L’École des cotes

Emma Raducanu v Iva Jović

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-13 16:25 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Emma Raducanu (Local)

Prévision 25.88%3.86cote équitable
EV +3.52%
Avantage +0.881%
Kelly +1.17%
Croissance +0.041%

avec la cote maximale 4.00

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.81%25.98%25.68%28.26%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.303.763.754.0030.30%26.62%26.67%25.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Iva Jović (Visiteur)

Prévision 74.12%1.35cote équitable
EV -3.65%
Avantage -2.80%
Kelly -12.15%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.30

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
71.74%74.02%74.32%76.19%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.221.261.251.3081.97%79.13%80.00%76.92%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
Unibet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.52%E +0.881%K +1.17%G +0.041%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:20
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.52%E +0.881%K +1.17%G +0.041%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:20
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.52%E +0.881%K +1.17%G +0.041%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:20
Casumo4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.52%E +0.881%K +1.17%G +0.041%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:20
Grosvenor4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.52%E +0.881%K +1.17%G +0.041%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:20
Unibet (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.52%E +0.881%K +1.17%G +0.041%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:20
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.52%E +0.881%K +1.17%G +0.041%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.52%E +0.881%K +1.17%G +0.041%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:20
Unibet (NL)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.52%E +0.881%K +1.17%G +0.041%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:20
Svenska Spel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.52%E +0.881%K +1.17%G +0.041%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:20
Bally Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.52%E +0.881%K +1.17%G +0.041%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:19
betPARX4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.52%E +0.881%K +1.17%G +0.041%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:20
ATG (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.52%E +0.881%K +1.17%G +0.041%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:20
Hard Rock Bet4.00I 25.00%NM 23.81%EV +3.52%E +0.881%K +1.17%G +0.041%1.25I 80.00%NM 76.19%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:21
Winamax (DE)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.71%EV +0.936%E +0.240%K +0.323%G +0.003%1.28I 78.13%NM 75.29%EV -5.13%E -4.01%K -18.31%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-13 16:20
Pinnacle3.88I 25.77%NM 25.10%EV +0.418%E +0.108%K +0.145%G +0.001%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.90%EV -3.65%E -2.80%K -12.15%G +0.000%2.7%2026-06-13 16:20
Virgin Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -0.358%E -0.093%K -0.126%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -8.83%E -7.18%K -38.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-13 16:20
LiveScore Bet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.21%EV -0.358%E -0.093%K -0.126%G +0.000%1.23I 81.30%NM 75.79%EV -8.83%E -7.18%K -38.41%G +0.000%7.3%2026-06-13 16:20
Betway3.80I 26.32%NM 25.34%EV -1.65%E -0.435%K -0.590%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.66%EV -4.39%E -3.40%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.8%2026-06-13 16:20
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV -1.65%E -0.435%K -0.590%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.25%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-13 16:20
PMU (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.30%EV -1.65%E -0.435%K -0.590%G +0.000%1.22I 81.97%NM 75.70%EV -9.57%E -7.85%K -43.52%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-13 16:20
Bovada3.75I 26.67%NM 25.60%EV -2.95%E -0.786%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.40%EV -4.39%E -3.40%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-13 16:21
Winamax (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.30%EV -2.95%E -0.786%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.70%EV -5.87%E -4.62%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-13 16:20
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.95%E -0.786%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 16:20
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.95%E -0.786%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 16:20
Ladbrokes (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.95%E -0.786%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 16:21
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.95%E -0.786%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 16:20
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 25.00%EV -2.95%E -0.786%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 75.00%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-13 16:20
FanDuel3.70I 27.03%NM 25.55%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 74.45%EV -5.87%E -4.62%K -21.74%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-13 16:21
SportsBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 16:21
Betsson3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 16:20
NordicBet3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 16:20
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 16:20
Ladbrokes (AU)3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 16:20
Neds3.70I 27.03%NM 25.25%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 74.75%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-13 16:20
DraftKings3.68I 27.17%NM 25.81%EV -4.76%E -1.29%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.19%EV -5.13%E -4.01%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 16:20
Fanatics3.65I 27.40%NM 26.11%EV -5.53%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.89%EV -4.39%E -3.40%K -15.13%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-13 16:20
Bet Right3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.39%E -3.40%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 16:19
William Hill3.60I 27.78%NM 26.38%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.62%EV -4.39%E -3.40%K -15.13%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-13 16:18
PlayUp3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -5.13%E -4.01%K -18.31%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 16:20
Fliff3.60I 27.78%NM 25.62%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%1.24I 80.65%NM 74.38%EV -8.09%E -6.53%K -33.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-13 16:20
1xBet3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -3.65%E -2.80%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:17
Coolbet3.56I 28.09%NM 26.75%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.25%EV -3.65%E -2.80%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-13 16:20
ReBet3.55I 28.17%NM 26.80%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 73.20%EV -3.65%E -2.80%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-13 16:14
Unibet (UK)3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -3.65%E -2.80%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-06-13 16:14
betfred_uk3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.39%E -3.40%K -15.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 16:17
Bet Victor3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -4.39%E -3.40%K -15.13%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-13 16:20
Paddy Power3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%1.25I 80.00%NM 73.68%EV -7.35%E -5.88%K -29.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-06-13 16:19
theScore Bet3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -3.65%E -2.80%K -12.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-13 16:20
Tipico (DE)3.40I 29.41%NM 27.19%EV -12.00%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.81%EV -5.87%E -4.62%K -21.74%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-13 16:20
PointsBet (AU)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.26%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.74%EV -3.65%E -2.80%K -12.15%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-13 16:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (6)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.30I 23.26%NM 23.08%1.29I 77.52%NM 76.92%0.8%2026-06-13 16:20
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.54%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.46%0.9%2026-06-13 16:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-06-13 16:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.30I 23.26%NM 22.94%1.28I 78.13%NM 77.06%1.4%2026-06-13 16:21
Smarkets4.10I 24.39%NM 23.51%1.26I 79.37%NM 76.49%3.8%2026-06-13 16:20
Novig3.77I 26.53%NM 25.49%1.29I 77.52%NM 74.51%4.0%2026-06-13 16:21