323%G +0.003%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.13%E -4.01%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-13 16:20
Pinnacle🎯3.88I 25.77%NM 25.10%EV +0.418%E +0.108%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.90%EV -3.65%E -2.80%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-13 16:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -0.358%E -0.093%K -0.126%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -8.83%E -7.18%K -38.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-13 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -0.358%E -0.093%K -0.126%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -8.83%E -7.18%K -38.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-13 16:20
Betway🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.65%E -0.435%K -0.590%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.39%E -3.40%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-13 16:20
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.65%E -0.435%K -0.590%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-13 16:20
PMU (FR)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -1.65%E -0.435%K -0.590%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.57%E -7.85%K -43.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-13 16:20
Bovada🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.95%E -0.786%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.39%E -3.40%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 16:21
Winamax (FR)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.95%E -0.786%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.87%E -4.62%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 16:20
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.95%E -0.786%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 16:20
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.95%E -0.786%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.95%E -0.786%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 16:21
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.95%E -0.786%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 16:20
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.95%E -0.786%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 16:20
FanDuel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.87%E -4.62%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 16:21
SportsBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 16:21
Betsson🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 16:20
NordicBet🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 16:20
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 16:20
Neds🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 16:20
DraftKings🎯3.68I 27.17%NM 25.81%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.19%EV -5.13%E -4.01%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 16:20
Fanatics🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.53%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.39%E -3.40%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 16:20
Bet Right🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.39%E -3.40%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 16:19
William Hill🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.39%E -3.40%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 16:18
PlayUp🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.13%E -4.01%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 16:20
Fliff🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -8.09%E -6.53%K -33.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-13 16:20
1xBet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -3.65%E -2.80%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:17
Coolbet🎯3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -3.65%E -2.80%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:20
ReBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.65%E -2.80%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 16:14
Unibet (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.65%E -2.80%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-13 16:14
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.39%E -3.40%K -15.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 16:17
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.39%E -3.40%K -15.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 16:20
Paddy Power🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 16:19
theScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.65%E -2.80%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 16:20
Tipico (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -5.87%E -4.62%K -21.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-13 16:20
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.65%E -2.80%K -12.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 16:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (6)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-06-13 16:20
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-06-13 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-06-13 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-06-13 16:21
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%3.8%2026-06-13 16:20
Novig3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%4.0%2026-06-13 16:21