Language:English
Moyuka Uchijima v Elise Mertens
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Moyuka Uchijima (Local)
Prediction 17.07%5.86fair odd
EV +2.43%
Edge +0.405%
Kelly +0.486%
Growth +0.012%
assuming max odds 6.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.73%17.00%17.04%18.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.005.455.506.0020.00%18.36%18.18%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Elise Mertens (Visit)
Prediction 82.93%1.21fair odd
EV -2.97%
Edge -2.54%
Kelly -17.49%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.17
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
81.04%83.00%82.96%84.27%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.111.141.151.1790.09%87.38%86.96%85.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Moyuka Uchijima (Local): 17.07%; Elise Mertens (Visit): 82.93%. For Moyuka Uchijima (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.86. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.00, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.43%.
Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betway🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.43%E +0.405%K +0.486%G +0.012% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.34%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-26 05:13 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -1.67%E -0.289%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-26 05:00 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -1.67%E -0.289%K -0.350%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-10-26 05:00 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -1.84%E -0.320%K -0.387%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.01%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:13 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 04:45 |
| Bovada🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 04:44 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 04:45 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 04:45 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 04:45 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 04:45 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 04:45 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 04:45 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 04:45 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 04:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:00 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-10-26 05:05 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-26 04:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-26 04:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-26 04:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.01%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-10-26 05:13 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000% | 1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-10-26 04:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.81%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-26 04:51 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.37%E -1.98%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-10-26 04:51 |
| theScore Bet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -11.23%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-26 04:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -11.23%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.01%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-26 05:06 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -12.93%E -2.54%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -7.95%E -7.16%K -72.27%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-10-26 04:45 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.64%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.97%E -2.54%K -17.49%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-10-26 04:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -14.64%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-10-26 04:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -14.64%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.01%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-10-26 04:51 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 0.8% | 2026-10-26 05:13 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77% | 1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23% | 0.8% | 2026-10-26 05:13 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 0.9% | 2026-10-26 04:51 |
| Matchbook◎ | 6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43% | 0.9% | 2026-10-26 05:13 |
| Novig◎ | 6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35% | 2.2% | 2026-10-26 05:13 |