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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Moyuka Uchijima v Elise Mertens

开赛时间： 2026-10-26 05:16 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

29 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Moyuka Uchijima (主队)

预测 17.07%5.86公平赔率
EV +2.43%
优势 +0.405%
Kelly +0.486%
增长率 +0.012%

假设最高赔率为 6.00

博彩公司预测分布
15.73%17.00%17.04%18.96%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.005.455.506.0020.00%18.36%18.18%16.67%最小值均值中位数最大值

Elise Mertens (客队)

预测 82.93%1.21公平赔率
EV -2.97%
优势 -2.54%
Kelly -17.49%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.17

博彩公司预测分布
81.04%83.00%82.96%84.27%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.111.141.151.1790.09%87.38%86.96%85.47%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Moyuka Uchijima (主队)：17.07%；Elise Mertens (客队)：82.93%。 对于“Moyuka Uchijima (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为5.86。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为6.00，对应+2.43%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Betway🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.73%EV +2.43%E +0.405%K +0.486%G +0.012%1.12I 89.29%NM 84.27%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.34%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 05:13
BetOnline.ag🎯5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -1.67%E -0.289%K -0.350%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-26 05:00
LowVig.ag🎯5.76I 17.36%NM 16.64%EV -1.67%E -0.289%K -0.350%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 83.36%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000%4.3%2026-10-26 05:00
Bet Right🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.55%EV -1.84%E -0.320%K -0.387%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 83.45%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.01%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:13
Unibet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 04:45
Bovada🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 04:44
Casumo🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 04:45
Unibet (NL)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 04:45
TABtouch🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 04:45
LeoVegas (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 04:45
Svenska Spel🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 04:45
ATG (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 04:45
Bally Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 04:45
betPARX🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 04:55
Grosvenor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:00
Unibet (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.29%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.71%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000%5.1%2026-10-26 05:05
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 04:45
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 04:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 04:45
Betr (AU)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.17%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.83%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.01%G +0.000%5.9%2026-10-26 05:13
BoyleSports🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.92%EV -6.11%E -1.11%K -1.36%G +0.000%1.12I 89.29%NM 83.08%EV -7.12%E -6.36%K -59.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-10-26 04:45
FanDuel🎯5.40I 18.52%NM 17.56%EV -7.81%E -1.45%K -1.78%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.44%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-26 04:51
BetAnything🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.97%EV -10.37%E -1.98%K -2.44%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 82.03%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000%6.0%2026-10-26 04:51
theScore Bet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -11.23%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 04:45
SportsBet🎯5.20I 19.23%NM 17.98%EV -11.23%E -2.16%K -2.67%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 82.02%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.01%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 05:06
PMU (FR)🎯5.10I 19.61%NM 17.87%EV -12.93%E -2.54%K -3.15%G +0.000%1.11I 90.09%NM 82.13%EV -7.95%E -7.16%K -72.27%G +0.000%9.7%2026-10-26 04:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.96%EV -14.64%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.17I 85.47%NM 81.04%EV -2.97%E -2.54%K -17.49%G +0.000%5.5%2026-10-26 04:45
TAB🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.70%EV -14.64%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.15I 86.96%NM 81.30%EV -4.63%E -4.03%K -30.88%G +0.000%7.0%2026-10-26 04:45
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 18.57%EV -14.64%E -2.93%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.14I 87.72%NM 81.43%EV -5.46%E -4.79%K -39.01%G +0.000%7.7%2026-10-26 04:51
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%0.8%2026-10-26 05:13
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎7.20I 13.89%NM 13.77%1.15I 86.96%NM 86.23%0.8%2026-10-26 05:13
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-10-26 04:51
Matchbook◎6.80I 14.71%NM 14.57%1.16I 86.21%NM 85.43%0.9%2026-10-26 05:13
Novig◎6.25I 16.00%NM 15.65%1.16I 86.21%NM 84.35%2.2%2026-10-26 05:13